Investment Advisors, JL Warren Capital

Junheng Li

Investment Advisors

JL Warren Capital

JL Warren Capital LLC is a leading independent equity research firm focused on Chinese companies and listed multinationals in China. We employ a bottom-up research approach that takes great care to avoid the acquisition of material non-public information. Through investigative due diligence including channel surveys and interviews, our research helps clients to pinpoint the dislocations in the market.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>We believe that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joyy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:285:1" rel="noopener">JOYY (YY US)</a> is a special situation that warrants a close look from the long side.  Our recent checks in the live broadcasting broadcasters and agencies suggest that broadcasters see a surge in traffic/new viewers from BIDU in recent weeks.  BIDU traffic is of lower quality than YY as BIDU’s existing business model for live streaming is ecommerce.  YY, on the other hand, discusses tips for broadcasters.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:179:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (BIDU US)</a>  has opened multiple entries to YY.  For example, all viewers of Haokan Video (short video sub of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:179:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (BIDU US)</a> ) now have access to YY subsidiaries.  Haokan is said to have 30MM DAU through independent Haokan App, and 110 MM DAU through all apps in Baidu ecosystem in 2019.  Assuming YY can convert 1% DAU to paying users, that is 26% boost to YY existing paying users.</p>

We believe that JOYY (YY US) is a special situation that warrants a close look from the long side.  Our recent checks in the live broadcasting broadcasters and agencies suggest that broadcasters see a surge in traffic/new viewers from BIDU in recent weeks.  BIDU traffic is of lower quality than YY as BIDU’s existing business model for live streaming is ecommerce.  YY, on the other hand, discusses tips for broadcasters.  Baidu (BIDU US)  has opened multiple entries to YY.  For example, all viewers of Haokan Video (short video sub of Baidu (BIDU US) ) now have access to YY subsidiaries.  Haokan is said to have 30MM DAU through independent Haokan App, and 110 MM DAU through all apps in Baidu ecosystem in 2019.  Assuming YY can convert 1% DAU to paying users, that is 26% boost to YY existing paying users.

BIDU-YY Live Streaming Integration Update: Unlocking Deep Value in YY

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Webtoon Entertainment / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/webtoon-entertainment-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43652:1" rel="noopener">Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US)</a> raised around US$315m in its US IPO, after pricing the deal at the top of the range at US$21/share.</li>
<li>Webtoon Entertainment is a global storytelling platform where a community of creators and users discover, create and share new content.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance, undertook a peer comparison and shared our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) raised around US$315m in its US IPO, after pricing the deal at the top of the range at US$21/share.
Webtoon Entertainment is a global storytelling platform where a community of creators and users discover, create and share new content.
In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance, undertook a peer comparison and shared our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Webtoon Entertainment IPO Trading - Not Cheap Given the Lack of Growth

Independent Research, Turtles all the way down

Turtles all the way down

Independent Research

Writing short articles about mis-priced boring stocks around the world.

<ul><li>Chinese stocks feel like loaded springs to me now. I have played this so far by buying DADA at $1.50 (I think I posted it at $1.67 ish) and closed it with a very nice profit at $2.6ish.</li><li>I did buy RERE at $1.15 and sold my last shares at $1.85. Unfortunately I was too late to post a write-up as I got reporting dates confused.</li><li>But maybe we get to have another go at this one. I had DQ on my watch list, I expected negative earnings, but their report was slightly better than expected and shares jumped from $18 to nearly $30 in a few weeks. </li></ul>

Chinese stocks feel like loaded springs to me now. I have played this so far by buying DADA at $1.50 (I think I posted it at $1.67 ish) and closed it with a very nice profit at $2.6ish.I did buy RERE at $1.15 and sold my last shares at $1.85. Unfortunately I was too late to post a write-up as I got reporting dates confused.But maybe we get to have another go at this one. I had DQ on my watch list, I expected negative earnings, but their report was slightly better than expected and shares jumped from $18 to nearly $30 in a few weeks. 

Atour Lifestyle Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atour-lifestyle-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33481:1" rel="noopener">Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US)</a>, is looking to raise around US$124m through a secondary selldown. </li>
<li>The deal is a large one to digest, at approximately 22.6 days of three month ADV and 5.5% of current mcap.  </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US), is looking to raise around US$124m through a secondary selldown. 
The deal is a large one to digest, at approximately 22.6 days of three month ADV and 5.5% of current mcap.  
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement - Coming Back for Round Two This Year

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BABA/JD/PDD: Post Bureau publishes Parcel Volume Data for Double 11 Festival (-/+)</li>
<li>3690 HK: Meituan published AI companion mobile app on November 7th(+)</li>
<li>BILI/700.HK/1024.HK/DOYU/HUYA: Douyu CEO Chen Shaojie missing for 3 Weeks (+/+/+/-/+)</li>
</ul>


BABA/JD/PDD: Post Bureau publishes Parcel Volume Data for Double 11 Festival (-/+)
3690 HK: Meituan published AI companion mobile app on November 7th(+)
BILI/700.HK/1024.HK/DOYU/HUYA: Douyu CEO Chen Shaojie missing for 3 Weeks (+/+/+/-/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]: BABA/JD/PDD/BILI/Tencent 700.HK/Kuaishou 1024.HK/DOYU/HUYA

United States

HUYA Inc. operates as a game live streaming platform. The Company offers interactive video broadcast services including e-sports, music, reality show, entertainment genres, talent shows, and anime and outdoor activities. HUYA serves customers in China.

Price Gauge
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HUYA (HUYA US)

BIDU-YY Live Streaming Integration Update: Unlocking Deep Value in YY

YY to broadcaster on May 21: “YY and Baidu live streaming channels will start sharing data. We asked our live broadcasters to welcome the new...

JL Warren Capital

Webtoon Entertainment IPO Trading - Not Cheap Given the Lack of Growth

Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) raised around US$315m in its US IPO, after pricing the deal at the top of the range at US$21/share.

Ethan Aw

Quick Ideas #8

Chinese stocks feel like loaded springs to me now. I have played this so far by buying DADA at $1.50 (I think I posted it at $1.67 ish) and closed...

Turtles all the way down

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement - Coming Back for Round Two This Year

Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US) , is looking to raise around US$124m through a...

Ethan Aw

[Blue Lotus Daily]: BABA/JD/PDD/BILI/Tencent 700.HK/Kuaishou 1024.HK/DOYU/HUYA

The article discusses the recent updates on parcel volume data for the Double 11 Festival, Meituan's new AI companion mobile app, and the missing...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

BIDU-YY Live Streaming Integration Update: Unlocking Deep Value in YY

YY to broadcaster on May 21: “YY and Baidu live streaming channels will start sharing data. We asked our live broadcasters to welcome the new...

JL Warren Capital

Webtoon Entertainment IPO Trading - Not Cheap Given the Lack of Growth

Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) raised around US$315m in its US IPO, after pricing the deal at the top of the range at US$21/share.

Ethan Aw

Quick Ideas #8

Chinese stocks feel like loaded springs to me now. I have played this so far by buying DADA at $1.50 (I think I posted it at $1.67 ish) and closed...

Turtles all the way down

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement - Coming Back for Round Two This Year

Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US) , is looking to raise around US$124m through a...

Ethan Aw

[Blue Lotus Daily]: BABA/JD/PDD/BILI/Tencent 700.HK/Kuaishou 1024.HK/DOYU/HUYA

​The article discusses the recent updates on parcel volume data for the Double 11 Festival, Meituan's new AI companion mobile app, and the missing...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

The article discusses the recent updates on parcel volume data for the Double 11 Festival, Meituan's new AI companion mobile app, and the missing...