Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h3>About The Narrative</h3>
<p>Earnings conference calls are important sources that aid us in the identification of potential catalysts and drivers of stock returns. Every quarter we go through these transcripts and connect them with primary research with the objective of assessing on-ground reality against management commentary. </p>
<p>The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asian-paints-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6354:1" rel="noopener">Asian Paints (APNT IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pvr-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10144:1" rel="noopener">PVR Ltd (PVRL IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:198:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Industries (RIL IN)</a> (Retail) / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/titan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12630:1" rel="noopener">Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/page-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4940:1" rel="noopener">Page Industries (PAG IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)</a> </p>
<p>We have separated the quotes to highlight<em><strong> Business Environment &amp; Key Drivers, Pricing and Premiumisation, Competition, Margins &amp; Commodity Inflation and Outlook.</strong></em></p>

About The Narrative
Earnings conference calls are important sources that aid us in the identification of potential catalysts and drivers of stock returns. Every quarter we go through these transcripts and connect them with primary research with the objective of assessing on-ground reality against management commentary. 
The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of Asian Paints (APNT IN) / PVR Ltd (PVRL IN) / Reliance Industries (RIL IN) (Retail) / Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN) / Page Industries (PAG IN) / InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN) 
We have separated the quotes to highlight Business Environment &amp; Key Drivers, Pricing and Premiumisation, Competition, Margins &amp; Commodity Inflation and Outlook.

The Narrative | Q2 FY22 | India Consumer - Asian Paints, PVR, Reliance Retail, Titan, Page, Indigo

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>This channel insight focuses on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOM IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/au-small-finance-bank-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24196:1" rel="noopener">AU Small Finance Bank Limited (AUBANK IN),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-home-life-solutions-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6172:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Home &amp; Life Solutions India Ltd (JCHAC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nilkamal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5323:1" rel="noopener">Nilkamal Ltd (NILK IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makemytrip-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23580:1" rel="noopener">Makemytrip Ltd (MMYT US)</a>. States, where our channels were based, include- West Bengal, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar.  </p>
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<h3>About India Channel Insight</h3>
</div>
<div>
<p>Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets emerging out of these interactions and have been aiding us to generate interesting trade ideas and have often proven to be reliable sources of qualitative alpha. </p>
</div>

This channel insight focuses on Zomato (ZOM IN), AU Small Finance Bank Limited (AUBANK IN),Hitachi Home &amp; Life Solutions India Ltd (JCHAC IN), Nilkamal Ltd (NILK IN) and Makemytrip Ltd (MMYT US). States, where our channels were based, include- West Bengal, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar.  

About India Channel Insight


Our objective with India Channel Insight is to share snippets from our channel interactions that are part of our research process. These snippets emerging out of these interactions and have been aiding us to generate interesting trade ideas and have often proven to be reliable sources of qualitative alpha. 


India Channel Insight | Zomato, AU Bank, Johnson Hitachi, Nilkamal, Makemytrip

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BOB Capital Markets Ltd

BOB Capital Markets Ltd.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>IndiGo's Q4FY21 RASK came in at Rs 3.3, EBITDAR at Rs 7.3bn was hit by rising fuel costs and the company suffered a Rs 11.6bn net loss</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

IndiGo's Q4FY21 RASK came in at Rs 3.3, EBITDAR at Rs 7.3bn was hit by rising fuel costs and the company suffered a Rs 11.6bn net lossContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

InterGlobe Aviation (ADD): Strong balance sheet, leadership premium  upgrade to ADD

Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/go-air-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33416:1" rel="noopener">Go Air Limited (GO IN)</a>  is set to launch an IPO soon, becoming the 3rd active airlines company to get listed on the bourses after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spicejet-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5266:1" rel="noopener">Spicejet Ltd (SJET IN)</a>. The company, promoted by the Wadia Group was launched in 2005 and currently controls 10.8% of the market share.</p>
<p>Operated as a ULCC (ultra low cost airlines), Go Air has been one of the faster growing airlines domestically in the last two years, clocking an available seat kilometer (ASK) and revenue CAGR growth of 30.2% and 25.2% from F18-F20. Moreover, Go Air has also been one of the better cost-efficient airlines in the sector, factored by lesser maintenance and better fuel efficiency.</p>
<p>However, given these metrics, there are numerous setbacks identified in the DRHP, primarily pertaining to accounting changes and balance sheet health, which we try to uncover in this insight.</p>

Go Air Limited (GO IN)  is set to launch an IPO soon, becoming the 3rd active airlines company to get listed on the bourses after InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN) and Spicejet Ltd (SJET IN). The company, promoted by the Wadia Group was launched in 2005 and currently controls 10.8% of the market share.
Operated as a ULCC (ultra low cost airlines), Go Air has been one of the faster growing airlines domestically in the last two years, clocking an available seat kilometer (ASK) and revenue CAGR growth of 30.2% and 25.2% from F18-F20. Moreover, Go Air has also been one of the better cost-efficient airlines in the sector, factored by lesser maintenance and better fuel efficiency.
However, given these metrics, there are numerous setbacks identified in the DRHP, primarily pertaining to accounting changes and balance sheet health, which we try to uncover in this insight.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<p>Interglobe Aviation (Indigo)’s board approved a fund raising of around US$400m (INR30,000m) on 10th May 2021. </p><p>This is the second time over the past year that the company has obtained a board approval for undertaking a fund raising. The previous instance was in Aug 2020, when the board approved a fundraising of up to INR40,000m. However, the quicker than expected recovery since then meant that the company never raised the funds and in Jan 2021, its CFO stated that it had no intention of doing so either.</p><p>However, the brutal COVID-19 second wave in India probably led to a change of heart. In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics. </p>

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo)’s board approved a fund raising of around US$400m (INR30,000m) on 10th May 2021. This is the second time over the past year that the company has obtained a board approval for undertaking a fund raising. The previous instance was in Aug 2020, when the board approved a fundraising of up to INR40,000m. However, the quicker than expected recovery since then meant that the company never raised the funds and in Jan 2021, its CFO stated that it had no intention of doing so either.However, the brutal COVID-19 second wave in India probably led to a change of heart. In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics. 

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) QIP Early Look - Headwinds Lead to a Change of Heart

India

InterGlobe Aviation Limited provides passenger airlines services. The Company offers ground management, air transportation, terminal maintenance, and other services. InterGlobe Aviation conducts its business globally.

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InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)

The Narrative | Q2 FY22 | India Consumer - Asian Paints, PVR, Reliance Retail, Titan, Page, Indigo

The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of Asian Paints / PVR Ltd / Reliance Retail / Titan / Page Industries /Indigo

Pranav Bhavsar

India Channel Insight | Zomato, AU Bank, Johnson Hitachi, Nilkamal, Makemytrip

This channel insight focuses on ZOM IN, AUBANK IN, JCHAC IN, NILK IN and MMYT US. States, where our channels were based, include- West Bengal,...

Pranav Bhavsar

InterGlobe Aviation (ADD): Strong balance sheet, leadership premium upgrade to ADD

IndiGo's Q4FY21 RASK came in at Rs 3.3, EBITDAR at Rs 7.3bn was hit by rising fuel costs and the company suffered a Rs 11.6bn net loss

BOB Capital Markets Ltd.

Go Air IPO- In Search Of Smooth Landing

Given the strong recent growth, there are numerous setbacks identified in the DRHP, primarily pertaining to accounting changes and balance sheet...

Nitin Mangal

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) QIP Early Look - Headwinds Lead to a Change of Heart

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo)’s board approved a fund raising of around US$400m on 10th May 2021. This is the second time over the past year that...

Sumeet Singh

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