Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> ends 31 January. We see 2 potential changes at the rebalance which should be announced end February.</li>
<li>There is a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apollo-hospitals-enterprise" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:880:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-oil-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7781:1" rel="noopener">Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN)</a>, while there is a lower probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge India</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India Ltd</a>.</li>
<li>The impact on the stocks is between 3-9 days of ADV, while the impact increases to between 9-22 days of delivery volume.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) ends 31 January. We see 2 potential changes at the rebalance which should be announced end February.
There is a high probability of Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN) replacing Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN), while there is a lower probability of Info Edge India replacing Coal India Ltd.
The impact on the stocks is between 3-9 days of ADV, while the impact increases to between 9-22 days of delivery volume.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Potential Changes in March

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Paytm raised around US$2.2bn via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its IPO.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes links to which are below.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the upcoming anchor book lock-up expiry and look at how past IPOs have done around this time period.</li>
</ul>


Paytm raised around US$2.2bn via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its IPO.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes links to which are below.
In this note, we will talk about the upcoming anchor book lock-up expiry and look at how past IPOs have done around this time period.


Paytm (One 97) - Large Anchor Book Expiry, Prior Listings Have Corrected a Few Days Ahead

<ul>
<li>Metro Brands (MB), an Indian footwear retailer targeting the economy, mid and premium segments, aims to raise up to US$182m in its India IPO. </li>
<li>As of Sep 21, it operated 598 stores across 136 cities spread across 30 states and union territories in India.</li>
<li>In this note, will look at the company's background and past performance.</li>
</ul>


Metro Brands (MB), an Indian footwear retailer targeting the economy, mid and premium segments, aims to raise up to US$182m in its India IPO. 
As of Sep 21, it operated 598 stores across 136 cities spread across 30 states and union territories in India.
In this note, will look at the company's background and past performance.


Metro Brands IPO - Core Brands Aren’t Growing

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Nearly three-quarters of the way through the review period, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apollo-hospitals-enterprise" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:880:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Hospitals (APHS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge (INFOE)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-oil-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7781:1" rel="noopener">Indian Oil (IOCL)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India (COAL)</a> in the NIFTY50.</li>
<li>The inclusion of Apollo Hospitals and deletion of IOC is a high probability event, while the inclusion of Info Edge and deletion of Coal India is a lower probability event.</li>
<li>The impact in terms of ADV to trade on the stocks is quite large and that increases further once we consider the impact in terms of delivery volumes.</li>
</ul>


Nearly three-quarters of the way through the review period, we see Apollo Hospitals (APHS) and Info Edge (INFOE) replacing Indian Oil (IOCL) and Coal India (COAL) in the NIFTY50.
The inclusion of Apollo Hospitals and deletion of IOC is a high probability event, while the inclusion of Info Edge and deletion of Coal India is a lower probability event.
The impact in terms of ADV to trade on the stocks is quite large and that increases further once we consider the impact in terms of delivery volumes.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Apollo Hospitals & Info Edge in the Zone to Replace IOC and COAL

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/policybazaar-insurance-web-aggregator" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33470:1" rel="noopener">Policybazaar Insurance Web Aggregator (1569999D IN)</a>/PB Fintech operates the Policybazaar and Paisabazaar platforms in India. Policybazaar is India’s largest digital insurance marketplace with a 93.4% market share based on the number of policies sold in FY20, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Paisabazaar is India’s largest digital consumer credit marketplace with a 53.7% market share, based on disbursals in FY21, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. PB Fintech’s shareholders include SoftBank Vision Fund, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, Tiger Global and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge India (INFOE IN)</a>.   PB Fintech will launch its IPO on 01 November at an indicative price range of Rs940-980. The IPO comprises a primary raise of Rs37,500 million ($502 million) and a secondary raise up to Rs19,600 million ($262 million). The main secondary seller is SoftBank Vision Fund which aims to sell up to Rs18,750 million ($250 million) worth of shares. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/pb-fintech-policybazaar-ipo-initiation-insurance-policy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:55735" rel="noopener">PB Fintech (Policybazaar) IPO Initiation: Insurance Policy</a>, we stated that Policybazaar, which is India’s largest digital consumer credit marketplace, is a direct play on the rising insurance penetration rates in India. PB Fintech operates an asset-light capital model and does not underwrite any insurance or retain any credit risk on loans. The business is well-positioned to benefit from the post-COVID-19 recovery in insurance policies sales and loan disbursals by its partners. Helped by strong brand recognition and retention rates, the favourable unit economics also suggest that medium-term profitability is within reach. <div class="content-highlight">In this note, we look at the updated prospectus which outlines the 1QFY22 results (for the quarter ending June) and recent developments. Overall, the recent results reinforce our view that PB Fintech has attractive fundamentals. We will discuss valuation in our next note.  </div>

