Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 5+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. So far, the latest pullback is testing the uptrend -- buy/stay long.</li>
<li>We are buying the test of 7-month base support in Europe (EURO STOXX 50). China's Shanghai Composite points to a second chance breakout attempt above 1.5-month resistance -- buy/stay long</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 5+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. So far, the latest pullback is testing the uptrend -- buy/stay long.
We are buying the test of 7-month base support in Europe (EURO STOXX 50). China's Shanghai Composite points to a second chance breakout attempt above 1.5-month resistance -- buy/stay long


5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mmc-port-holdings-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45442:1" rel="noopener">MMC Port Holdings Berhad (2436494D MK)</a> IPO is <a href="https://theedgemalaysia.com/node/773085" target="_blank" rel="noopener">being delayed until 2026</a> to allow for more comprehensive disclosures that reflect <a href="https://theedgemalaysia.com/node/759068" target="_blank" rel="noopener">recent developments</a> in the industry and its operations.  </li>
<li>This has a positive read-through for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3954:1" rel="noopener">Westports Holdings (WPRTS MK)</a>, where tariff hikes are expected to have a positive impact on results through 2025-2027. </li>
<li>Read our initiation of coverage on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intl-container-term-svcs-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20001:1" rel="noopener">ICTSI (ICT PM)</a> in our insight, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ictsi-ict-pm-terminal-operator-serial-grower-with-pricing-power-20-roce-30-net-margins" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:182122" rel="noopener">ICTSI (ICT PM): Terminal Operator, Serial Grower With Pricing Power, 20% ROCE, 30% Net Margins</a> </li>
</ul>


The MMC Port Holdings Berhad (2436494D MK) IPO is being delayed until 2026 to allow for more comprehensive disclosures that reflect recent developments in the industry and its operations.  
This has a positive read-through for Westports Holdings (WPRTS MK), where tariff hikes are expected to have a positive impact on results through 2025-2027. 
Read our initiation of coverage on ICTSI (ICT PM) in our insight, ICTSI (ICT PM): Terminal Operator, Serial Grower With Pricing Power, 20% ROCE, 30% Net Margins 


Container Port Terminal Screener October 2025: Delay of The MMC Port IPO

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Most large Asian markets' forward PE multiples are significantly higher than their long-term averages. But their valuations relative to Asia-ex-Japan are mostly at the averages, only Korea's is significantly lower.</li>
<li>HK/China's relative PE is slightly lower than average, Taiwan's is slightly higher. ASEAN markets' relative PE are sharply lower than their averages, but we think most lack rerating catalysts.</li>
<li>We think Korea and Philippines deserve to get rerated. India's relative PE, though at its long-term average, could decline slightly further, to reach its recent bottoms.</li>
</ul>


Most large Asian markets' forward PE multiples are significantly higher than their long-term averages. But their valuations relative to Asia-ex-Japan are mostly at the averages, only Korea's is significantly lower.
HK/China's relative PE is slightly lower than average, Taiwan's is slightly higher. ASEAN markets' relative PE are sharply lower than their averages, but we think most lack rerating catalysts.
We think Korea and Philippines deserve to get rerated. India's relative PE, though at its long-term average, could decline slightly further, to reach its recent bottoms.


Asian Equity: Relative Valuations Have Mostly Converged; Korea the Only Large Rerating Candidate

<ul>
<li>We are gradually building a high-conviction coverage of ideas for mid and small-cap companies in the Philippines.</li>
<li>We established metrics focusing on high ROCE, sustainable growth of 10-15% YoY, robust balance sheets, and prudent capital allocation, essential elements for identifying potential multi-bagger opportunities.</li>
<li>Read our updates on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/philippines-exchange-pse-pm-ipo-pipeline-to-cross-200-bn-142-yoy-pesos-for-2025" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:200310" rel="noopener">Philippines Exchange (PSE PM): IPO Pipeline to Cross 200 Bn (&gt;142% YoY) Pesos For 2025</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-keepers-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23003:1" rel="noopener">The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ginebra-san-miguel-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23029:1" rel="noopener">Ginebra San Miguel (GSMI PM)</a> </li>
</ul>


