Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Verisilicon Microelectronics S / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be one change for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/verisilicon-microelectronics-s" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32183:1" rel="noopener">Verisilicon Microelectronics S (688521 CH)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianshui-huatian-technolog-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20708:1" rel="noopener">Tianshui Huatian Technology Co, Ltd. (002185 CH)</a>. </li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy 0.5x ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/verisilicon-microelectronics-s" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32183:1" rel="noopener">Verisilicon Microelectronics S (688521 CH)</a> and sell 0.4x ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianshui-huatian-technolog-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20708:1" rel="noopener">Tianshui Huatian Technology Co, Ltd. (002185 CH)</a>. </li>
<li>There will be large selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cambricon-technologies-corp-lt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31068:1" rel="noopener">Cambricon Technologies Lt (688256 CH)</a> due to capping while there will be smaller inflows for the other index constituents.</li>
</ul>


There could be one change for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index with Verisilicon Microelectronics S (688521 CH) replacing Tianshui Huatian Technology Co, Ltd. (002185 CH). 
Passive trackers will need to buy 0.5x ADV in Verisilicon Microelectronics S (688521 CH) and sell 0.4x ADV in Tianshui Huatian Technology Co, Ltd. (002185 CH). 
There will be large selling in Cambricon Technologies Lt (688256 CH) due to capping while there will be smaller inflows for the other index constituents.


CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance Preview: One Set of Changes in December

<ul>
<li>There could be 1 constituent change for the STAR Chip Index at the December rebalance. There will also be a few capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 2.5bn (US$352m). Passives need to trade between 0.3-0.4x ADV in the potential changes.</li>
<li>The forecast add and delete will have same-way flows from passive trackers of other indices and that will increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
</ul>


There could be 1 constituent change for the STAR Chip Index at the December rebalance. There will also be a few capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 2.5bn (US$352m). Passives need to trade between 0.3-0.4x ADV in the potential changes.
The forecast add and delete will have same-way flows from passive trackers of other indices and that will increase the impact on the stocks.


STAR Chip Index Rebalance Preview: One Change for December

China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech / Index Rebalance

China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there are 6 non-constituents in direct inclusion zone and 4 current constituents in direct deletion zone. However, as usual, there will be discretion used.</li>
<li>4 changes result in a one-way turnover of 4%, leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 17bn (US$2.4bn). Index arb balances will increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The index committee has used discretion in selecting the index adds and deletes and that could continue to be the case at this review too.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there are 6 non-constituents in direct inclusion zone and 4 current constituents in direct deletion zone. However, as usual, there will be discretion used.
4 changes result in a one-way turnover of 4%, leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 17bn (US$2.4bn). Index arb balances will increase the impact on the stocks.
The index committee has used discretion in selecting the index adds and deletes and that could continue to be the case at this review too.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Potential Changes in December

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we forecast 2 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 7 changes for the STAR100 Index in December.</li>
<li>We estimate turnover of 4.3% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 6.7% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip trade is CNY 17.9bn (US$2.5bn).</li>
<li>The forecast adds to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> have outperformed the forecast deletes with most of the outperformance coming in August. Been a volatile trade since then.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we forecast 2 changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 7 changes for the STAR100 Index in December.
We estimate turnover of 4.3% for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 6.7% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip trade is CNY 17.9bn (US$2.5bn).
The forecast adds to the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) have outperformed the forecast deletes with most of the outperformance coming in August. Been a volatile trade since then.


STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: 14 Outright Changes Across the Indices

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Xinjiang Daqo, Hwatsing Technology, Jinko Solar, Transsion, Montage Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Xinjiang Daqo, Hwatsing Technology, Jinko Solar, Transsion, Montage Technology.


STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Jul): Xinjiang Daqo, Hwatsing Technology, Jinko Solar, Transsion

China

Hygon Information Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes computer components. The Company produces high end processors, deep computing processors, accelerators, calculator chips, and other related products. Hygon Information Technology markets its products worldwide.

Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH)

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Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH)

CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance Preview: One Set of Changes in December

Verisilicon could replace Tianshui Huatian in the index in Dec. Verisilicon is an expected add to a few other indices at the same time and flow...

Brian Freitas

STAR Chip Index Rebalance Preview: One Change for December

Giantec Semi could replace Grandit in the index in Dec. There will be capping changes for 3 of the large index weights. Estimated one-way turnover...

Brian Freitas

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Potential Changes in December

There could be 4 changes for the index in Dec. The index committee has used discretion in the past and that is likely to continue. One-way turnover...

Brian Freitas

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: 14 Outright Changes Across the Indices

There could be 14 outright changes for the STAR50/100 indices in Dec. The round-trip trade is US$2.5bn with some big capping flows. The adds have...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Jul): Xinjiang Daqo, Hwatsing Technology, Jinko Solar, Transsion

We analyzed STAR50's consensus for Jul 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Xinjiang Daqo, Hwatsing Technology, Jinko Solar, Transsion, Montage...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)