Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>With the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) approaching the top-end of our expected 2023 trading range at $93, we see limited upside from here, and we believe caution is warranted.</li>
<li>We want to remain overweight Europe and the UK, but we prefer to buy only on pullbacks.</li>
<li>The Hang Seng and MSCI China (MCHI-US) are both getting rejected at their important resistances discussed last week, and we would expect to see a basing process develop below resistance.</li>
</ul>


With the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) approaching the top-end of our expected 2023 trading range at $93, we see limited upside from here, and we believe caution is warranted.
We want to remain overweight Europe and the UK, but we prefer to buy only on pullbacks.
The Hang Seng and MSCI China (MCHI-US) are both getting rejected at their important resistances discussed last week, and we would expect to see a basing process develop below resistance.


Caution Warranted; ACWI-US At $93 Resistance; Buys in Communications, Staples, Materials, Financials

Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In today's edition: • SBM Offshore | ABS grants approval in principle to SBMO for blue ammonia concept • Dutch banks/insurers | Dutch mortgage market continues to show healthy growth</li></ul>

In today's edition: • SBM Offshore | ABS grants approval in principle to SBMO for blue ammonia concept • Dutch banks/insurers | Dutch mortgage market continues to show healthy growth

What's News in Amsterdam - 12 September (SBMO | Dutch financials)

<ul><li>In this edition: • ABN Amro / ING | both exposed to UK altnet financing • dsm-firmenich | new Executive Committee role seems to signal appetite for M&A • InPost | buys 20,000 APMs from and a minority stake in Bloq.it • Corporate agenda | week 36 – 39</li></ul>

In this edition: • ABN Amro / ING | both exposed to UK altnet financing • dsm-firmenich | new Executive Committee role seems to signal appetite for M&A • InPost | buys 20,000 APMs from and a minority stake in Bloq.it • Corporate agenda | week 36 – 39

What's News in Amsterdam - 1 September (ABN Amro/ING | dsm-firmenich | InPost | Corporate calendar)

<ul><li>In this edition: • ABN Amro / ING | both banks have passed the EBA stress test • KPN | VodafoneZiggo’s net broadband churn decelerated in 2Q25 • PostNL | 2Q25 normalised EBIT beats consensus thanks to Mail; no interim dividend • Dutch CPI | inflation dropped below 3% in July • Corporate agenda | week 32 – 36</li></ul>

In this edition: • ABN Amro / ING | both banks have passed the EBA stress test • KPN | VodafoneZiggo’s net broadband churn decelerated in 2Q25 • PostNL | 2Q25 normalised EBIT beats consensus thanks to Mail; no interim dividend • Dutch CPI | inflation dropped below 3% in July • Corporate agenda | week 32 – 36

What's News in Amsterdam - 4 August (ABN Amro/ING | KPN | PostNL | Dutch CPI | Agenda)

<ul><li>In this edition: • dsm-firmenich | results broadly in line with expectations; adj. EBITDA guidance lowered • ING | clear beat of market expectations; ups FY25 guidance • Arcadis | results in line with consensus, however, not strong – mid-term organic revenue growth not realistic anymore • Fagron | reiterates FY25 outlook; enters new geographies through bolt-on acquisitions • Vopak | FY25 guidance modestly increased • AMG Critical Materials | increases its FY25 adjusted EBITDA outlook driven by antimony</li></ul>

In this edition: • dsm-firmenich | results broadly in line with expectations; adj. EBITDA guidance lowered • ING | clear beat of market expectations; ups FY25 guidance • Arcadis | results in line with consensus, however, not strong – mid-term organic revenue growth not realistic anymore • Fagron | reiterates FY25 outlook; enters new geographies through bolt-on acquisitions • Vopak | FY25 guidance modestly increased • AMG Critical Materials | increases its FY25 adjusted EBITDA outlook driven by antimony

Netherlands

ING Groep N.V. offers financial services to individuals, corporations, and other institutions.  The Company offers corporate, investment, and private banking services, asset and portfolio management, treasury services, and insurance.  ING Groep has offices throughout the world.

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ING Groep NV (INGA NA)

Caution Warranted; ACWI-US At $93 Resistance; Buys in Communications, Staples, Materials, Financials

With the MSCI $ACWI approaching the top-end of our expected 2023 trading range at $93, we see limited upside from here and believe caution is...

Vermilion Research

What's News in Amsterdam - 12 September (SBMO | Dutch financials)

In today's edition: • SBM Offshore | ABS grants approval in principle to SBMO for blue ammonia concept • Dutch banks/insurers | Dutch mortgage...

The IDEA!

What's News in Amsterdam - 1 September (ABN Amro/ING | dsm-firmenich | InPost | Corporate calendar)

In this edition: • ABN Amro / ING | both exposed to UK altnet financing • dsm-firmenich | new Executive Committee role seems to signal appetite...

The IDEA!

What's News in Amsterdam - 4 August (ABN Amro/ING | KPN | PostNL | Dutch CPI | Agenda)

In this edition: • ABN Amro / ING | both banks have passed the EBA stress test • KPN | VodafoneZiggo’s net broadband churn decelerated in...

The IDEA!

What's News in Amsterdam - 31 July (dsm-firmenich | ING | Arcadis | Fagron | Vopak | AMG)

In this edition: • dsm-firmenich | results broadly in line with expectations; adj. EBITDA guidance lowered • ING | clear beat of market...

The IDEA!

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