Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We discussed last week (Feb. 27 Int'l Compass) how both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 displayed false breakouts, and to look for near-term pullbacks</li>
<li>We said expect pullbacks to range supports at $116 on ACWI-US and 5770-5850 or 5600-5670 on the S&amp;P 500 in the coming weeks, where we would be buyers.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 is testing the 5770-5850 range now, while ACWI-US is testing its 200-day MA at $117. It is possible ACWI-US finds support here. Upgrading Europe to overweight</li>
</ul>


We discussed last week (Feb. 27 Int'l Compass) how both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 displayed false breakouts, and to look for near-term pullbacks
We said expect pullbacks to range supports at $116 on ACWI-US and 5770-5850 or 5600-5670 on the S&amp;P 500 in the coming weeks, where we would be buyers.
The S&amp;P 500 is testing the 5770-5850 range now, while ACWI-US is testing its 200-day MA at $117. It is possible ACWI-US finds support here. Upgrading Europe to overweight


Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. (S&P 500) For a Downgrade; Buy Gold Miners and More

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>TSMC higher on news from the day before it is investing heavily in US fab capacity.</li>
<li>Continental AG -11.6% after earnings miss sets a poor tone for JP tire makers Bridgestone, Toyo, Yokohama and Sumitomo.</li>
<li>All eyes on Trumps speech to congress this morning, although markets should be firm off the open.</li>
</ul>


TSMC higher on news from the day before it is investing heavily in US fab capacity.
Continental AG -11.6% after earnings miss sets a poor tone for JP tire makers Bridgestone, Toyo, Yokohama and Sumitomo.
All eyes on Trumps speech to congress this morning, although markets should be firm off the open.


Japan Morning Connection: Volatile Session but Pointing Higher on Potential for a Tariff Flip-Flop

<ul>
<li>NVDA, SMCI and Dell investigated by Singaporean authorities over chip leaks into China.</li>
<li>Allegro +15% in the US following on from Sanken limit-up yesterday as ON circles.</li>
<li>IHI, MHI, KHI, NEC all higher yesterday but should follow EU defense peers much higher.</li>
</ul>


NVDA, SMCI and Dell investigated by Singaporean authorities over chip leaks into China.
Allegro +15% in the US following on from Sanken limit-up yesterday as ON circles.
IHI, MHI, KHI, NEC all higher yesterday but should follow EU defense peers much higher.


Japan Morning Connection: Japan Tech to Follow the US Lower, but Defense Should Have Further to Run

<ul>
<li>US broke the Tech rout on Friday while the Trump/Zelensky spat points to higher EU defense spending.</li>
<li>ON Semi is reported to be making a play for Allegro signalling a potential liquidity event for Sanken.</li>
<li>JP SPE was heavily sold on Fri so expect a sharp rebound to start.</li>
</ul>


US broke the Tech rout on Friday while the Trump/Zelensky spat points to higher EU defense spending.
ON Semi is reported to be making a play for Allegro signalling a potential liquidity event for Sanken.
JP SPE was heavily sold on Fri so expect a sharp rebound to start.


Japan Morning Connection: Japan Set to Rebound Led by Tech and Defence

<ul>
<li>Yesterday saw a notable rotation out of recent momentum winners in Japan towards oversold quality such as SPE.</li>
<li>EU defence names generally stronger on concerns over Trumps Greenland/Denmark comments may be mild positive for JP heavies.</li>
<li>Power semi weakness in the US at least partially over news Renesas is cutting workforce on weak auto chip sales.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday saw a notable rotation out of recent momentum winners in Japan towards oversold quality such as SPE.
EU defence names generally stronger on concerns over Trumps Greenland/Denmark comments may be mild positive for JP heavies.
Power semi weakness in the US at least partially over news Renesas is cutting workforce on weak auto chip sales.


Japan Morning Connection: Can JP Semi-Cap Names Continue to Buck the US Tech Weakness?

Japan

IHI Corporation manufactures heavy machinery. The Company produces aircraft jet engines, rocket propulsion systems, and ships for military and commercial use. Ishikawajima-Harima also constructs petroleum refineries and nuclear power plants.

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IHI Corp (7013 JP)

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. (S&P 500) For a Downgrade; Buy Gold Miners and More

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. $SPX for a Downgrade to Market Weight. $ACWI and $SPX likely bottoming here at 200-day MAs. Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Volatile Session but Pointing Higher on Potential for a Tariff Flip-Flop

TSMC rises on news of investment in US fab capacity, Continental AG drops after earnings miss sets poor tone for JP tire makers.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Japan Tech to Follow the US Lower, but Defense Should Have Further to Run

Singaporean authorities investigate NVDA, SMCI, and Dell for chip leaks to China. Allegro takeover disscussion leading to Sanken limit-up. JP...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Japan Set to Rebound Led by Tech and Defence

Potential for increased EU defense spending post Trump/Zelensky spat, ON Semi eyeing Allegro for acquisition, expect sharp rebound for JP SPE.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Can JP Semi-Cap Names Continue to Buck the US Tech Weakness?

Rotation from momentum winners into oversold quality such as SPE, EU defense name strength may be positive for JP heavies, US power semi weakness...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. (S&P 500) For a Downgrade; Buy Gold Miners and More

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. $SPX for a Downgrade to Market Weight. $ACWI and $SPX likely bottoming here at 200-day MAs. Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Volatile Session but Pointing Higher on Potential for a Tariff Flip-Flop

​TSMC rises on news of investment in US fab capacity, Continental AG drops after earnings miss sets poor tone for JP tire makers.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Japan Tech to Follow the US Lower, but Defense Should Have Further to Run

​Singaporean authorities investigate NVDA, SMCI, and Dell for chip leaks to China. Allegro takeover disscussion leading to Sanken limit-up. JP...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Japan Set to Rebound Led by Tech and Defence

Potential for increased EU defense spending post Trump/Zelensky spat, ON Semi eyeing Allegro for acquisition, expect sharp rebound for JP SPE.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Can JP Semi-Cap Names Continue to Buck the US Tech Weakness?

Rotation from momentum winners into oversold quality such as SPE, EU defense name strength may be positive for JP heavies, US power semi weakness...

Andrew Jackson

TSMC rises on news of investment in US fab capacity, Continental AG drops after earnings miss sets poor tone for JP tire makers.

Singaporean authorities investigate NVDA, SMCI, and Dell for chip leaks to China. Allegro takeover disscussion leading to Sanken limit-up. JP...