Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> has reached a tipping point: the previous Bull run trend is cracking, there is a high chance the index will drop.</li>
<li>The current MRM WEEKLY pattern is bearish: if the index falls for more than 1 week it may tailspin into a 4-6 weeks correction in September.</li>
<li>Cover your LONG holdings, support can be found at 325 (Q2), 315 (Q3) and 297 (Inner Fence).</li>
</ul>


The KOSPI 200 INDEX has reached a tipping point: the previous Bull run trend is cracking, there is a high chance the index will drop.
The current MRM WEEKLY pattern is bearish: if the index falls for more than 1 week it may tailspin into a 4-6 weeks correction in September.
Cover your LONG holdings, support can be found at 325 (Q2), 315 (Q3) and 297 (Inner Fence).


EQD | KOSPI 200 Index's Decisive Week: New WEEKLY LONG Supports

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SK Networks announced that it will repurchase 100 billion won in common shares and also cancel nearly 70 billion won of existing treasury shares.</li>
<li>The combined share buyback and treasury shares cancellation will represent nearly 14% of the company's total outstanding shares.  </li>
<li>The combined share buyback and treasury shares cancellation which will represent nearly 14% of the company's total outstanding shares, will likely have a positive impact on SK Network's share price.</li>
</ul>


SK Networks announced that it will repurchase 100 billion won in common shares and also cancel nearly 70 billion won of existing treasury shares.
The combined share buyback and treasury shares cancellation will represent nearly 14% of the company's total outstanding shares.  
The combined share buyback and treasury shares cancellation which will represent nearly 14% of the company's total outstanding shares, will likely have a positive impact on SK Network's share price.


SK Networks: 100 Billion Won in Share Buyback + 70 Billion Won in Treasury Shares Cancellation

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hotel Shilla, one of the largest operators of duty free shops in Korea, will be a major beneficiary of the return of the group tours from China to Korea.</li>
<li>We expect the consensus to raise the company's sales estimates in 2024 to 2025 by about 3-7% and net profit estimates by 20-25%+ in this period. </li>
<li>Currently, Hotel Shilla Pref/Common stock price ratio is 0.61 which is 22% below the five year average of 0.78. </li>
</ul>


Hotel Shilla, one of the largest operators of duty free shops in Korea, will be a major beneficiary of the return of the group tours from China to Korea.
We expect the consensus to raise the company's sales estimates in 2024 to 2025 by about 3-7% and net profit estimates by 20-25%+ in this period. 
Currently, Hotel Shilla Pref/Common stock price ratio is 0.61 which is 22% below the five year average of 0.78. 


Hotel Shilla Pref: Discount Vs Common to Narrow and Boost from Chinese Group Tours to Korea

<ul>
<li>A previously published <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-kospi-200-index-weekly-time-to-go-long" target="_blank" rel="noopener">insight</a> correctly highlighted an high-probability opportunity to go LONG and join the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a>'s current multi-month Bull run.</li>
<li>The index closed the week strongly up, now we want to evaluate how far this new leg up could go: a total of +3/+4 weeks up, price targets =359-385.</li>
<li>Holders of KOSPI 200 LONG positions: Covered Calls can be written at Strikes between 346 and 360, expiry August 10th (4 weeks). A pullback is highly probable from 360.
</li>
</ul>


A previously published insight correctly highlighted an high-probability opportunity to go LONG and join the KOSPI 200's current multi-month Bull run.
The index closed the week strongly up, now we want to evaluate how far this new leg up could go: a total of +3/+4 weeks up, price targets =359-385.
Holders of KOSPI 200 LONG positions: Covered Calls can be written at Strikes between 346 and 360, expiry August 10th (4 weeks). A pullback is highly probable from 360.



EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY Rising: How Far Can It Go?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>According to Invest Chosun, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> plans to submit a merger registration statement to the KRX in July, with Mirae Asset Securities acting as the lead underwriter.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> investors are in a conundrum. The stock is doing well. With one quarter to go, the company just raised its full-year EPS target by 8.3%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canon-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1:1" rel="noopener">Canon (7751 JP)</a>'s most recent buyback should be done now-ish. They have been ~15-20% of volume over the past month. The Trade would be short Canon vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ricoh-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15359:1" rel="noopener">Ricoh (7752 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


According to Invest Chosun, Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) plans to submit a merger registration statement to the KRX in July, with Mirae Asset Securities acting as the lead underwriter.

Fast Retailing (9983 JP) investors are in a conundrum. The stock is doing well. With one quarter to go, the company just raised its full-year EPS target by 8.3%.

Canon (7751 JP)'s most recent buyback should be done now-ish. They have been ~15-20% of volume over the past month. The Trade would be short Canon vs Ricoh (7752 JP).


Last Week in Event SPACE: Celltrion, Fast Retailing, Canon, Costa, Chindata

South Korea

Hyundai Department Store Co., Ltd. operates department stores under the name of Hyundai Department over nationwide.  The Company also produces home shopping programs for cable channels and sells merchandise through home shopping programs.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hyundai Dept Store Co (069960 KS)

EQD | KOSPI 200 Index's Decisive Week: New WEEKLY LONG Supports

The KOSPI 200 Index may have reached the end of its 2023 rally: a correction is probable in September, read the MRM LONG support prices to know...

Nico Rosti

Hotel Shilla Pref: Discount Vs Common to Narrow and Boost from Chinese Group Tours to Korea

Currently, Hotel Shilla Pref/Common stock price ratio is 0.61 which is 22% below the five year average of 0.78. Hotel Shilla is one of the biggest...

Douglas Kim

EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY Rising: How Far Can It Go?

Market Reversal Matrix (MRM)'s analysis of the KOSPI 200's WEEKLY current uptrend: price levels where the trend can stop and probability of...

Nico Rosti

Last Week in Event SPACE: Celltrion, Fast Retailing, Canon, Costa, Chindata

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EQD | KOSPI 200 Index's Decisive Week: New WEEKLY LONG Supports

The KOSPI 200 Index may have reached the end of its 2023 rally: a correction is probable in September, read the MRM LONG support prices to know...

Nico Rosti

SK Networks: 100 Billion Won in Share Buyback + 70 Billion Won in Treasury Shares Cancellation

On 18 August, SK Networks (001740 KS) announced a tender offer of SK Rent A Car (068400 KS). SK Networks plans to acquire a 100% stake in SK Rent-A...

Douglas Kim

Hotel Shilla Pref: Discount Vs Common to Narrow and Boost from Chinese Group Tours to Korea

Currently, Hotel Shilla Pref/Common stock price ratio is 0.61 which is 22% below the five year average of 0.78. Hotel Shilla is one of the biggest...

Douglas Kim

EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY Rising: How Far Can It Go?

Market Reversal Matrix (MRM)'s analysis of the KOSPI 200's WEEKLY current uptrend: price levels where the trend can stop and probability of...

Nico Rosti

Last Week in Event SPACE: Celltrion, Fast Retailing, Canon, Costa, Chindata

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett