Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Chey Tae‑won’s Korea–Japan integration push is fresh tape—unpriced and unconsumed—unlike the exhausted dividend tax story, making it the real policy‑momentum trade to watch.</li>
<li>Korea’s export model is fading, but a $6T Korea–Japan bloc plus CPTPP buzz offers a fresh policy‑momentum catalyst, with AI/data angles luring incremental global flows.</li>
<li>Korea–Japan cooperation isn’t a real bloc yet, but it trades like a policy theme—Chey’s 3PRO push makes it a headline‑driven short‑term play ripe for desks.</li>
</ul>


Chey Tae‑won’s Korea–Japan integration push is fresh tape—unpriced and unconsumed—unlike the exhausted dividend tax story, making it the real policy‑momentum trade to watch.
Korea’s export model is fading, but a $6T Korea–Japan bloc plus CPTPP buzz offers a fresh policy‑momentum catalyst, with AI/data angles luring incremental global flows.
Korea–Japan cooperation isn’t a real bloc yet, but it trades like a policy theme—Chey’s 3PRO push makes it a headline‑driven short‑term play ripe for desks.


Introducing the Unusual Policy Narrative Now Pushed: Korea–Japan Economic Integration

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 5+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. So far, the latest pullback is testing the uptrend -- buy/stay long.</li>
<li>We are buying the test of 7-month base support in Europe (EURO STOXX 50). China's Shanghai Composite points to a second chance breakout attempt above 1.5-month resistance -- buy/stay long</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 5+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. So far, the latest pullback is testing the uptrend -- buy/stay long.
We are buying the test of 7-month base support in Europe (EURO STOXX 50). China's Shanghai Composite points to a second chance breakout attempt above 1.5-month resistance -- buy/stay long


5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Samsung confirmed PRA sign-off for 1c HBM4, shipped samples to NVIDIA, went full redesign on base die, and is in talks with vendors like Hanmi for hybrid bonding gear.</li>
<li>From a trading POV: Samsung pivoting to Hanmi signals "speed over pride"—a clear tell they're serious about ramping HBM4 fast, even if it means breaking from vertical integration.</li>
<li>For the move to stick, yields and customer wins matter — but Hanmi’s stepping up, and this could give Samsung’s HBM4 story a real leg up if it plays out.</li>
</ul>


Samsung confirmed PRA sign-off for 1c HBM4, shipped samples to NVIDIA, went full redesign on base die, and is in talks with vendors like Hanmi for hybrid bonding gear.
From a trading POV: Samsung pivoting to Hanmi signals "speed over pride"—a clear tell they're serious about ramping HBM4 fast, even if it means breaking from vertical integration.
For the move to stick, yields and customer wins matter — but Hanmi’s stepping up, and this could give Samsung’s HBM4 story a real leg up if it plays out.


Samsung Earnings Call Signals Samsung-Hanmi HBM4 Talks: Catalyst Brewing for Both Stocks

<ul>
<li>Dropped an Excel below with all names showing borrow as of today’s close — includes short interest and borrow-to-float using latest float data.</li>
<li>Tables below flag names with borrow-to-float &gt;4% (&gt;3% for small caps) and plenty of unused borrow — solid candidates for potential short flow.</li>
<li>Not auto-shorts — still need basic checks. But with borrow rising, this set looks like a solid starter basket to watch for short flow.</li>
</ul>


Dropped an Excel below with all names showing borrow as of today’s close — includes short interest and borrow-to-float using latest float data.
Tables below flag names with borrow-to-float &gt;4% (&gt;3% for small caps) and plenty of unused borrow — solid candidates for potential short flow.
Not auto-shorts — still need basic checks. But with borrow rising, this set looks like a solid starter basket to watch for short flow.


Latest Borrow (Net Short Interest) To Float Ratios — Screening a Starter Basket for Short Flow

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Dec 12th. The aggregated short interest was USD12.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in SANIL ELECTRIC, Hanwha Vision, kakaopay, Samsung F&amp;M Insurance, Alteogen.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Dec 12th. The aggregated short interest was USD12.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in SANIL ELECTRIC, Hanwha Vision, kakaopay, Samsung F&amp;M Insurance, Alteogen.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 12th): SANIL ELECTRIC, Hanwha Vision, Kakaopay, Samsung F&M Insurance

South Korea

Hanmi Semiconductor Co., Ltd. manufactures and develops semiconductor equipment. The Company's products include auto molding system, sawing & placement system, campress trim/form/singulation system, and pick & place system.

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Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS)

Introducing the Unusual Policy Narrative Now Pushed: Korea–Japan Economic Integration

Right now the Korean tape’s running with a pretty wild policy narrative — Korea–Japan economic integration: an off‑consensus theme getting pushed...

Sanghyun Park

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); China Second Chance Breakout Likely

5+ Month Uptrend Support Holding on MSCI $ACWI; Bullish Outlook Intact; China Second Chance Breakout Likely on Shanghai Composite. Buying the test...

Vermilion Research

Samsung Earnings Call Signals Samsung-Hanmi HBM4 Talks: Catalyst Brewing for Both Stocks

This post covers Samsung’s earnings call confirming Samsung-Hanmi HBM4 talks — a strong catalyst brewing for both stocks.

Sanghyun Park

Latest Borrow (Net Short Interest) To Float Ratios — Screening a Starter Basket for Short Flow

This post shares the latest borrow (net short interest)-to-float ratios, screening a starter basket to watch for short flow.

Sanghyun Park

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 12th): SANIL ELECTRIC, Hanwha Vision, Kakaopay, Samsung F&M Insurance

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in SANIL ELECTRIC, Hanwha Vision, kakaopay, Samsung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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