Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>Our outlook remains neutral for global ex-U.S. markets while horizontal consolidation continues on the MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index.  In today’s report we take a bottoms-up view on developed ex-U.S. equities, highlighting stocks that present attractive buy opportunities <em>within the Services, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Energy, and Financials Sectors.</em></p>

Our outlook remains neutral for global ex-U.S. markets while horizontal consolidation continues on the MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index.  In today’s report we take a bottoms-up view on developed ex-U.S. equities, highlighting stocks that present attractive buy opportunities within the Services, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Energy, and Financials Sectors.

Bottoms-Up View on Developed Markets: Actionable Stocks

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Mercari: future growth path and potential M&amp;A targets</h2><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/713" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:713">Mio Kato, CFA</a> discusses what Mercari founder Shintarou Yamada highlighted in the recent press interviews. The main focus of these interviews with founder Shintarou Yamada has been on the additional growth areas Mercari could venture into including smartphone payments, AI usage for improving customer convenience/experience, and the potential global market scale which could be about 10 times that of the domestic market. But Mio says he is more…</p>

Mercari: future growth path and potential M&amp;A targetsMio Kato, CFA discusses what Mercari founder Shintarou Yamada highlighted in the recent press interviews. The main focus of these interviews with founder Shintarou Yamada has been on the additional growth areas Mercari could venture into including smartphone payments, AI usage for improving customer convenience/experience, and the potential global market scale which could be about 10 times that of the domestic market. But Mio says he is more…

Japan & Korea @Smartkarma: Mercari, Kim/Trump, AirBnB in Japan, Toshiba & MCorset IPO

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:913:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP)</a> IFA opines that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1670:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Property Ltd (FPL SP)</a>’s scheme offer of S$0.71 cash and permitted distributions (estimated at S$0.0098) is fair and reasonable.</li>
<li>While the current offer is arguably light compared to the failed 2022 offer, the lack of vocal opposition and limited retail displeasure reduces the vote risk.</li>
<li>On balance, the scheme vote should pass. For a 30 September payment, the gross/annualised spread of the total offer (S$0.7198) is 2.8%/15.6%.  </li>
</ul>


The Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP) IFA opines that Frasers Property Ltd (FPL SP)’s scheme offer of S$0.71 cash and permitted distributions (estimated at S$0.0098) is fair and reasonable.
While the current offer is arguably light compared to the failed 2022 offer, the lack of vocal opposition and limited retail displeasure reduces the vote risk.
On balance, the scheme vote should pass. For a 30 September payment, the gross/annualised spread of the total offer (S$0.7198) is 2.8%/15.6%.  


Fraser Hospitality Trust (FHT SP): Scheme Vote on 15 August

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation / Equity Capital Markets

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (8953 JP)

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-metropolitan-fund-investment-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:735:1" rel="noopener">Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (8953 JP)</a> aims to raise around US$140m to partly fund the acquisition of four assets.</li>
<li>The deal will be relatively small, in terms of ADV and dilution.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (8953 JP) aims to raise around US$140m to partly fund the acquisition of four assets.
The deal will be relatively small, in terms of ADV and dilution.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Japan Metropolitan Fund Placement - Relatively Small Deal to Digest

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Ichigo Hotel Reit Investment / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>With Japan's "Minpaku" law set to become effective on 15 Jun there has been much turmoil with <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Sharing-Economy/Japan-s-Airbnb-refugees-are-desperate-for-alternatives" target="_blank">Airbnb reportedly cancelling 80% of its 62,000 Japanese listings</a> following instructions from the Japan Tourism Agency to ensure that listings were in compliance with the new law. Airbnb previously operated in a legal grey zone within Japan and in order to clarify the legality of its position, the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) drew up regulations to legalise home sharing…</p>

With Japan's "Minpaku" law set to become effective on 15 Jun there has been much turmoil with Airbnb reportedly cancelling 80% of its 62,000 Japanese listings following instructions from the Japan Tourism Agency to ensure that listings were in compliance with the new law. Airbnb previously operated in a legal grey zone within Japan and in order to clarify the legality of its position, the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) drew up regulations to legalise home sharing…

80% of Japanese AirBnB Listings Just Got Cancelled - Who Benefits?

Japan

ICHIGO HOTEL REIT INVESTMENT CORP. is a specialized hotel J-REIT, established with the mission of leveraging Ichigo Group's deep value-add expertise and management know-how.

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Ichigo Hotel Reit Investment (3463 JP)

Bottoms-Up View on Developed Markets: Actionable Stocks

Our outlook remains neutral for global ex-U.S. markets while horizontal consolidation continues on the MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index. In today’s report...

Vermilion Research

Japan & Korea @Smartkarma: Mercari, Kim/Trump, AirBnB in Japan, Toshiba & MCorset IPO

Mercari: future growth path and potential M&A targetsMio Kato, CFA discusses what Mercari founder Shintarou Yamada highlighted in the recent...

Sanghyun Park

Fraser Hospitality Trust (FHT SP): Scheme Vote on 15 August

While the current offer is arguably light compared to the failed 2022 offer, the lack of vocal opposition and limited retail displeasure reduces...

Arun George

Japan Metropolitan Fund Placement - Relatively Small Deal to Digest

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (8953 JP) aims to raise around US$140m to partly fund the acquisition of four assets.

Sumeet Singh

80% of Japanese AirBnB Listings Just Got Cancelled - Who Benefits?

With Japan's "Minpaku" law set to become effective on 15 Jun there has been much turmoil with Airbnb reportedly cancelling 80% of its 62,000...

Mio Kato

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