Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Canara Bank has seen stunning profit expansion over the past several years </li>
<li>Lower NPLs can drive lower credit costs to support profit expansion further</li>
<li>ROE moved from 11.7% to 17.3% over the past several years</li>
</ul>


Canara Bank has seen stunning profit expansion over the past several years 
Lower NPLs can drive lower credit costs to support profit expansion further
ROE moved from 11.7% to 17.3% over the past several years


Canara Bank - Radically Lower NPLs and Sharply Expanding Net Profit

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Government of India raised around US$513m via selling some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharti-hexacom" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40858:1" rel="noopener">Bharti Hexacom's</a> IPO.</li>
<li>Bharti Hexacom (BH) is a communications solutions provider offering consumer mobile services, fixed-line telephone and broadband services to customers in the Rajasthan and the North East telecommunication circles in India.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Government of India raised around US$513m via selling some of its stake in Bharti Hexacom's IPO.
Bharti Hexacom (BH) is a communications solutions provider offering consumer mobile services, fixed-line telephone and broadband services to customers in the Rajasthan and the North East telecommunication circles in India.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Bharti Hexacom IPO Trading - Strong Insti and Anchor, Retail Gave It a Miss

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The systemic credit growth (as of 22nd Mar’24) continued to remain robust, registering a growth of ~20% YoY (~16.3% YoY ex-HDFC).</li><li>Based on the provisional updates released by banks thus far, along with the systemic growth momentum and considering Q4 as a seasonally strong quarter, we expect the banks under our coverage to reflect these trends and register a ~17-18% YoY credit growth (ex-HDFC).</li><li>Credit growth continues to be led by the retail and SME segments, with a gradual pickup in corporate lending. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The systemic credit growth (as of 22nd Mar’24) continued to remain robust, registering a growth of ~20% YoY (~16.3% YoY ex-HDFC).Based on the provisional updates released by banks thus far, along with the systemic growth momentum and considering Q4 as a seasonally strong quarter, we expect the banks under our coverage to reflect these trends and register a ~17-18% YoY credit growth (ex-HDFC).Credit growth continues to be led by the retail and SME segments, with a gradual pickup in corporate lending. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>Crizac is looking to raise US$120m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Equirus and Anand Rathi.</li>
<li>Crizac is an education platform offering international student recruitment solutions to global institutions of higher education in the United Kingdom, Canada, Republic of Ireland, Australia and New Zealand (ANZ).</li>
<li>Crizac is one of the largest student recruitment solutions providers from India to the UK with a market share of 13.0%, in terms of the number of students in 2023.</li>
</ul>


Crizac is looking to raise US$120m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Equirus and Anand Rathi.
Crizac is an education platform offering international student recruitment solutions to global institutions of higher education in the United Kingdom, Canada, Republic of Ireland, Australia and New Zealand (ANZ).
Crizac is one of the largest student recruitment solutions providers from India to the UK with a market share of 13.0%, in terms of the number of students in 2023.


Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-birla-fashion-and-retail-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19048:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)</a> on 1st April announced a vertical demerger and separate listing of its matured and asset-light Madura brand portfolio.</li>
<li>Assessment of demerger: whether it is seriously a value creation opportunity or just a strategic gimmick for merger-demerger in Mega Bull Run.</li>
<li>Valuation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-birla-fashion-and-retail-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19048:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)</a> , whether any juice left in the company?</li>
</ul>



Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN) on 1st April announced a vertical demerger and separate listing of its matured and asset-light Madura brand portfolio.
Assessment of demerger: whether it is seriously a value creation opportunity or just a strategic gimmick for merger-demerger in Mega Bull Run.
Valuation of Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN) , whether any juice left in the company?


ABFRL's Demerger: A Game-Changer or a Gamble?

India

ICICI Bank Limited operates a network of banks located throughout India. The Group specializes in retail and corporate banking, in addition to Forex and treasury operations. ICICI Bank also provides a wide variety of investment banking, insurance and financial services to its clients.

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Icici Bank Ltd Spon Adr (IBN US)

Canara Bank - Radically Lower NPLs and Sharply Expanding Net Profit

Radically lower NPLs and sharply higher net profit can continue with benign credit costs, especially as Loss Loans are down a lot. ROE and ROA are...

Daniel Tabbush

Bharti Hexacom IPO Trading - Strong Insti and Anchor, Retail Gave It a Miss

Government of India raised around US$513m via selling some of its stake in Bharti Hexacom's IPO. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading...

Sumeet Singh

BFSI Q4FY24 - Earnings Preview

The systemic credit growth (as of 22nd Mar’24) continued to remain robust, registering a growth of ~20% YoY (~16.3% YoY ex-HDFC).

Axis Direct

Crizac Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Crizac Limited is looking to raise US$120m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Equirus and Anand Rathi.

Sumeet Singh

ABFRL's Demerger: A Game-Changer or a Gamble?

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd announces vertical demerger of Madura brand portfolio, sparking debate on value creation vs strategic gimmick...

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Canara Bank - Radically Lower NPLs and Sharply Expanding Net Profit

Radically lower NPLs and sharply higher net profit can continue with benign credit costs, especially as Loss Loans are down a lot. ROE and ROA are...

Daniel Tabbush

Bharti Hexacom IPO Trading - Strong Insti and Anchor, Retail Gave It a Miss

Government of India raised around US$513m via selling some of its stake in Bharti Hexacom's IPO. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading...

Sumeet Singh

BFSI Q4FY24 - Earnings Preview

The systemic credit growth (as of 22nd Mar’24) continued to remain robust, registering a growth of ~20% YoY (~16.3% YoY ex-HDFC).

Axis Direct

Crizac Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Crizac Limited is looking to raise US$120m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Equirus and Anand Rathi.

Sumeet Singh

ABFRL's Demerger: A Game-Changer or a Gamble?

​Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd announces vertical demerger of Madura brand portfolio, sparking debate on value creation vs strategic gimmick...

Nimish Maheshwari

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd announces vertical demerger of Madura brand portfolio, sparking debate on value creation vs strategic gimmick...