ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Bank Negara Indonesia Persero / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-negara-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8285:1" rel="noopener">Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ)</a> remains the laggard amongst the top four Indonesian banks but we see this as unjustified given improving returns and falling credit costs.</li>
<li>The bank continues to focus on top-tier corporate clients and large commercial clients plus growing subsidized KUR loans as well as expanding mortgages and payroll loans in the consumer segment.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-negara-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8285:1" rel="noopener">Bank Negara Indonesia</a> continues to improve returns with its ROE back to 15% in 1H2022 and it trades on 1.2x FY2022 PBV. The bank will benefit from rising interest rates.</li>
</ul>



Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) remains the laggard amongst the top four Indonesian banks but we see this as unjustified given improving returns and falling credit costs.
The bank continues to focus on top-tier corporate clients and large commercial clients plus growing subsidized KUR loans as well as expanding mortgages and payroll loans in the consumer segment.  

Bank Negara Indonesia continues to improve returns with its ROE back to 15% in 1H2022 and it trades on 1.2x FY2022 PBV. The bank will benefit from rising interest rates.


Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) - More Than Meets the Eye

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Last week <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:173:1" rel="noopener">First Pacific Co (142 HK)</a></strong> announced a 33% increase in recurring profit to a record high.</li>
<li>The full-year distribution up to 19.0 HK cents/share backs out a yield of 6.3%.</li>
<li>The current discount to NAV of 56% compares with a 12-month average of 59%, and a long-term average of 50%.</li>
</ul>


Last week First Pacific Co (142 HK) announced a 33% increase in recurring profit to a record high.
The full-year distribution up to 19.0 HK cents/share backs out a yield of 6.3%.
The current discount to NAV of 56% compares with a 12-month average of 59%, and a long-term average of 50%.


First Pac (142 HK): Perennially Inexpensive

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Cisarua Mountain Dairy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMD), a producer of dairy and consumer foods, aims to raise up to US$263m in its Indonesian IPO. </li>
<li>It is a market leader in the overall yogurt sub-category as well as in the spoonable and drinking yogurt segments with a market share of 53.2%, 71.9% and 50.3%, respectively. </li>
<li>In addition, the company also has a presence in the flavored milk segment, fresh white milk segment, chilled processed meat and frozen processed meat sub-categories.</li>
</ul>


PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMD), a producer of dairy and consumer foods, aims to raise up to US$263m in its Indonesian IPO. 
It is a market leader in the overall yogurt sub-category as well as in the spoonable and drinking yogurt segments with a market share of 53.2%, 71.9% and 50.3%, respectively. 
In addition, the company also has a presence in the flavored milk segment, fresh white milk segment, chilled processed meat and frozen processed meat sub-categories.


Cisarua Mountain Dairy  (Cimory) IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth, High Market Share

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industri-jamu-dan-farmasi-sido-muncul-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6033:1" rel="noopener">Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ)</a> 's share price has lagged <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jakarta-stock-exchange-composite-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22914:1" rel="noopener">Jakarta Stock Exchange Composite Index (JCI INDEX)</a> in the last year due to the vaccine discovery and the shelved overseas expansion plan which has caused the earnings multiples to decrease although the earnings result has been strong.</p>
<p>A cross-border travel resumption that will sooner rather than later take place will inevitably lower freight costs therefore Sido Muncul can carry on with its overseas expansion plan to Nigeria and the Philippines that they had to put on hold during COVID-19. </p>
<div class="content-highlight">
<p>Combining the overseas expansion plan resumption and the potential for mean reversion, it is not a bad idea to hold <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industri-jamu-dan-farmasi-sido-muncul-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6033:1" rel="noopener">Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ)</a> . For shareholders who invested 5 years ago and made a decent return on Sido Muncul, it is not a bad idea to sell some to lock in some profit to maintain a certain level of exposure in the portfolio without being too overweight Sido Muncul. </p>
</div>

Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ) 's share price has lagged Jakarta Stock Exchange Composite Index (JCI INDEX) in the last year due to the vaccine discovery and the shelved overseas expansion plan which has caused the earnings multiples to decrease although the earnings result has been strong.
A cross-border travel resumption that will sooner rather than later take place will inevitably lower freight costs therefore Sido Muncul can carry on with its overseas expansion plan to Nigeria and the Philippines that they had to put on hold during COVID-19. 

Combining the overseas expansion plan resumption and the potential for mean reversion, it is not a bad idea to hold Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ) . For shareholders who invested 5 years ago and made a decent return on Sido Muncul, it is not a bad idea to sell some to lock in some profit to maintain a certain level of exposure in the portfolio without being too overweight Sido Muncul. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Sembcorp Marine, AusNet, Shinsei Bank, MMC Corp

Indonesia

PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk and its subsidiaries manufacture instant noodles, wheat flour, baby food, food seasonings, coffee, cooking oil, and snacks.

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Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk P (INDF IJ)

Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) - More Than Meets the Eye

Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) remains the laggard amongst the top four Indonesian banks but we see this as unjustified given improving returns...

Angus Mackintosh

First Pac (142 HK): Perennially Inexpensive

First Pac is doing all the right things: buying back shares, a steady payout ratio, excellent transparency, and accessible management. But shares...

David Blennerhassett

Sido Muncul (SIDO): Time to Add

With the overseas expansion plan resumption and the potential for mean reversion, it is not a bad idea to hold SIDO given the underperformance vs...

Henry Soediarko

Last Week in Event SPACE: Sembcorp Marine, AusNet, Shinsei Bank, MMC Corp

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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