Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we had been expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.</li>
<li>However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in 4/1/25 and 4/3/25 reports how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious</li>
<li>While it is possible that the lows are in, we now are looking for the ACWI-US rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or the 200-day MA (~$118).</li>
</ul>


Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we had been expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.
However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in 4/1/25 and 4/3/25 reports how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious
While it is possible that the lows are in, we now are looking for the ACWI-US rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or the 200-day MA (~$118).


Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The systemic credit growth (as of 21st March, 2025) has tapered to ~11% vs. 15-16% YoY.</li><li>This can be primarily attributed to a meaningful slowdown in the unsecured loans amidst continued asset quality challenges alongside banks, mainly private banks, intending to bring down their LDRs to a balanced level.</li><li>We expect banks under our coverage to deliver ~12% YoY credit growth, largely in line with industry growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The systemic credit growth (as of 21st March, 2025) has tapered to ~11% vs. 15-16% YoY.This can be primarily attributed to a meaningful slowdown in the unsecured loans amidst continued asset quality challenges alongside banks, mainly private banks, intending to bring down their LDRs to a balanced level.We expect banks under our coverage to deliver ~12% YoY credit growth, largely in line with industry growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q4FY25 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

LG Electronics India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8814:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics (066570 KS)</a> is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44148:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics India</a>.</li>
<li>LG Electronics India (LGEI) was the market leader in India in major home appliances and consumer electronics (excluding mobile phones) in terms of volume in 1Q25, as per Redseer Report.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



LG Electronics (066570 KS) is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in LG Electronics India.
LG Electronics India (LGEI) was the market leader in India in major home appliances and consumer electronics (excluding mobile phones) in terms of volume in 1Q25, as per Redseer Report.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.


LG Electronics India Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8814:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics (066570 KS)</a> is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44148:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics India</a>.</li>
<li>LG Electronics India (LGEI) was the market leader in India in major home appliances and consumer electronics (excluding mobile phones) in terms of volume in 1Q25, as per Redseer Report.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



LG Electronics (066570 KS) is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in LG Electronics India.
LG Electronics India (LGEI) was the market leader in India in major home appliances and consumer electronics (excluding mobile phones) in terms of volume in 1Q25, as per Redseer Report.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.


LG Electronics India Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Largest but One of the Slowest

<ul><li>President Donald Trump and the White House revealed a list of U.S. “reciprocal tariff” rates that more than 180 countries and territories are set to face.</li><li>A 10% baseline tax will be applied to all imports, while countries with significant trade surplus with the US will face higher tariffs.</li><li>Higher tariffs have been announced for certain countries. These stand as follows: India 26%, China 34%, EU 20%, South Korea 25%, Vietnam 46%, Taiwan 32%, and Japan 24%. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

President Donald Trump and the White House revealed a list of U.S. “reciprocal tariff” rates that more than 180 countries and territories are set to face.A 10% baseline tax will be applied to all imports, while countries with significant trade surplus with the US will face higher tariffs.Higher tariffs have been announced for certain countries. These stand as follows: India 26%, China 34%, EU 20%, South Korea 25%, Vietnam 46%, Taiwan 32%, and Japan 24%. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Trump Tariffs - Possible Impact on Our Market

India

ICICI Bank Limited operates a network of banks located throughout India. The Group specializes in retail and corporate banking, in addition to Forex and treasury operations. ICICI Bank also provides a wide variety of investment banking, insurance and financial services to its clients.

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Icici Bank Ltd Spon Adr (IBN US)

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities. Looking for the $ACWI rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or...

Vermilion Research

Q4FY25 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

We would watch out for management commentary on growth trajectory in FY26 and direction for recovery in the unsecured segments, particularly MFI...

Axis Direct

LG Electronics India Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

LG Electronics (066570 KS) is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in LG Electronics India. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

LG Electronics India Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Largest but One of the Slowest

LG Electronics (066570 KS) is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in LG Elec India. We have looked at its past performance...

Sumeet Singh

Trump Tariffs - Possible Impact on Our Market

President Donald Trump and the White House revealed a list of U.S. “reciprocal tariff” rates that more than 180 countries and territories are set...

Axis Direct

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