HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>National Health Commission reiterated that the number of ICU beds in designated hospitals should reach 10% of total beds, but we think the expansion/construction of ICU should be treated rationally. </li>
<li>The medical demand in 2020-2022 was very abnormal. If demand returns to normal in 2023H2, the overall growth of the healthcare industry would return to natural growth.</li>
<li>Among the 53 companies listed under Chapter 18A, there’re less than 15 companies that are really seriously developing drugs/devices, which could be the fundamental reason for big differentiation of valuation.</li>
</ul>


National Health Commission reiterated that the number of ICU beds in designated hospitals should reach 10% of total beds, but we think the expansion/construction of ICU should be treated rationally. 
The medical demand in 2020-2022 was very abnormal. If demand returns to normal in 2023H2, the overall growth of the healthcare industry would return to natural growth.
Among the 53 companies listed under Chapter 18A, there’re less than 15 companies that are really seriously developing drugs/devices, which could be the fundamental reason for big differentiation of valuation.


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.16) - ICU Expansion, Abnormal Medical Demand, Dying Chapter 18A of HKEX

<ul>
<li>NHSA will set aside a certain market to provide space for innovative medical devices/consumables to explore the market in addition to centralized procurement. However, we tend to be cautiously optimistic.</li>
<li>We think it is important to clarify for investors what constitutes "commercialization success" – That is to generate revenue at scale and stable profitability through the sale of drugs.</li>
<li>All the products that covered by VBP begin to lose logic. Don't be fooled by those positive interpretations. We are bearish on the sectors with downward logic in long cycle. </li>
</ul>


NHSA will set aside a certain market to provide space for innovative medical devices/consumables to explore the market in addition to centralized procurement. However, we tend to be cautiously optimistic.
We think it is important to clarify for investors what constitutes "commercialization success" – That is to generate revenue at scale and stable profitability through the sale of drugs.
All the products that covered by VBP begin to lose logic. Don't be fooled by those positive interpretations. We are bearish on the sectors with downward logic in long cycle. 


China Healthcare Weekly(Sep9)-Innovative Device Policy,Commercial Success Definition,Don't Be Fooled

<ul>
<li>The Development and Reform Commission of Shenzhen Municipality issued a document about the subsidy for VBP, which is a positive policy and is good for innovation.</li>
<li>The approval of Genuine Biotech’s Azvudine could greatly increase the unpredictability of the approval of domestic innovative drugs, thus greatly increasing the unpredictable risk of domestic innovative drug enterprises.</li>
<li>In terms of internationalization, we summarized what Chinese pharmaceutical companies could do at the current stage. But they are hard to become the mainstream in pharmaceuticals globally in short term.</li>
</ul>


The Development and Reform Commission of Shenzhen Municipality issued a document about the subsidy for VBP, which is a positive policy and is good for innovation.
The approval of Genuine Biotech’s Azvudine could greatly increase the unpredictability of the approval of domestic innovative drugs, thus greatly increasing the unpredictable risk of domestic innovative drug enterprises.
In terms of internationalization, we summarized what Chinese pharmaceutical companies could do at the current stage. But they are hard to become the mainstream in pharmaceuticals globally in short term.


China Healthcare Weekly (July.29)-Subsidy for VBP, Unpredictable NMPA, Ways for Internationalization

<ul>
<li>We reviewed the 2021 performance and summarized the 2022 outlook for China healthcare sector.</li>
<li>We listed the 2022 high conviction ideas and mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business, the core competitiveness, the forecast and the concerns of related companies.</li>
<li>Overall, there are still good investment opportunities in China healthcare industry in 2022.</li>
</ul>


We reviewed the 2021 performance and summarized the 2022 outlook for China healthcare sector.
We listed the 2022 high conviction ideas and mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business, the core competitiveness, the forecast and the concerns of related companies.
Overall, there are still good investment opportunities in China healthcare industry in 2022.


2022 High Conviction (China Healthcare) - Seek the Relative Certainties Out of the Uncertainties

Industry Viewpoints:<ul>
<li>Eight departments jointly issued the pilot plan for deepening the price reform of medical services.</li>
<li>New document was released to regulate the medical beauty advertisement.</li>
<li>With labels such as "whitening", "keeping healthy" and "anti-aging", related functional food has captured the "health anxiety" of young people. </li>
</ul>Company News:News about the updated progress on new drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jw-therapeutics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29679:1" rel="noopener">JW Therapeutics (2126 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>, Gloria Biosciences,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK) </a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jacobio-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29696:1" rel="noopener">Jacobio Pharmaceuticals (1167 HK)</a>. Market Review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 2.03%, while CSI 300 increased 0.33% over the same period of time.Risk Disclosure: Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry Viewpoints:
Eight departments jointly issued the pilot plan for deepening the price reform of medical services.
New document was released to regulate the medical beauty advertisement.
With labels such as "whitening", "keeping healthy" and "anti-aging", related functional food has captured the "health anxiety" of young people. 
Company News:News about the updated progress on new drugs of JW Therapeutics (2126 HK), Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK), Gloria Biosciences,BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK) and Jacobio Pharmaceuticals (1167 HK). Market Review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 2.03%, while CSI 300 increased 0.33% over the same period of time.Risk Disclosure: Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.3) - Price Reform of Medical Services, Medical Beauty, Functional Food

China

Hygeia Healthcare is a prominent oncology healthcare group in China, dedicated to enhancing the accessibility and affordability of cancer treatment services. The company operates a network of oncology hospitals, providing comprehensive services from screening and diagnosis to various treatment modalities like chemotherapy, immunotherapy, and radiotherapy. It also offers radiotherapy consulting and equipment licensing. Hygeia Healthcare was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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Hygeia Healthcare (6078 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.16) - ICU Expansion, Abnormal Medical Demand, Dying Chapter 18A of HKEX

Investor should treat ICU expansion rationally due to staff shortage. Demand during COVID was abnormal, which may have natural growth in 23H2. IPO...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly(Sep9)-Innovative Device Policy,Commercial Success Definition,Don't Be Fooled

We recommend cautiously optimistic about new innovative device policy. It's important to clarify what constitutes "commercialization success". All...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (July.29)-Subsidy for VBP, Unpredictable NMPA, Ways for Internationalization

The policy about subsidy for VBP is a positive sign for innovation. NMPA is unpredictable, increasing the uncertainty of drug approval. Here's what...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

2022 High Conviction (China Healthcare) - Seek the Relative Certainties Out of the Uncertainties

The article analyzed the 2021 review and 2022 high conviction ideas, including the industry characteristics, the business, the core...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.3) - Price Reform of Medical Services, Medical Beauty, Functional Food

This article mainly analyzed the pilot plan for the price reform of medical services, new regulation on medical beauty advertisement, functional...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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