Focus on Smaller Cap Value Names, Altay Capital

Altay Capital

Focus on Smaller Cap Value Names

Long time value investor. Long/Short portfolio that’s always net long (between 30-80%). I have extensive experience in the video game industry as I founded a leading media company in the space, which I have since exited after an acquisition. Gaming companies only make up ~15% of my portfolio, but its a sector where I believe I have an edge. A newsletter about value investing! Mostly focus on smaller cap value names that aren't widely covered.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Dynam Japan is the largest operator of Pachinko halls in Japan.</li><li>The company has been profitable for the past15 years, though profits have been in decline.</li><li>Their halls are mostly located in suburban areas with less competition, but they do have some in big cities. </li></ul>

Dynam Japan is the largest operator of Pachinko halls in Japan.The company has been profitable for the past15 years, though profits have been in decline.Their halls are mostly located in suburban areas with less competition, but they do have some in big cities. 

Updated Thoughts on Some of My Biggest Positions In The Cheap Japanese Basket and Some New Positions

Fundamental Analyses, Contrarian Cashflows

Contrarian Cashflows

Fundamental Analyses

The purpose of Contrarian Cashflows is to document my investment research and share it with everyone who is interested in value investing. My long term aspiration for Contrarian Cashflows is to become a platform for professional investors and serious amateurs where they can get inspiration and discuss investing-related topics.
I plan to publish one company deep dive per month that is guided by my investment approach. All information I use for my write-ups is publicly available and most of the time directly sourced from public filings issued by the respective companies. To guarantee maximum transparency, for every post I provide a list of all used sources in the resources section.
Contrarian Cashflows is built around the principles of respect, honesty, open-mindedness and a touch of humour. Please consider these principles in any engagement interaction with me, other readers and the content on this blog. Misbehaviour is not tolerated.
If you want to reach out to me directly, the best way is via LinkedIn, Twitter or email. You can find the details at my homepage contrariancashflows.com

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Morita Holdings is Japan’s dominant fire-truck manufacturer, holding roughly 57-60% of the domestic market and close to 90% of the aerial ladder-truck segment</li><li>Founded in 1907 by Shōsaku Morita as a fire-pump maker and built into a nationwide-service, certification-protected niche monopoly against a much smaller #2 competitor, Nikki Co.</li><li>The moat is genuine and multi-decade — safety certification, a product-liability track record, and nationwide parts/service infrastructure a new entrant couldn’t replicate in thirty years.</li></ul>

Morita Holdings is Japan’s dominant fire-truck manufacturer, holding roughly 57-60% of the domestic market and close to 90% of the aerial ladder-truck segmentFounded in 1907 by Shōsaku Morita as a fire-pump maker and built into a nationwide-service, certification-protected niche monopoly against a much smaller #2 competitor, Nikki Co.The moat is genuine and multi-decade — safety certification, a product-liability track record, and nationwide parts/service infrastructure a new entrant couldn’t replicate in thirty years.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tekscend-photomask-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45819:1" rel="noopener">Tekscend Photomask (429A JP)</a>, a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, raised around US$900m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Tekscend Photomask (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, raised around US$900m in its Japan IPO.
TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: Tekscend Photomask IPO Lockup Expiry - US$1.1bn Lockup Release

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mamezo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46031:1" rel="noopener">Mamezo (202A JP)</a> has announced a tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eqt-ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28922:1" rel="noopener">EQT (EQT SS)</a> at JPY3,551, a 11.7% discount to the last close but a 18.4% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>The offer is below the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range and the special committee’s requested price. However, EQT’s offer was the highest received in an auction process. </li>
<li>Irrevocables (Integral) exceed the two-thirds voting threshold. Therefore, there is no lower limit, and this is a done deal.</li>
</ul>



Mamezo (202A JP) has announced a tender offer from EQT (EQT SS) at JPY3,551, a 11.7% discount to the last close but a 18.4% premium to the undisturbed price. 
The offer is below the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range and the special committee’s requested price. However, EQT’s offer was the highest received in an auction process. 
Irrevocables (Integral) exceed the two-thirds voting threshold. Therefore, there is no lower limit, and this is a done deal.


Mamezo (202A JP): EQT’s Takeunder Offer at JPY3,551

Equity Capital Markets

SBI Shinsei Bank / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a> is a Japanese financial institution. At the IPO price, it will raise JPY322 billion (US$2.1 billion). The shares will be listed on 17 December.</li>
<li>I previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sbi-shinsei-bank-8303-jp-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:211376" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sbi-shinsei-bank-8303-jp-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:211514" rel="noopener"> </a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sbi-shinsei-bank-8303-jp-ipo-price-range-is-attractive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:212880" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Price Range Is Attractive</a>.</li>
<li>The peers have re-rated since the prospectus was released. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is attractively valued at the IPO price.</li>
</ul>



SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) is a Japanese financial institution. At the IPO price, it will raise JPY322 billion (US$2.1 billion). The shares will be listed on 17 December.
I previously discussed the IPO in SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: The Investment Case and SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Price Range Is Attractive.
The peers have re-rated since the prospectus was released. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is attractively valued at the IPO price.


SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Trading Debut

Japan

Integral Corporation operates as an independent private equity fund. The Company invests in both the public and private markets and in common stock, convertible preferred shares, convertible bonds and stock options. Integral also provides management and financial consulting related to equity investment activities.

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Integral (5842 JP)

Updated Thoughts on Some of My Biggest Positions In The Cheap Japanese Basket and Some New Positions

Dynam Japan is the largest operator of Pachinko halls in Japan. The company has been profitable for the past15 years, though profits have been in...

Altay Capital

Monday Delight: 07/09/2026

Morita Holdings is Japan’s dominant fire-truck manufacturer, holding roughly 57-60% of the domestic market and close to 90% of the aerial...

Contrarian Cashflows

Aequitas: Tekscend Photomask IPO Lockup Expiry - US$1.1bn Lockup Release

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, raised around US$900m in its Japan IPO. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Mamezo (202A JP): EQT’s Takeunder Offer at JPY3,551

Despite being the result of an auction, the offer is below the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range. However, due to irrevocables, this is a...

Arun George

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Trading Debut

The peers have re-rated since the prospectus was released. My analysis suggests that SBI Shinsei is attractively valued at the IPO price.

Arun George

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