Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Real alpha? Tight basket means outsized passive flows. The play? SK Innovation, no contest.</li>
<li>Samsung SDI faces -0.54x ADTV outflows. Other movers: Netmarble 0.68x, Wemade Max 0.54x, NHN -0.46x ADTV.</li>
<li>Net-Net? SK Innovation is the trade. Long here, hedge short on Samsung SDI or the broader Battery space.</li>
</ul>


Real alpha? Tight basket means outsized passive flows. The play? SK Innovation, no contest.
Samsung SDI faces -0.54x ADTV outflows. Other movers: Netmarble 0.68x, Wemade Max 0.54x, NHN -0.46x ADTV.
Net-Net? SK Innovation is the trade. Long here, hedge short on Samsung SDI or the broader Battery space.


Got the BBIG Rebalancing Results: SK Innovation Is the Trade This Week

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hugel-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22860:1" rel="noopener">Hugel Inc (145020 KS)</a> reported record high sales, operating profit, and net profit in 2024, with the strong performance of botulinum toxin and fillers backed by the company’s global expansion.</li>
<li>Hugel aims to launch botulinum toxin in the U.S. within 1H25. The company aims for a 10% U.S. market share for aesthetic purposes within three years from the product release.</li>
<li>Hugel aims to expand its presence in more than 80 toxin markets (from 67 now), 70 dermal filler markets (current 52), and more than 10 cosmetics markets by 2028.</li>
</ul>



Hugel Inc (145020 KS) reported record high sales, operating profit, and net profit in 2024, with the strong performance of botulinum toxin and fillers backed by the company’s global expansion.
Hugel aims to launch botulinum toxin in the U.S. within 1H25. The company aims for a 10% U.S. market share for aesthetic purposes within three years from the product release.
Hugel aims to expand its presence in more than 80 toxin markets (from 67 now), 70 dermal filler markets (current 52), and more than 10 cosmetics markets by 2028.


Hugel Inc (145020 KS): Record High Performance in 2024; Continued Global Expansion to Drive Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced first week of March and implemented at the close of trading on 13 March.</li>
<li>We forecast two changes for the Bio Index and one change for the Internet Index. Plus there will be capping changes for all indices.</li>
<li>The largest flows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-sdi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:503:1" rel="noopener">Samsung SDI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:208:1" rel="noopener">POSCO Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alteogen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15886:1" rel="noopener">Alteogen</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legochem-biosciences-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19803:1" rel="noopener">Legochem Biosciences</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netmarble-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22839:1" rel="noopener">Netmarble</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced first week of March and implemented at the close of trading on 13 March.
We forecast two changes for the Bio Index and one change for the Internet Index. Plus there will be capping changes for all indices.
The largest flows will be in Samsung SDI, LG Energy Solution, POSCO Holdings, Alteogen, Naver Corp, Legochem Biosciences, Netmarble and Celltrion Inc.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Smaller Deal Than Usual

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hugel-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22860:1" rel="noopener">Hugel Inc (145020 KS)</a> achieved revenue and operating profit of KRW105B and KRW53B in 3Q24, up 24% and 55%, YoY, respectively. Both botulinum toxin and fillers performed strongly.</li>
<li>Botulinum toxin's overseas sales jumped 73% YoY during the quarter, thanks to the initial shipment to the U.S. in July and September and robust growth from the Asia-Pacific market.</li>
<li>After the favorable ruling of ITC, Hugel plans to officially launch Botulax later this year in the U.S. market via collaborations with its California-based partner Benev Company.</li>
</ul>



Hugel Inc (145020 KS) achieved revenue and operating profit of KRW105B and KRW53B in 3Q24, up 24% and 55%, YoY, respectively. Both botulinum toxin and fillers performed strongly.
Botulinum toxin's overseas sales jumped 73% YoY during the quarter, thanks to the initial shipment to the U.S. in July and September and robust growth from the Asia-Pacific market.
After the favorable ruling of ITC, Hugel plans to officially launch Botulax later this year in the U.S. market via collaborations with its California-based partner Benev Company.


Hugel Inc (145020 KS): Record High Quarterly Sales and Operating Profit in 3Q; US Launch to Start

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Jul 5th which has an aggregated holding worth USD576.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD409mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics(005930 KS) , Sk Hynix(000660 KS) .</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Jul 5th which has an aggregated holding worth USD576.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD409mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Samsung Electronics(005930 KS) , Sk Hynix(000660 KS) .


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 5th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix

South Korea

Hugel, Inc. is a Bio-pharmaceutical company that focuses on developing beauty/cosmetics related products.  The Company's main products include botulinum toxin and fillers.

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Hugel Inc (145020 KS)

Got the BBIG Rebalancing Results: SK Innovation Is the Trade This Week

This post provides insights into the latest BBIG rebalancing results, breaking down the key shifts and highlighting SK Innovation as the top trade...

Sanghyun Park