HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Medical Insurance Bureau of Hebei released the document on centralized procurement of OK lens, which was the first detailed rules about OK lens VBP in China.</li>
<li>The results of orthodontic material centralized procurement of 16 provincial alliance led by Shaanxi were released. We analyzed the direct impacts on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/angelalign-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31480:1" rel="noopener">Angelalign Technology (6699 HK)</a> and the outlook.</li>
<li>Even from the perspective of the whole process of the development of China's pharmaceutical industry after the reform and opening up, 2022 is an extraordinary year for the pharmaceutical industry.</li>
</ul>


Medical Insurance Bureau of Hebei released the document on centralized procurement of OK lens, which was the first detailed rules about OK lens VBP in China.
The results of orthodontic material centralized procurement of 16 provincial alliance led by Shaanxi were released. We analyzed the direct impacts on Angelalign Technology (6699 HK) and the outlook.
Even from the perspective of the whole process of the development of China's pharmaceutical industry after the reform and opening up, 2022 is an extraordinary year for the pharmaceutical industry.


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.25) - OK Lens VBP, Angelalign, Extraordinary 2022 for Pharmaceuticals

<ul>
<li>While AI has had a profound impact in image recognition,there has been little comparable progress in drug discovery, far from the current levels of investment and expectations in this sector.</li>
<li>The success of license-in model must be based on the appropriate valuation level. The ultimate parameter to measure a drug company based on license-in model is its cash flow status.</li>
<li>Pet medical equipment is not subject to the negative policy impact of centralized procurement. Together with high demand, it is expected to become the second growth curve of enterprises.</li>
</ul>


While AI has had a profound impact in image recognition,there has been little comparable progress in drug discovery, far from the current levels of investment and expectations in this sector.
The success of license-in model must be based on the appropriate valuation level. The ultimate parameter to measure a drug company based on license-in model is its cash flow status.
Pet medical equipment is not subject to the negative policy impact of centralized procurement. Together with high demand, it is expected to become the second growth curve of enterprises.


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.12)-AI Drug Discovery, License-In Mode Valuation, Pet Medical Equipment

Healthcare Analyst

Wilfred Yuen

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Thanks to last year's salesforce streamline and additional indictions/NRDL inclusions, China in-market sales was up 32% YoY to US$94m, driven by Elunate (+41% YoY) and Sulanda (+45% YoY) in 1H26</li>
<li>Fruzaqla in-market sales was up 14% YoY to US$185m in 1H26, driven by ex-US (+c.70% YoY). Profitability maintained with net profit of US$16m in 1H26. Strong cash position at US$1.4bn</li>
<li>2026 revenue guidance maintained; 2H26 key catalysts: 1) global phase 3 readout SAFFRON (Savolitinib in 2L MET EGRF NSCLC), 2) R&amp;D day, 3) potential BD on ATTC. See more inside</li>
</ul>


Thanks to last year's salesforce streamline and additional indictions/NRDL inclusions, China in-market sales was up 32% YoY to US$94m, driven by Elunate (+41% YoY) and Sulanda (+45% YoY) in 1H26
Fruzaqla in-market sales was up 14% YoY to US$185m in 1H26, driven by ex-US (+c.70% YoY). Profitability maintained with net profit of US$16m in 1H26. Strong cash position at US$1.4bn
2026 revenue guidance maintained; 2H26 key catalysts: 1) global phase 3 readout SAFFRON (Savolitinib in 2L MET EGRF NSCLC), 2) R&amp;D day, 3) potential BD on ATTC. See more inside


Hutchmed (13.HK): 1H26 Call Takeaway: 2026 Guidance Intact; 2H Catalysts: SAFFRON, ATTC BD, R&D Day

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>With the declining number of daily new infections, most countries in APAC region are in process to relax their COVID-related restrictions and border re-opening.</li>
<li>While hospitals are the prime beneficiaries of re-opening, medical devices companies will also benefit from the resumption of elective surgeries. Monkeypox is not expected to have big adverse effect.</li>
<li>Investment thesis for four top picks in APAC healthcare sector remains intact, and their recent quarterly results depict their continued growth momentum.</li>
</ul>


With the declining number of daily new infections, most countries in APAC region are in process to relax their COVID-related restrictions and border re-opening.
While hospitals are the prime beneficiaries of re-opening, medical devices companies will also benefit from the resumption of elective surgeries. Monkeypox is not expected to have big adverse effect.
Investment thesis for four top picks in APAC healthcare sector remains intact, and their recent quarterly results depict their continued growth momentum.


APAC Healthcare – Good Bet on Re-Opening; Continued Strong Recovery in Top Picks

<ul>
<li>China biotech companies are “being squeezed” between the negative domestic policies and the dilemma of internationalization. The investment logic of biotech has broken and the valuation forecasts are ineffective.</li>
<li>For CXO, the uncertainties outweigh the certainties.Investors need to be prepared for the possibility of CXO not to return to its peak, because its best time may have been over.</li>
<li>We’re in a very complicated environment. A lot of things come together. Survive first. Seize rebounds after plunge rather than go bottom fishing. You don't know when the bottom is. </li>
</ul>


China biotech companies are “being squeezed” between the negative domestic policies and the dilemma of internationalization. The investment logic of biotech has broken and the valuation forecasts are ineffective.
For CXO, the uncertainties outweigh the certainties.Investors need to be prepared for the possibility of CXO not to return to its peak, because its best time may have been over.
We’re in a very complicated environment. A lot of things come together. Survive first. Seize rebounds after plunge rather than go bottom fishing. You don't know when the bottom is. 


Re-Examine the Outlook and Investment Strategy for China Biotech and CXO

Hong Kong

Hutchison Whampoa is an investment holding company with diverse global operations in ports and related services, property and hotels, retail, infrastructure, energy, and telecommunications. It operates port and container terminals, develops real estate, and provides mobile telecommunications services. The company is headquartered in Hong Kong and traces its roots back to 1862.

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Hutchison Whampoa (13 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.25) - OK Lens VBP, Angelalign, Extraordinary 2022 for Pharmaceuticals

The OK lens VBP in Hebei was the first to release detailed rules. The orthodontic material VBP result would affect Angelalign's outlook. 2022 is an...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.12)-AI Drug Discovery, License-In Mode Valuation, Pet Medical Equipment

AI drug discovery is far from meeting the current investment level and expectations. The success of license-in mode must be based on appropriate...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hutchmed (13.HK): 1H26 Call Takeaway: 2026 Guidance Intact; 2H Catalysts: SAFFRON, ATTC BD, R&D Day

Hutchmed (13.HK): 1H26 China sales continued to improve + steady growth from global sales of Fruzaqla; 2026 Guidance Intact; 2H26 catalysts:...

Wilfred Yuen

APAC Healthcare – Good Bet on Re-Opening; Continued Strong Recovery in Top Picks

Amid the declining new COVID infections and economy re-opening, top picks in APAC healthcare sector are poised to benefit. Their recent quarterly...

Tina Banerjee

Re-Examine the Outlook and Investment Strategy for China Biotech and CXO

The investment logic of China biotech has broken due to dilemma of domestic policy and internationalization risk.CXO couldn't sustain high...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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