Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With 10 trading days left in the review period, there could be 7 changes (including 2 migrations) for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in March.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 15.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 52bn (US$600m). All forecast changes, bar one, have over 1.5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>All the forecast deletes are F&amp;O members while two adds are not. NSE Indices could revisit the index membership criteria especially given the launch of futures on the index.</li>
</ul>


With 10 trading days left in the review period, there could be 7 changes (including 2 migrations) for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in March.
Estimated one-way turnover is 15.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 52bn (US$600m). All forecast changes, bar one, have over 1.5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
All the forecast deletes are F&amp;O members while two adds are not. NSE Indices could revisit the index membership criteria especially given the launch of futures on the index.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Potential Changes in March

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a> will demerge its Hotels business with the ex-date set as 6 January and shareholders receiving 1 share of ITC Hotels for 10 shares of ITC Ltd.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a> shareholders will own 100% of ITC Hotels - 60% will be owned directly and 40% will be owned through their shareholding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a>.</li>
<li>There will be a lot of selling in ITC Hotels within a few days of listing from different passive index trackers and that could provide buying opportunities for those interested.</li>
</ul>



ITC Ltd (ITC IN) will demerge its Hotels business with the ex-date set as 6 January and shareholders receiving 1 share of ITC Hotels for 10 shares of ITC Ltd.

ITC Ltd (ITC IN) shareholders will own 100% of ITC Hotels - 60% will be owned directly and 40% will be owned through their shareholding in ITC Ltd (ITC IN).
There will be a lot of selling in ITC Hotels within a few days of listing from different passive index trackers and that could provide buying opportunities for those interested.


ITC Hotels: Index Implications of Demerger from ITC Ltd (ITC IN)

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Ventive Hospitality Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ventive-hospitality-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43933:1" rel="noopener">Ventive Hospitality Ltd (0807075D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$188m in its India IPO. The deal, a fresh issue of shares, is downsized from an earlier size of ~US$240m.</li>
<li>Ventive Hospitality Limited (VHL) is the largest hospitality asset owner amongst public listed market peers, focused primarily on luxury offerings across business and leisure in India and Maldives.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Ventive Hospitality Ltd (0807075D IN) is looking to raise about US$188m in its India IPO. The deal, a fresh issue of shares, is downsized from an earlier size of ~US$240m.
Ventive Hospitality Limited (VHL) is the largest hospitality asset owner amongst public listed market peers, focused primarily on luxury offerings across business and leisure in India and Maldives.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


Ventive Hospitality IPO - Quick Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ventive-hospitality-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43933:1" rel="noopener">Ventive Hospitality Ltd (0807075D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$188m in its India IPO. The deal, a fresh issue of shares is downsized from an earlier target of ~US$240m.</li>
<li>Ventive Hospitality Limited (VHL) is the largest hospitality asset owner amongst public listed market peers, focused primarily on luxury offerings across business and leisure in India and Maldives.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Ventive Hospitality Ltd (0807075D IN) is looking to raise about US$188m in its India IPO. The deal, a fresh issue of shares is downsized from an earlier target of ~US$240m.
Ventive Hospitality Limited (VHL) is the largest hospitality asset owner amongst public listed market peers, focused primarily on luxury offerings across business and leisure in India and Maldives.
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Ventive Hospitality Pre-IPO - Leveraging Expanded Portfolio to Drive Growth

<ul>
<li>There are 19 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. All names are exactly in line with our forecast.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 72.7bn (US$857m). There are 18 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The adds have continued to outperform the deletes even after the end of the review period. There could be further upside heading into year-end and implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 19 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. All names are exactly in line with our forecast.
Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 72.7bn (US$857m). There are 18 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
The adds have continued to outperform the deletes even after the end of the review period. There could be further upside heading into year-end and implementation of the changes.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

India

Indian Hotels Company Limited operates The Taj Group of hotels.  The Company owns or maintains long term leases/licenses for hotels in India, in addition to International hotels.  The Group's hotels are divided into three groups: Luxury, Business, and, Leisure.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Indian Hotels (IH IN)

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Potential Changes in March

There could be 7 changes in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 15.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 52bn (US$600m). Index methodology could...

Brian Freitas

ITC Hotels: Index Implications of Demerger from ITC Ltd (ITC IN)

ITC Hotels demerges from ITC on 6 Jan. There will be an SPOS on 6 Jan to determine ITC's price post demerger. There will be a LOT of selling in ITC...

Brian Freitas

Ventive Hospitality IPO - Quick Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Ventive Hospitality is looking to raise about US$188m in its India IPO. In this note, we will undertake a quick peer comparison and talk about the...

Akshat Shah

Ventive Hospitality Pre-IPO - Leveraging Expanded Portfolio to Drive Growth

Ventive Hospitality is looking to raise about US$188m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Akshat Shah

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

There are 19 changes a side and all names are in line with our forecast. Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)