We are gradually building a high-conviction coverage of ideas for mid and small-cap companies in the Philippines.
We established metrics focusing on high ROCE, sustainable growth of 10-15% YoY, robust balance sheets, and prudent capital allocation, essential elements for identifying potential multi-bagger opportunities.
Read our updates on Philippines Exchange (PSE PM): IPO Pipeline to Cross 200 Bn (&gt;142% YoY) Pesos For 2025, The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM), and Ginebra San Miguel (GSMI PM) 


Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas - September 2025

Tencent Music Entertainment Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Since inception, our Model Portfolio underperformed, having appreciated 5.8%, while MSCI Asia-ex-Japan moved up 8.3%. BYD, Hyundai Engineering and Digiplus dragged it down. Alibaba, Trip.Com, Tencent, Maruti pulled it up.</li>
<li>We exclude the secular underperformers BYD and Digiplus and the unexciting Yum China. We include Tencent Music, Wuxi AppTec, International Container Terminals. Focus on China's "new consumption" trends, CRDMO prowess.</li>
<li>We remain overweight HK/China despite the market's recent outperformance. Immense stock selection opportunities in the market guide our stance. We remain overweight Korea, neutral India and underweight Taiwan. </li>
</ul>


Since inception, our Model Portfolio underperformed, having appreciated 5.8%, while MSCI Asia-ex-Japan moved up 8.3%. BYD, Hyundai Engineering and Digiplus dragged it down. Alibaba, Trip.Com, Tencent, Maruti pulled it up.
We exclude the secular underperformers BYD and Digiplus and the unexciting Yum China. We include Tencent Music, Wuxi AppTec, International Container Terminals. Focus on China's "new consumption" trends, CRDMO prowess.
We remain overweight HK/China despite the market's recent outperformance. Immense stock selection opportunities in the market guide our stance. We remain overweight Korea, neutral India and underweight Taiwan. 


Asian Equities: Changes to Our Model Portfolio; More Selective on Chinese Consumption

Philippines

International Container Terminal Services, Inc. provides containerized cargo handling services. The Company also manages and operates the Manila International Container Terminal and port.

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ICTSI (ICT PM)

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI $ACWI; Bullish Outlook Intact; China Second Chance Breakout Likely on Shanghai Composite. Buying the test...

Vermilion Research

Container Port Terminal Screener October 2025: Delay of The MMC Port IPO

We provide updates on the container port terminal companies, which we believe have pricing power and are primed to steadily increase their earnings...

Sameer Taneja

Asian Equity: Relative Valuations Have Mostly Converged; Korea the Only Large Rerating Candidate

Most large Asian markets' fwd PE multiples are above long-term means. Their PEs relative to AxJ are at long-term means. We think KR & Phils...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas - September 2025

We compile our selection of small and mid-cap names with desired characteristics of high dividend yields, value, and margin of safety, and updates.

Sameer Taneja

Asian Equities: Changes to Our Model Portfolio; More Selective on Chinese Consumption

In our Model Portfolio we reduce Chinese EV & restaurants & include contract research & digital music exposures. We thus seek to correct our...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

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52-week Range

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5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI $ACWI; Bullish Outlook Intact; China Second Chance Breakout Likely on Shanghai Composite. Buying the test...

Vermilion Research

Container Port Terminal Screener October 2025: Delay of The MMC Port IPO

We provide updates on the container port terminal companies, which we believe have pricing power and are primed to steadily increase their earnings...

Sameer Taneja

Asian Equity: Relative Valuations Have Mostly Converged; Korea the Only Large Rerating Candidate

​Most large Asian markets' fwd PE multiples are above long-term means. Their PEs relative to AxJ are at long-term means. We think KR & Phils...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas - September 2025

We compile our selection of small and mid-cap names with desired characteristics of high dividend yields, value, and margin of safety, and updates.

Sameer Taneja

Asian Equities: Changes to Our Model Portfolio; More Selective on Chinese Consumption

In our Model Portfolio we reduce Chinese EV & restaurants & include contract research & digital music exposures. We thus seek to correct our...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Most large Asian markets' fwd PE multiples are above long-term means. Their PEs relative to AxJ are at long-term means. We think KR & Phils...