Asian bank research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Asian bank research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>There are few banking systems in the world or in Asia-Pacific that show such a steady but significant reduction in bad loans as in India. </li>
<li>Credit costs can remain subdued for sometime with better NPL levels and this can also lead the way to better loan volume, as loan officers take on more risk.</li>
<li>Banking penetration remains incredibly low in India compared with almost all countries in the region, and this means that there can be sustained robust growth.</li>
</ul>


There are few banking systems in the world or in Asia-Pacific that show such a steady but significant reduction in bad loans as in India. 
Credit costs can remain subdued for sometime with better NPL levels and this can also lead the way to better loan volume, as loan officers take on more risk.
Banking penetration remains incredibly low in India compared with almost all countries in the region, and this means that there can be sustained robust growth.


India Banks - Far Better Credit Metrics Seem Real, With Exceptional Long-Term Loan Growth Outlook

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) is looking to raise around US$400m in its India IPO. </li>
<li>It is the largest depository in India in terms of number of issuers, number of active instruments, market share in demat value of settlement volume and value of assets.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) is looking to raise around US$400m in its India IPO. 
It is the largest depository in India in terms of number of issuers, number of active instruments, market share in demat value of settlement volume and value of assets.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


NSDL Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Margins Could Drag

<ul>
<li>National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) is looking to raise around US$400m in its India IPO. </li>
<li>It is the largest depository in India in terms of number of issuers, number of active instruments, market share in demat value of settlement volume and value of assets.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) is looking to raise around US$400m in its India IPO. 
It is the largest depository in India in terms of number of issuers, number of active instruments, market share in demat value of settlement volume and value of assets.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


NSDL Pre-IPO - The Positives - Dominant Position, Strong Revenue Growth

<ul>
<li>National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) is looking to raise around US$400m in its India IPO. </li>
<li>The deal will be run by ISec, Axis Capital, HSBC, IDBI, Motilal and SBI Caps.</li>
<li>It IS the largest depository in India in terms of number of issuers, number of active instruments, market share in demat value of settlement volume and value of assets.</li>
</ul>


National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) is looking to raise around US$400m in its India IPO. 
The deal will be run by ISec, Axis Capital, HSBC, IDBI, Motilal and SBI Caps.
It IS the largest depository in India in terms of number of issuers, number of active instruments, market share in demat value of settlement volume and value of assets.


National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for a bunch of indices ended last week though the announcement of the changes will take 4-6 weeks.</li>
<li>There are no rebalance implementations in the coming week though focus will move to the implementation of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> merger and index changes the following week.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to China focused ETF with a lot of money going into Semiconductor and Chip focused ETFs.</li>
</ul>


The review period for a bunch of indices ended last week though the announcement of the changes will take 4-6 weeks.
There are no rebalance implementations in the coming week though focus will move to the implementation of the HDFC Limited/ HDFC Bank merger and index changes the following week.
There were big inflows to China focused ETF with a lot of money going into Semiconductor and Chip focused ETFs.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KQ150, LQ45, PCOMP, HDFC/HDFCB, Delta Electronics, Redox IPO, AMFI

India

IDBI Bank Limited provides a range of banking and financial services. The Bank's services include fund-based operations, such as venture capital and fee-based activities, which include merchant banking and debenture trusteeship.

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IDBI Bank Ltd (IDBI IN)

India Banks - Far Better Credit Metrics Seem Real, With Exceptional Long-Term Loan Growth Outlook

India's banks are seeing consistent and strong reduction of NPLs, which appears to be real, not cosmetic. There is vast scope for more loan...

Daniel Tabbush

NSDL Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Margins Could Drag

National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) is looking to raise around US$400m in its India IPO. In this note we talk about the not-so-positives...

Sumeet Singh

NSDL Pre-IPO - The Positives - Dominant Position, Strong Revenue Growth

National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) is looking to raise around US$400m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects...

Sumeet Singh

National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) Pre-IPO Tearsheet

National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) is looking to raise around US$400m in its India IPO. It is the largest depository in India.

Sumeet Singh

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KQ150, LQ45, PCOMP, HDFC/HDFCB, Delta Electronics, Redox IPO, AMFI

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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