Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>With the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) approaching the top-end of our expected 2023 trading range at $93, we see limited upside from here, and we believe caution is warranted.</li>
<li>We want to remain overweight Europe and the UK, but we prefer to buy only on pullbacks.</li>
<li>The Hang Seng and MSCI China (MCHI-US) are both getting rejected at their important resistances discussed last week, and we would expect to see a basing process develop below resistance.</li>
</ul>


With the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) approaching the top-end of our expected 2023 trading range at $93, we see limited upside from here, and we believe caution is warranted.
We want to remain overweight Europe and the UK, but we prefer to buy only on pullbacks.
The Hang Seng and MSCI China (MCHI-US) are both getting rejected at their important resistances discussed last week, and we would expect to see a basing process develop below resistance.


Caution Warranted; ACWI-US At $93 Resistance; Buys in Communications, Staples, Materials, Financials

Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • AkzoNobel | a second Axalta shareholder opposes the proposed merger terms • ING | completes two risk sharing transactions • Fagron | strengthens position in EMEA and granted California license to FSS Boston • bpostgroup | unions call upon their members not to strike at bpost</li></ul>

In this edition: • AkzoNobel | a second Axalta shareholder opposes the proposed merger terms • ING | completes two risk sharing transactions • Fagron | strengthens position in EMEA and granted California license to FSS Boston • bpostgroup | unions call upon their members not to strike at bpost

What's News in Amsterdam - 24 November (AkzoNobel | ING | Fagron | bpostgroup)

<ul><li>In this edition: • ING | less than expected drop in earnings; new EUR 1.6bn share buyback • dsm-firmenich (‘DSFIR’) | results broadly in line; lowers FY25 guidance • Arcadis | 25Q3 results lagging market consensus (even helped by lower depreciation rate) • General Elections | D66 emerges as big winner; hard to predict new coalition</li></ul>

In this edition: • ING | less than expected drop in earnings; new EUR 1.6bn share buyback • dsm-firmenich (‘DSFIR’) | results broadly in line; lowers FY25 guidance • Arcadis | 25Q3 results lagging market consensus (even helped by lower depreciation rate) • General Elections | D66 emerges as big winner; hard to predict new coalition

What's News in Amsterdam - 30 October (dsm-firmenich | ING | Arcadis | General Elections)

<ul><li>In this edition: • Heineken | FIFCO’s shareholders approve sale the deal with Heineken • ING | warns for factors adversely impacting its CET1 ratio and operational challenges • Shell | pre-earnings update not as bad as expected • bpostgroup / PostNL | Amazon pledges to invest EUR 1bn in Belgium in the next 2 years</li></ul>

In this edition: • Heineken | FIFCO’s shareholders approve sale the deal with Heineken • ING | warns for factors adversely impacting its CET1 ratio and operational challenges • Shell | pre-earnings update not as bad as expected • bpostgroup / PostNL | Amazon pledges to invest EUR 1bn in Belgium in the next 2 years

What's News in Amsterdam - 8 October (Heineken | ING | Shell | bpostgroup / PostNL)

<ul><li>In this edition: ABN Amro / ING | AI can save thousands of jobs at AML departments Unilever | Magnum Ice Cream Company will be listed on 10 November E-commerce & Logistics | Temu has entered top 5 of largest marketplaces in Germany</li></ul>

In this edition: ABN Amro / ING | AI can save thousands of jobs at AML departments Unilever | Magnum Ice Cream Company will be listed on 10 November E-commerce & Logistics | Temu has entered top 5 of largest marketplaces in Germany

What's News in Amsterdam - 3 October (ABN Amro/ING | Unilever | E-commerce & Logistics)

Netherlands

ING Groep N.V. offers financial services to individuals, corporations, and other institutions.  The Company offers corporate, investment, and private banking services, asset and portfolio management, treasury services, and insurance.  ING Groep has offices throughout the world.

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ING Groep NV (INGA NA)

Caution Warranted; ACWI-US At $93 Resistance; Buys in Communications, Staples, Materials, Financials

With the MSCI $ACWI approaching the top-end of our expected 2023 trading range at $93, we see limited upside from here and believe caution is...

Vermilion Research

What's News in Amsterdam - 24 November (AkzoNobel | ING | Fagron | bpostgroup)

In this edition: • AkzoNobel | a second Axalta shareholder opposes the proposed merger terms • ING | completes two risk sharing...

The IDEA!

What's News in Amsterdam - 30 October (dsm-firmenich | ING | Arcadis | General Elections)

In this edition: • ING | less than expected drop in earnings; new EUR 1.6bn share buyback • dsm-firmenich (‘DSFIR’) | results broadly in line;...

The IDEA!

What's News in Amsterdam - 8 October (Heineken | ING | Shell | bpostgroup / PostNL)

In this edition: • Heineken | FIFCO’s shareholders approve sale the deal with Heineken • ING | warns for factors adversely impacting its CET1...

The IDEA!

What's News in Amsterdam - 3 October (ABN Amro/ING | Unilever | E-commerce & Logistics)

In this edition: ABN Amro / ING | AI can save thousands of jobs at AML departments Unilever | Magnum Ice Cream Company will be listed on 10...

The IDEA!

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