Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>A pullback in tech with momentum factor significantly underperforming value. </li>
<li>Intel rallies as high as 12% as it prices in Son's $2bn investment and Lutnick confirms Chips funds for Equity.</li>
<li>Japan's MoD budget may not meet investors lofty expectations given the backdrop of 5% targets in EU.</li>
</ul>


A pullback in tech with momentum factor significantly underperforming value. 
Intel rallies as high as 12% as it prices in Son's $2bn investment and Lutnick confirms Chips funds for Equity.
Japan's MoD budget may not meet investors lofty expectations given the backdrop of 5% targets in EU.


Japan Morning Connection: Buffets Steps in to Take Stakes in US Homebuilder Majors

<ul>
<li>AMAT pricing in weak numbers sent semi-cap lower, while Intel bought its gains to 23% for the week.</li>
<li>Housing name starting to cut through the daily static of Treasury moves as sentiment improves ahead of Sep cut.</li>
<li>Home improvement/suppliers such as Toto and Lixil may see increased interest as global rates outside of Japan trend lower.</li>
</ul>


AMAT pricing in weak numbers sent semi-cap lower, while Intel bought its gains to 23% for the week.
Housing name starting to cut through the daily static of Treasury moves as sentiment improves ahead of Sep cut.
Home improvement/suppliers such as Toto and Lixil may see increased interest as global rates outside of Japan trend lower.


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Calm with No Further Tariffs for China

<ul>
<li>AMAT number after market missed showing a slowdown in Chinese demand and licensing delays.</li>
<li>INTC news positive for SPE suppliers but demand will be tempered in light of AMAT.</li>
<li>Coach owner taking a hit on tariff costs sends a warning to likes of Este Lauder who reports next week.</li>
</ul>


AMAT number after market missed showing a slowdown in Chinese demand and licensing delays.
INTC news positive for SPE suppliers but demand will be tempered in light of AMAT.
Coach owner taking a hit on tariff costs sends a warning to likes of Este Lauder who reports next week.


Japan Morning Connection: US Looking to Take a Stage in INTC Will Ensure Fab Ambitions

<ul>
<li>Intel CEO Tan summoned to Washington for meetings will likely result in a bigger domestic fab push.</li>
<li>Micron beats on HBM, Kioxia on NAND - sets a good tone for memory overall.</li>
<li>NVDA selling Blackwell in China positive for substrate supplier Ibiden.</li>
</ul>


Intel CEO Tan summoned to Washington for meetings will likely result in a bigger domestic fab push.
Micron beats on HBM, Kioxia on NAND - sets a good tone for memory overall.
NVDA selling Blackwell in China positive for substrate supplier Ibiden.


Japan Morning Connection: AMD and NVDA Set to Pay 15% of China Chip Sales to US for Export Licenses

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas, Azabu Research

Michael Allen

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas

Azabu Research

Azabu Research is a publishing and consulting firm focused on distressed equities in the Japanese market. We specialize in turnaround strategies, corporate combinations, divestitures, and restructuring.

Publisher of the Tokyo Turnaround Letter, which conducts the most thorough research possible of publicly available information, including forensic tests for fraudulent overstatement of assets and understatement of liabilities, as well as rigorous market and industry analysis to assess the underlying strengths of the company’s products or services, the appropriateness of the company’s turnaround strategy, and the skill of its current management team. The average length of a report exceeds 25 pages of text and tables, excluding any disclosures or executive summaries.

We have more than 30 years of experience in applying this process to distressed equities in Japan. Additionally, subscribers have free access to detailed, yet easily navigated earnings models for the target company as well as the top five comparable companies, and unlimited access to the analyst for follow-up questions.

Azabu Research also conducts be-spoke research on a project basis, and provides consulting services to companies looking to restructure, divest, make acquisitions, go public, or improve investor sentiment toward their stock.

Independent Research and Consulting Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiyo Yuden underperformed its peers in electronic components by 29% over the past year, but its change in operating profit margin should outperform peers by 68% in the current year.</li>
<li>Exposure to the U.S. is less than 7% of direct sales, but probably 25% including indirect exposure. Still, based on supply/demand analysis, we think Yuden is probably tariff proof.  </li>
<li>While rivals have prioritized high-margin device modules to offset component sales declines, Yuden doubled down on its core capacitor and inductor strengths and appears to be coming out ahead.</li>
</ul>


Taiyo Yuden underperformed its peers in electronic components by 29% over the past year, but its change in operating profit margin should outperform peers by 68% in the current year.
Exposure to the U.S. is less than 7% of direct sales, but probably 25% including indirect exposure. Still, based on supply/demand analysis, we think Yuden is probably tariff proof.  
While rivals have prioritized high-margin device modules to offset component sales declines, Yuden doubled down on its core capacitor and inductor strengths and appears to be coming out ahead.


Taiyo Yuden (6976):  A Slightly Different Path to Massively Higher Margins

Japan

IBIDEN CO, LTD. develops, produces, and markets ceramics, housing materials, and electronics.  The Company's products include printed circuit boards (PCB), graphite specialties, integrated circuit (IC) packages, ceramic fibers, melamine decorative high-pressure laminates, and pre-cut structural materials.

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Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Buffets Steps in to Take Stakes in US Homebuilder Majors

Lower rates and pick up in demand for US Homebuilders attracts Warren Buffet. NVDA reportedly developing new Blackwell GPU for China market. Will...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Calm with No Further Tariffs for China

Housing sector sentiment improves and forecast to continue with rate cutting cycle ahead. Intel continued to outperform following the prospect of...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: US Looking to Take a Stage in INTC Will Ensure Fab Ambitions

US talks about a stake in Intel to boost US chipmaking, a positive for those involved in Intel's SPE supply chain. Estee Lauder down on concerns...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: AMD and NVDA Set to Pay 15% of China Chip Sales to US for Export Licenses

JP still needs to price in large cap tech gains in the US from Friday, Intel up after Trump's meeting with CEO Tan, positive for Ibiden if NVDA is...

Andrew Jackson

Taiyo Yuden (6976): A Slightly Different Path to Massively Higher Margins

Taiyo Yuden's focus on core strengths is paying off with a projected 68% increase in operating profit this year. Low U.S. exposure makes it likely...

Michael Allen

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Buffets Steps in to Take Stakes in US Homebuilder Majors

Lower rates and pick up in demand for US Homebuilders attracts Warren Buffet. NVDA reportedly developing new Blackwell GPU for China market. Will...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Calm with No Further Tariffs for China

Housing sector sentiment improves and forecast to continue with rate cutting cycle ahead. Intel continued to outperform following the prospect of...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: US Looking to Take a Stage in INTC Will Ensure Fab Ambitions

US talks about a stake in Intel to boost US chipmaking, a positive for those involved in Intel's SPE supply chain. Estee Lauder down on concerns...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: AMD and NVDA Set to Pay 15% of China Chip Sales to US for Export Licenses

JP still needs to price in large cap tech gains in the US from Friday, Intel up after Trump's meeting with CEO Tan, positive for Ibiden if NVDA is...

Andrew Jackson

Taiyo Yuden (6976): A Slightly Different Path to Massively Higher Margins

​Taiyo Yuden's focus on core strengths is paying off with a projected 68% increase in operating profit this year. Low U.S. exposure makes it likely...

Michael Allen

Taiyo Yuden's focus on core strengths is paying off with a projected 68% increase in operating profit this year. Low U.S. exposure makes it likely...