Policybazaar Insurance Web Aggregator (1569999D IN)/PB Fintech operates the Policybazaar and Paisabazaar platforms in India. Policybazaar is India’s largest digital insurance marketplace with a 93.4% market share based on the number of policies sold in FY20, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Paisabazaar is India’s largest digital consumer credit marketplace with a 53.7% market share, based on disbursals in FY21, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. PB Fintech’s shareholders include SoftBank Vision Fund, Tencent (700 HK), Tiger Global and Info Edge India (INFOE IN).   PB Fintech will launch its IPO on 01 November at an indicative price range of Rs940-980. The IPO comprises a primary raise of Rs37,500 million ($502 million) and a secondary raise up to Rs19,600 million ($262 million). The main secondary seller is SoftBank Vision Fund which aims to sell up to Rs18,750 million ($250 million) worth of shares. In PB Fintech (Policybazaar) IPO Initiation: Insurance Policy, we stated that Policybazaar, which is India’s largest digital consumer credit marketplace, is a direct play on the rising insurance penetration rates in India. PB Fintech operates an asset-light capital model and does not underwrite any insurance or retain any credit risk on loans. The business is well-positioned to benefit from the post-COVID-19 recovery in insurance policies sales and loan disbursals by its partners. Helped by strong brand recognition and retention rates, the favourable unit economics also suggest that medium-term profitability is within reach. In this note, we look at the updated prospectus which outlines the 1QFY22 results (for the quarter ending June) and recent developments. Overall, the recent results reinforce our view that PB Fintech has attractive fundamentals. We will discuss valuation in our next note.  

PB Fintech (Policybazaar) IPO: Signs of Life

India

Info Edge is an Indian technology holding company that owns, operates, and invests in internet-led businesses. It provides online platforms for recruitment (Naukri.com), real estate (99acres.com), matrimony (Jeevansathi.com), and education (Shiksha.com), along with strategic investments in technology startups. The company is headquartered in Noida, Uttar Pradesh, India, and was founded in 1995.

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Info Edge (INFOE IN)

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Potential Changes in March

There is a high probability of Apollo Hosp replacing Indian Oil in the NIFTY Index at the March rebalance. There is a lower probability of Info...

Brian Freitas

Paytm (One 97) - Large Anchor Book Expiry, Prior Listings Have Corrected a Few Days Ahead

Paytm raised around US$2.2bn in its IPO. In this note, we look at the upcoming anchor book lock-up expiry and how other IPOs have done around that...

Sumeet Singh

Metro Brands IPO - Core Brands Aren’t Growing

Metro Brands (MB), an Indian footwear retailer targeting the economy, mid and premium segments, aims to raise up to US$182m in its India IPO.

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Apollo Hospitals & Info Edge in the Zone to Replace IOC and COAL

High probability changes are inclusion of Apollo Hospitals & deletion of IOCL, while there is a lower probability of Info Edge being added & COAL...

Brian Freitas

PB Fintech (Policybazaar) IPO: Signs of Life

PB Fintech (Policybazaar) will launch its IPO on 01 November to raise up to $764m. The updated prospectus reinforce our view that PB Fintech has...

Arun George

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