HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Innovent Biologics Inc / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Innovent is actually not short of money, so the Placing this time looks “strange”.If Innovent is unable to deliver performance that matches expectations, investors would reconsider its future financing needs.</li>
<li>Innovent is undergoing important transition from quantitative change to qualitative change as turning losses into profits is within reach. So, the "concept validation" of Innovent's business model has been completed.</li>
<li>Innovent decides to place the shares at this moment reflects that its stock price is already high. Based on our forecast, there could be limited upside room for share price.  </li>
</ul>


Innovent is actually not short of money, so the Placing this time looks “strange”.If Innovent is unable to deliver performance that matches expectations, investors would reconsider its future financing needs.
Innovent is undergoing important transition from quantitative change to qualitative change as turning losses into profits is within reach. So, the "concept validation" of Innovent's business model has been completed.
Innovent decides to place the shares at this moment reflects that its stock price is already high. Based on our forecast, there could be limited upside room for share price.  


Innovent Biologics Placement (1801.HK) - There Is No Such Thing as a Free Lunch

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> (IB) aims to raise around US$313m for R&amp;D and marketing.</li>
<li>The company has undertaken a number of deals in the past, with the overall results being mixed.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) (IB) aims to raise around US$313m for R&amp;D and marketing.
The company has undertaken a number of deals in the past, with the overall results being mixed.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Innovent Biologics Placement - Has Ample Cash but the Discount Is Enticing

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

Innovent Biologics Inc / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Strong sales growth momentum. In 1H23, Innovent recorded total revenue of RMB2.7bn, accounting for 51% of our previous FY estimate, which is better than our expectation.</li><li>Innovent realized RMB2.5bn product sales in 1H23, regaining strong sales with +20% YoY growth rate (vs the -2% YoY in 2H22).</li><li>The strong growth was driven by the strong performance of sintilimab and other products. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Strong sales growth momentum. In 1H23, Innovent recorded total revenue of RMB2.7bn, accounting for 51% of our previous FY estimate, which is better than our expectation.Innovent realized RMB2.5bn product sales in 1H23, regaining strong sales with +20% YoY growth rate (vs the -2% YoY in 2H22).The strong growth was driven by the strong performance of sintilimab and other products. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Innovent Biologics (1801 HK) – Strong Sales Growth with Improved Cost Efficiency

<ul><li>Ph2 study of IBI362 (9mg) for obesity met primary endpoint.</li><li>Innovent reported positive results of Ph2 study of higher-dose (9mg) IBI362 (GLP1R/GCGR) for the treatment of subjects with moderate to severe obesity (link).</li><li>The Ph2 study enrolled 80 Chinese subjects with a baseline mean weight of 96.9kg and mean BMI of 34.3kg/m2 , for which people metabolic surgery is the current main treatment option.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ph2 study of IBI362 (9mg) for obesity met primary endpoint.Innovent reported positive results of Ph2 study of higher-dose (9mg) IBI362 (GLP1R/GCGR) for the treatment of subjects with moderate to severe obesity (link).The Ph2 study enrolled 80 Chinese subjects with a baseline mean weight of 96.9kg and mean BMI of 34.3kg/m2 , for which people metabolic surgery is the current main treatment option.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Innovent Biologics (1801 HK) – Mazdutide (IBI362) to become the best GLP-1 drug for obesity in China

<ul><li>In FY22, Innovent recorded total revenue of RMB4.56bn, including RMB4.14bn in product sales (+3% YoY).</li><li>According to Eli Lilly, sintilimab sales in FY22 was US$293mn, -30% YoY, mainly impacted by NRDL related price cut, COVID-19 interruptions, and commercial team restructuring early 2022.</li><li>Under IFRS, the gross margin of product sales decreased by 9.9 ppt to 77.5% in FY22, due to the price cut of sintilimab, increased proportion of sales from lower-margin biosimilars, and lower margin booked by collaborated products.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In FY22, Innovent recorded total revenue of RMB4.56bn, including RMB4.14bn in product sales (+3% YoY).According to Eli Lilly, sintilimab sales in FY22 was US$293mn, -30% YoY, mainly impacted by NRDL related price cut, COVID-19 interruptions, and commercial team restructuring early 2022.Under IFRS, the gross margin of product sales decreased by 9.9 ppt to 77.5% in FY22, due to the price cut of sintilimab, increased proportion of sales from lower-margin biosimilars, and lower margin booked by collaborated products.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Innovent Biologics (1801 HK) – Revenue growth to recover in 2023

China

Innovent Biologics, Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops, manufactures, and distributes monoclonal antibody drug candidates for the treatment of oncology, ophthalmology, autoimmune, cardiovascular, and other diseases. Innovent Biologics serves customers in China.

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Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)

Innovent Biologics Placement (1801.HK) - There Is No Such Thing as a Free Lunch

Innovent's Placing this time makes people feel "uncomfortable", because the Company is actually cash rich. Although Innovent is close to breakeven,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Innovent Biologics Placement - Has Ample Cash but the Discount Is Enticing

Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) (IB) aims to raise around US$313m for R&D and marketing. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the...

Sumeet Singh

Innovent Biologics (1801 HK) – Strong Sales Growth with Improved Cost Efficiency

Strong sales growth momentum. In 1H23, Innovent recorded total revenue of RMB2.7bn, accounting for 51% of our previous FY estimate, which is better...

CMB International

Innovent Biologics (1801 HK) – Mazdutide (IBI362) to become the best GLP-1 drug for obesity in China

Innovent reported positive results of Ph2 study of higher-dose (9mg) IBI362 (GLP1R/GCGR) for the treatment of subjects with moderate to severe...

CMB International

Innovent Biologics (1801 HK) – Revenue growth to recover in 2023

According to Eli Lilly, sintilimab sales in FY22 was US$293mn, -30% YoY, mainly impacted by NRDL related price cut, COVID-19 interruptions, and...

CMB International

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)