India BFSI - Long-Short - Equity Research Analyst

Raj S, CA, CFA

Artoval Advisors

Art’o’val stands for Art of Valuation. Artoval Advisors LLP is a professionally run advisory firm catering to various financial advisory services including Valuation, Investment Research, Training, Accounting, CFO Services and other ancillary services.

We are passionate about what we do and strongly believe in working with our clients as their extended teams. With Artoval Advisors as their trusted partner, our clients find it easy to achieve efficiency in service delivery without compromising on quality.

True Art of Valuation

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>IRDAI has released an exposure draft proposing a substantial  reduction in surrender charges on Non-Par Guaranteed Life Insurance Products</li>
<li>The move aims to the remove penalizing surrender charges prevalent on Traditional Savings products with guaranteed RoI; this is the latest of moves aimed to improve policyholder protection</li>
<li>All life insurers are negatively impacted  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-life-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25899:1" rel="noopener">SBI Life Insurance Co Ltd (SBILIFE IN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-standard-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26004:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Life Insurance (HDFCLIFE IN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/icici-prudential-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23608:1" rel="noopener">ICICI Prudential Life Insurance (IPRU IN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-insurance-corp-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28829:1" rel="noopener">Life Insurance of India (LICI IN)</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/icici-prudential-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23608:1" rel="noopener"></a>
</li>
</ul>


IRDAI has released an exposure draft proposing a substantial  reduction in surrender charges on Non-Par Guaranteed Life Insurance Products
The move aims to the remove penalizing surrender charges prevalent on Traditional Savings products with guaranteed RoI; this is the latest of moves aimed to improve policyholder protection
All life insurers are negatively impacted  SBI Life Insurance Co Ltd (SBILIFE IN)HDFC Life Insurance (HDFCLIFE IN)ICICI Prudential Life Insurance (IPRU IN)Life Insurance of India (LICI IN) 



India Life Insurers: IRDAI Proposes Higher Surrender Values (SBILIFE IN/ HDFCLIFE IN/ IPRU IN/ LICI)

Equity Bottom-Up

Life Insurance  of India / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-insurance-corp-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28829:1" rel="noopener">Life Insurance of India (LICI IN)</a> reported its 1H24 earnings which are a continuation of the poor performance of the largest life insurer in India.</li>
<li>Total sales were down -10% (individual sales – flat y-o-y); VNB margins falling; outlook not positive. Not positive shifts in product mix or distribution trends.</li>
<li>We value LIC at 0.5x FY25e P/EV, implying a -15% downside from the current price, reflecting poor sales growth, loss of market-share and its failure to turn-around the business model.</li>
</ul>



Life Insurance of India (LICI IN) reported its 1H24 earnings which are a continuation of the poor performance of the largest life insurer in India.
Total sales were down -10% (individual sales – flat y-o-y); VNB margins falling; outlook not positive. Not positive shifts in product mix or distribution trends.
We value LIC at 0.5x FY25e P/EV, implying a -15% downside from the current price, reflecting poor sales growth, loss of market-share and its failure to turn-around the business model.


Life Insurance of India (LICI IN) 2Q24 Review: Poor Performance; No Signs of Turnaround. Sell.

SBI Life Insurance Co Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We make two arguments in this note (A) Why you should invest in the Indian Life Insurance Sector right now; (B) Why you should start with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-life-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25899:1" rel="noopener">SBILIFE</a>  over<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-standard-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26004:1" rel="noopener"> HDFCLIFE</a>
</li>
<li>Answers (A) The train has left-the-station on the long runway of double-digit growth in the sector; (B) The sector valuations are very reasonable due to short-term pressures, SBIL especially so.</li>
<li>We compare SBILIFE and HDFCL's valuations, and narrow the focus on to One Crucial Factor showcasing the fundamental strength of these businesses.</li>
</ul>


We make two arguments in this note (A) Why you should invest in the Indian Life Insurance Sector right now; (B) Why you should start with SBILIFE  over HDFCLIFE

Answers (A) The train has left-the-station on the long runway of double-digit growth in the sector; (B) The sector valuations are very reasonable due to short-term pressures, SBIL especially so.
We compare SBILIFE and HDFCL's valuations, and narrow the focus on to One Crucial Factor showcasing the fundamental strength of these businesses.


HDFCL Vs SBIL: The Low Down on the Best Life Insurance Stocks In India Right Now (+SBIL 2Q24 Review)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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<ul><li>Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) delivered a strong set of numbers on the back of higher-than-expected growth in AUM (+33% YoY), customer additions (+37% YoY) and new loans booked (+26% YoY)</li><li>NIMs were sequentially softer by 14bps on account of a spike in funding costs, which is likely to further sustain into Q3FY24, reflecting in incremental NIM compression to the tune of 25-30bps</li><li>While our FY24 AUM growth forecast (+28%) is moderately behind management guidance, we believe that NIM compression is likely to be offset by improving operating leverage (Q2FY24: 34%)</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) delivered a strong set of numbers on the back of higher-than-expected growth in AUM (+33% YoY), customer additions (+37% YoY) and new loans booked (+26% YoY)NIMs were sequentially softer by 14bps on account of a spike in funding costs, which is likely to further sustain into Q3FY24, reflecting in incremental NIM compression to the tune of 25-30bpsWhile our FY24 AUM growth forecast (+28%) is moderately behind management guidance, we believe that NIM compression is likely to be offset by improving operating leverage (Q2FY24: 34%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, ICICI Prudential Life

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, ICICI Prudential Life, L&T Technology Services

India

ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company Limited of India provides life insurance services. The Company offers claim processing, electronic insurance accounts, and other services. ICICI Prudential Life Insurance conducts its business in India.

ICICI Prudential Life Insurance (IPRU IN)

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ICICI Prudential Life Insurance (IPRU IN)

India Life Insurers: IRDAI Proposes Higher Surrender Values (SBILIFE IN/ HDFCLIFE IN/ IPRU IN/ LICI)

Indian Life Insurance Regulatory update: Proposed removal of penal surrender charges on traditional guaranteed-return savings products; negatively...

Raj S, CA, CFA

Life Insurance of India (LICI IN) 2Q24 Review: Poor Performance; No Signs of Turnaround. Sell.

LIC’s 2Q24 earnings show a continuation of the poor performance of the largest life insurer in India. We expect further de-rating given the lack of...

Raj S, CA, CFA

HDFCL Vs SBIL: The Low Down on the Best Life Insurance Stocks In India Right Now (+SBIL 2Q24 Review)

We have added price charts showing clear "market sentiment" in favour of SBIL compared to HDFCL and the benchmark. This supports our central...

Raj S, CA, CFA

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, ICICI Prudential Life

Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) delivered a strong set of numbers on the back of higher-than-expected growth in AUM (+33% YoY), customer...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, ICICI Prudential Life, L&T Technology Services

Bajaj Finance (BAF) delivered a strong set of numbers on the back of higher-than-expected growth in AUM (+33% YoY), customer additions (+37% YoY)...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)