Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nifty-poised-to-reignite-its-uptrend-but-faces-short-term-obstacles" target="_blank" rel="noopener">latest insight</a> on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> recognized the possibility of obstacles against a rally from the index's lows.</li>
<li>The index has fallen for another 2 weeks from there, now it is very oversold and a relief rally could begin this week or the next.</li>
<li>Profit targets for this relief rally are in the 23100 area, but <strong>unfortunately the forecast is maximum 3 weeks up, not really a bullish pattern...</strong>
</li>
</ul>


Our latest insight on the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) recognized the possibility of obstacles against a rally from the index's lows.
The index has fallen for another 2 weeks from there, now it is very oversold and a relief rally could begin this week or the next.
Profit targets for this relief rally are in the 23100 area, but unfortunately the forecast is maximum 3 weeks up, not really a bullish pattern...



NIFTY Set for a Modest Rally from Current Lows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

L&T Technology Services Limited / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In line with our forecast, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oracle-financial-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7775:1" rel="noopener">Oracle Financial Services (OFSS IN)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-t-technology-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23601:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;T Technology Services Limited (LTTS IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-it-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36059:1" rel="noopener">Nifty IT Index (NSEIT INDEX)</a> at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-t-technology-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23601:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;T Technology Services (LTTS IN)</a> is also being excluded from the F&amp;O segment at the close on 27 March. Open interest is ~900k shares and there will be unwinding.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade between 0.5-0.6x ADV in the stocks. Impact increases to 1-2 days of delivery volume.</li>
</ul>


In line with our forecast, Oracle Financial Services (OFSS IN) replaces L&amp;T Technology Services Limited (LTTS IN) in the Nifty IT Index (NSEIT INDEX) at the March rebalance.

L&amp;T Technology Services (LTTS IN) is also being excluded from the F&amp;O segment at the close on 27 March. Open interest is ~900k shares and there will be unwinding.
Passive trackers will need to trade between 0.5-0.6x ADV in the stocks. Impact increases to 1-2 days of delivery volume.


Nifty IT Index Rebalance: Oracle Financial Services Takes a Beating but Replaces L&T Tech

<ul>
<li>The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee of NSE Indices will meet on 21 February to conduct a semi-annual and quarterly review of stocks in various Nifty equity indices.</li>
<li>The changes will be announced after market close tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 28 March.</li>
<li>Based on the forecast index changes and capping changes for a few indices, the round-trip trade will be over US$2.5bn and many stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee of NSE Indices will meet on 21 February to conduct a semi-annual and quarterly review of stocks in various Nifty equity indices.
The changes will be announced after market close tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 28 March.
Based on the forecast index changes and capping changes for a few indices, the round-trip trade will be over US$2.5bn and many stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade.


India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Hexaware Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hexaware-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7882:1" rel="noopener">Hexaware Technologies</a> raised around US$1bn in its India IPO, while its anchor book was strong, overall coverage was not. </li>
<li>Hexaware is a global digital and technology services company with AI at its core, delivering innovative solutions that help customers in their digital transformation journey and subsequent operations.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Hexaware Technologies raised around US$1bn in its India IPO, while its anchor book was strong, overall coverage was not. 
Hexaware is a global digital and technology services company with AI at its core, delivering innovative solutions that help customers in their digital transformation journey and subsequent operations.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Hexaware Technologies IPO Trading - Very Strong Anchor, Very Poor Overall

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

Ajax Engineering Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ajax-engineering-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44026:1" rel="noopener">Ajax Engineering Limited (0896529D IN)</a> raised around US$145m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Ajax Engineering Limited (AEL) is one of the leading concrete equipment manufacturers with a comprehensive range of concrete equipment, services and solutions across the concrete application value chain.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Ajax Engineering Limited (0896529D IN) raised around US$145m in its India IPO.
Ajax Engineering Limited (AEL) is one of the leading concrete equipment manufacturers with a comprehensive range of concrete equipment, services and solutions across the concrete application value chain.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Ajax Engineering IPO Trading - Decent Insti Coverage but Subdued Retail Demand

India

Infosys Limited provides IT consulting and software services, including e-business, program management and supply chain solutions. The Group's services include application development, product co-development, and system implementation and system engineering. Infosys targets businesses specializing in the insurance, banking, telecommunication and manufacturing sectors.

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Infosys Ltd Sp Adr (INFY US)

NIFTY Set for a Modest Rally from Current Lows

NIFTY Index could see a modest relief rally soon, with profit targets around 23100. Our model suggests a maximum 3-week uptrend, so the forecast...

Nico Rosti

Nifty IT Index Rebalance: Oracle Financial Services Takes a Beating but Replaces L&T Tech

Oracle Financial Svcs replaces L&T Tech in the CNXIT Index in March. OFSS has been on a rollercoaster while LTTS has stayed out of the limelight....

Brian Freitas

India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

The March changes for the Nifty indices will be announced tomorrow. There are changes forecast for most indices with large AUM. Round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

Hexaware Technologies IPO Trading - Very Strong Anchor, Very Poor Overall

Hexaware Technologies raised around US$1bn in its India IPO, while its anchor book was strong, overall coverage was not.

Sumeet Singh

Ajax Engineering IPO Trading - Decent Insti Coverage but Subdued Retail Demand

Ajax Engineering Limited raised around US$145m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

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NIFTY Set for a Modest Rally from Current Lows

​NIFTY Index could see a modest relief rally soon, with profit targets around 23100. Our model suggests a maximum 3-week uptrend, so the forecast...

Nico Rosti

Nifty IT Index Rebalance: Oracle Financial Services Takes a Beating but Replaces L&T Tech

Oracle Financial Svcs replaces L&T Tech in the CNXIT Index in March. OFSS has been on a rollercoaster while LTTS has stayed out of the limelight....

Brian Freitas

India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

The March changes for the Nifty indices will be announced tomorrow. There are changes forecast for most indices with large AUM. Round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

Hexaware Technologies IPO Trading - Very Strong Anchor, Very Poor Overall

Hexaware Technologies raised around US$1bn in its India IPO, while its anchor book was strong, overall coverage was not.

Sumeet Singh

Ajax Engineering IPO Trading - Decent Insti Coverage but Subdued Retail Demand

Ajax Engineering Limited raised around US$145m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

NIFTY Index could see a modest relief rally soon, with profit targets around 23100. Our model suggests a maximum 3-week uptrend, so the forecast...