Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The December rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>The largest inflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-mixc-lifestyle-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29285:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tingyi-cayman-islands-holding-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14016:1" rel="noopener">Tingyi Holding</a>.</li>
<li>The largest outflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">SMIC</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-health-information-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:453:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Health Information Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC</a>.</li>
</ul>


The December rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.
The largest inflows will be on Alibaba Group, Haier Smart Home, Kuaishou Technology, Li Auto, PetroChina, Tencent, JD.com, China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services and Tingyi Holding.
The largest outflows will be on SMIC, NetEase, AIA Group, HSBC Holdings, China Construction Bank, Alibaba Health Information Technology, Innovent Biologics, China Mobile, Ping An Insurance and ICBC.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (Dec 2022)

Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>On October 6th we suggested selling HSBC vol vs buying ICBC vol</li>
<li>We look at the trade performance both in terms of realised and implied vols</li>
<li>We consider the trading options given the convergence in vols</li>
</ul>


On October 6th we suggested selling HSBC vol vs buying ICBC vol
We look at the trade performance both in terms of realised and implied vols
We consider the trading options given the convergence in vols


EQD | HSBA Vs ICBC (5 HK,1398 HK): Trade a Relative Value Vol Spread -Revisited

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China recently rolled out a detailed implementation plan for personal pension, mainly due to an increasingly pressure of supporting old people caused by the more serious aging problem in China.</li>
<li>The entry of personal pensions is expected to greatly promote the prosperity and development of China's capital market and improve the stability of A-share.</li>
<li>We analyzed potential investment opportunities as a result of this evolving development. Investors can consider preemptive layout before the end of Fed’s rate hike.</li>
</ul>


China recently rolled out a detailed implementation plan for personal pension, mainly due to an increasingly pressure of supporting old people caused by the more serious aging problem in China.
The entry of personal pensions is expected to greatly promote the prosperity and development of China's capital market and improve the stability of A-share.
We analyzed potential investment opportunities as a result of this evolving development. Investors can consider preemptive layout before the end of Fed’s rate hike.


China Personal Pension Scheme - Standing at the Starting Point of A-Share Bull Market

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 18th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent, HKEx, Country Garden and outflows from Meituan.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 18th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into Tencent, HKEx, Country Garden and outflows from Meituan.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 18th): Tencent, HKEx, Country Garden, Meituan

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, the net outflow over the past week was ~HK$0.14bn, split (-HK$0.47bn) for Shanghai and (+HK$0.32bn) for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share (2828 HK)</a>. The largest outflows were in<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of HK (2800 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, the net outflow over the past week was ~HK$0.14bn, split (-HK$0.47bn) for Shanghai and (+HK$0.32bn) for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were in Tencent (700 HK) and Hang Seng H Share (2828 HK). The largest outflows were inMeituan (3690 HK) and Tracker Fund of HK (2800 HK).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (18 November 2022)

China

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, fund underwriting, foreign currency settlement, and other services. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

ICBC (H) (1398 HK)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (Dec 2022)

The December rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH indices will use today's close prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across the...

Brian Freitas

EQD | HSBA Vs ICBC (5 HK,1398 HK): Trade a Relative Value Vol Spread -Revisited

We revisit a relative value volatility trade idea in HSBC vs ICBC. We consider the performance of the trade from both a realised and implied vol...

Simon Harris

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 18th): Tencent, HKEx, Country Garden, Meituan

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Tencent, Hong Kong Exchange and Clearing, Country Garden, Meituan.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (18 November 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net outflow over the past week was ~HK$0.14bn, split (-HK$0.47bn)...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (Dec 2022)

The December rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH indices will use today's close prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across the...

Brian Freitas

EQD | HSBA Vs ICBC (5 HK,1398 HK): Trade a Relative Value Vol Spread -Revisited

We revisit a relative value volatility trade idea in HSBC vs ICBC. We consider the performance of the trade from both a realised and implied vol...

Simon Harris

China Personal Pension Scheme - Standing at the Starting Point of A-Share Bull Market

New personal pension scheme will greatly promote the development of China capital market and improve the stability of A-share. Investors can...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 18th): Tencent, HKEx, Country Garden, Meituan

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Tencent, Hong Kong Exchange and Clearing, Country Garden, Meituan.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (18 November 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net outflow over the past week was ~HK$0.14bn, split (-HK$0.47bn)...

David Blennerhassett

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (18 November 2022)