Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently eleven pair trade opportunities across three markets and six sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently eleven pair trade opportunities across three markets and six sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (22 Dec)

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yes-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:767:1" rel="noopener">Yes Bank (YES IN)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idfc-first-bank-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26934:1" rel="noopener">IDFC First Bank (IDFCFB IN)</a> price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long Yes Bank (YES IN) and short IDFC First Bank (IDFCFB IN) targets a 6% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Yes Bank (YES IN) vs. IDFC First Bank (IDFCFB IN) price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long Yes Bank (YES IN) and short IDFC First Bank (IDFCFB IN) targets a 6% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Long Yes Bank (YES IN) Vs. Short IDFC First Bank (IDFCFB IN): Quant-Driven Pair Trade Targeting 6%

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As forecast, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors (TTMT IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> after the close on 19 December.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade between 3.6-7.7x ADV in the stocks and that increases significantly to 7.1-12x delivery volume.</li>
<li>There are indications that positioning has built up in both stocks over the last few weeks. However, in both cases, positioning is expected to be smaller than the passive selling.</li>
</ul>


As forecast, InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN) will replace Tata Motors (TTMT IN) in the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) after the close on 19 December.
Passive trackers will need to trade between 3.6-7.7x ADV in the stocks and that increases significantly to 7.1-12x delivery volume.
There are indications that positioning has built up in both stocks over the last few weeks. However, in both cases, positioning is expected to be smaller than the passive selling.


SENSEX Index Rebalance: InterGlobe Aviation to Replace Tata Motors PV

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Clean Max Enviro Energy Solutions / Equity Capital Markets

Clean Max Enviro Energy Solutions (CLEANMAX IN)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cleanmax-enviro-energy-solutions-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45702:1" rel="noopener">CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Ltd (8382406Z IN)</a> (CEESL) is looking to raise US$586m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>CEESL is a provider of commercial and industrial renewable energy, specializing in delivering decarbonization solutions, including supplying renewable power and offering energy services and carbon credit solutions to customers.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Ltd (8382406Z IN) (CEESL) is looking to raise US$586m in its upcoming India IPO.
CEESL is a provider of commercial and industrial renewable energy, specializing in delivering decarbonization solutions, including supplying renewable power and offering energy services and carbon credit solutions to customers.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Pre-IPO- The Positives- Scalable Growth with Strong Market Position

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> remains in a bullish setup. Quantitative models highlight further upside potential in the near term and identify key support levels.</li>
<li>
Trade Idea: With implied volatility near multi-year lows (12th percentile), long call strategies are favored. Suitable expiries and strikes are outlined, with an alternative structure discussed for reducing premium outlay.</li>
<li>
Why Read: This Insight combines directional analysis with volatility signals, highlighting a tactical options strategy where low implied volatility and bullish probabilities align, offering investors defined risk/reward.</li>
</ul>



Context:HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) remains in a bullish setup. Quantitative models highlight further upside potential in the near term and identify key support levels.

Trade Idea: With implied volatility near multi-year lows (12th percentile), long call strategies are favored. Suitable expiries and strikes are outlined, with an alternative structure discussed for reducing premium outlay.

Why Read: This Insight combines directional analysis with volatility signals, highlighting a tactical options strategy where low implied volatility and bullish probabilities align, offering investors defined risk/reward.


HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN): Ready for the Rally with Tactical Low-Cost Options

India

IDFC First Bank is an Indian private sector universal bank offering a comprehensive suite of products and services across retail, MSME, rural, startups, corporate banking, cash management, credit cards, and wealth management. The bank provides savings and current accounts, fixed deposits, various loans, and investment solutions. It is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in October 2015.

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IDFC First Bank (IDFCFB IN)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (22 Dec)

Statistical methodology identifies eleven pair trade opportunities across three markets and six sectors, offering unique insights into relative...

Gaudenz Schneider

Long Yes Bank (YES IN) Vs. Short IDFC First Bank (IDFCFB IN): Quant-Driven Pair Trade Targeting 6%

Pair trade with a 6% target-return amid significant deviation of the price ratio between Yes Bank vs. IDFC First Bank. Opportunity for quantitative...

Gaudenz Schneider

SENSEX Index Rebalance: InterGlobe Aviation to Replace Tata Motors PV

Interglobe Aviation (INDIGO) replaces Tata Motors PV in the Sensex at the close on 19 Dec. Impact/flow is big, and positioning appears to be...

Brian Freitas

CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Pre-IPO- The Positives- Scalable Growth with Strong Market Position

CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Limited (CEESL) is looking to raise US$586m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the...

Akshat Shah

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN): Ready for the Rally with Tactical Low-Cost Options

A bullish technical setup for HDFC Bank offers potential upside, with long call option strategies favored amid historically low implied volatility.

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (22 Dec)

​Statistical methodology identifies eleven pair trade opportunities across three markets and six sectors, offering unique insights into relative...

Gaudenz Schneider

Long Yes Bank (YES IN) Vs. Short IDFC First Bank (IDFCFB IN): Quant-Driven Pair Trade Targeting 6%

Pair trade with a 6% target-return amid significant deviation of the price ratio between Yes Bank vs. IDFC First Bank. Opportunity for quantitative...

Gaudenz Schneider

SENSEX Index Rebalance: InterGlobe Aviation to Replace Tata Motors PV

Interglobe Aviation (INDIGO) replaces Tata Motors PV in the Sensex at the close on 19 Dec. Impact/flow is big, and positioning appears to be...

Brian Freitas

CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Pre-IPO- The Positives- Scalable Growth with Strong Market Position

CleanMax Enviro Energy Solutions Limited (CEESL) is looking to raise US$586m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the...

Akshat Shah

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN): Ready for the Rally with Tactical Low-Cost Options

A bullish technical setup for HDFC Bank offers potential upside, with long call option strategies favored amid historically low implied volatility.

Gaudenz Schneider

Statistical methodology identifies eleven pair trade opportunities across three markets and six sectors, offering unique insights into relative...