Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 19 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. There are some stocks from the new F&amp;O inclusions.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 65.2% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 71bn (US$837m).</li>
<li>The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of July. The pace picked up over the last month as we neared the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


There could be 19 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. There are some stocks from the new F&amp;O inclusions.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 65.2% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 71bn (US$837m).
The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of July. The pace picked up over the last month as we neared the end of the review period.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 65% One-Way Turnover and US$1.6bn Trade

<ul>
<li>There could be 17 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. Some changes from earlier following 45 new F&amp;O stocks.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 61.5% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 63.4bn (US$752m).</li>
<li>The potential inclusions to the index have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of June. This trend could continue for a couple of weeks till the changes are announced.</li>
</ul>


There could be 17 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. Some changes from earlier following 45 new F&amp;O stocks.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 61.5% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 63.4bn (US$752m).
The potential inclusions to the index have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of June. This trend could continue for a couple of weeks till the changes are announced.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: More Changes with New F&O Stocks

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect six ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and six ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.</li>
<li>Zomato is one of the six BSE 100 expected DELs but its fate will depend on when its expected F&amp;O list inclusion takes place and the index provider's discretionary choices.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.
We expect six ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and six ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.
Zomato is one of the six BSE 100 expected DELs but its fate will depend on when its expected F&amp;O list inclusion takes place and the index provider's discretionary choices.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Indus’ 2QFY25 reported financials came in ahead of our estimate owing to a higher-than-estimated reversal of prior period bad debt provisions (INR10.8b vs. our estimate of INR5b).</li><li>However, its core operational performance was slightly below with Indus’ recurring EBITDA at INR37.9b (+1% QoQ, +7% YoY), coming in ~2% below our estimate on lower tower net additions and weaker energy spreads.</li><li>Tower additions further moderated QoQ to 3.7k (vs. our est. 5.5k) on adverse weather events, which also led to moderation in capex (-19% QoQ).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indus’ 2QFY25 reported financials came in ahead of our estimate owing to a higher-than-estimated reversal of prior period bad debt provisions (INR10.8b vs. our estimate of INR5b).However, its core operational performance was slightly below with Indus’ recurring EBITDA at INR37.9b (+1% QoQ, +7% YoY), coming in ~2% below our estimate on lower tower net additions and weaker energy spreads.Tower additions further moderated QoQ to 3.7k (vs. our est. 5.5k) on adverse weather events, which also led to moderation in capex (-19% QoQ).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indus Towers - Core Performance Slightly Weaker

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Indus Towers’ (Indus) Q2FY25 performance was good on two counts: 1) stable net tenancy addition at 4,308 with some benefit already showing from VIL/BSNL rollout; and 2) strong cash collection, including INR 10.8bn collected towards past overdue.</li><li>Indus has also seen a rise in rental/tenant, reflecting the benefit of rising 5G loading, and lower drag from renewals.</li><li>VIL should embark on a capex cycle, which will likely provide opportunity for tenancy growth for Indus immediately; and Indus is prepared for increased competitive intensity or price pressure.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indus Towers’ (Indus) Q2FY25 performance was good on two counts: 1) stable net tenancy addition at 4,308 with some benefit already showing from VIL/BSNL rollout; and 2) strong cash collection, including INR 10.8bn collected towards past overdue.Indus has also seen a rise in rental/tenant, reflecting the benefit of rising 5G loading, and lower drag from renewals.VIL should embark on a capex cycle, which will likely provide opportunity for tenancy growth for Indus immediately; and Indus is prepared for increased competitive intensity or price pressure.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indus Tower - Provision Recovery Continues Aiding Earnings

India

Indus Towers Limited is a telecommunication infrastructure company. The company operates and provides telecommunication tower and related infrastructure services in India. Indus Towers serves customers in India.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Indus Towers (INDUSTOW IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 65% One-Way Turnover and US$1.6bn Trade

We forecast 19 changes for the index in December. One-way turnover is estimated at 65.2% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 71bn (US$837m). The...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: More Changes with New F&O Stocks

We forecast 17 changes a side for the index in Dec. Some of the changes have changed following 45 new F&O inclusions. The forecast adds have...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark

The reference period ends today (31st October). Our BSE 100 expected ADDs/DELs remain unchanged. For BSE 200, all expected ADDs/DELs mentioned in...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Indus Towers - Core Performance Slightly Weaker

Indus’ 2QFY25 reported financials came in ahead of our estimate owing to a higher-than-estimated reversal of prior period bad debt provisions...

Motilal Oswal

Indus Tower - Provision Recovery Continues Aiding Earnings

VIL should embark on a capex cycle, which will likely provide opportunity for tenancy growth for Indus immediately; and Indus is prepared for...

ICICI Securities Limited

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 65% One-Way Turnover and US$1.6bn Trade

We forecast 19 changes for the index in December. One-way turnover is estimated at 65.2% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 71bn (US$837m). The...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: More Changes with New F&O Stocks

We forecast 17 changes a side for the index in Dec. Some of the changes have changed following 45 new F&O inclusions. The forecast adds have...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark

The reference period ends today (31st October). Our BSE 100 expected ADDs/DELs remain unchanged. For BSE 200, all expected ADDs/DELs mentioned in...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Indus Towers - Core Performance Slightly Weaker

Indus’ 2QFY25 reported financials came in ahead of our estimate owing to a higher-than-estimated reversal of prior period bad debt provisions...

Motilal Oswal

Indus Tower - Provision Recovery Continues Aiding Earnings

VIL should embark on a capex cycle, which will likely provide opportunity for tenancy growth for Indus immediately; and Indus is prepared for...

ICICI Securities Limited

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 24: Some Changes to Expectations + Zomato Question Mark