Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Focus is on rotation from semi leveraged ETFs, about KRW 700bn to 1tn in 5 days, mainly cannibalizing KODEX and TIGER which proxy Samsung and Hynix leverage.</li>
<li>Better trade is smaller names, not Samsung or Hynix. Futures likely take heavy sell pressure post listing, driving outsized basis blowout and spot futures dislocation versus turnover.</li>
<li>Screen names are Hanmi, Leeno, Wonik IPS, EO Technics, ISC. Expect 1 to 1.3x futures sell flow. Play via cash shorts or basis on backwardation.</li>
</ul>


Focus is on rotation from semi leveraged ETFs, about KRW 700bn to 1tn in 5 days, mainly cannibalizing KODEX and TIGER which proxy Samsung and Hynix leverage.
Better trade is smaller names, not Samsung or Hynix. Futures likely take heavy sell pressure post listing, driving outsized basis blowout and spot futures dislocation versus turnover.
Screen names are Hanmi, Leeno, Wonik IPS, EO Technics, ISC. Expect 1 to 1.3x futures sell flow. Play via cash shorts or basis on backwardation.


Flow Cannibalization Trade Setup Around Samsung and Hynix Leveraged ETF Listings

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass) after ACWI-US held at crucial $134 support.</li>
<li>We also upgraded our near-term outlook to bullish on MSCI ACWI in last week's Int'l Compass (April 23).</li>
<li>Remain overweight Technology which remains our primary focus ever since our April 16 Int'l Compass. We also highlight opportunities within Energy, Industrials, Materials, and Utilities</li>
</ul>


Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass) after ACWI-US held at crucial $134 support.
We also upgraded our near-term outlook to bullish on MSCI ACWI in last week's Int'l Compass (April 23).
Remain overweight Technology which remains our primary focus ever since our April 16 Int'l Compass. We also highlight opportunities within Energy, Industrials, Materials, and Utilities


Technology Buys; Downgrading Spain to Market Weight. Buys in Tech, Energy, Industrials, Materials

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>FnGuide announced that Mirae Asset TIGER Semiconductor TOP 10 ETF, which operates based on its FnGuide's own index, surpassed 3 trillion won in net assets.</li>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the impact of this change on FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance in April 2026. </li>
<li>ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS) is a potential inclusion candidate (borderline) in the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance in April 2026.</li>
</ul>


FnGuide announced that Mirae Asset TIGER Semiconductor TOP 10 ETF, which operates based on its FnGuide's own index, surpassed 3 trillion won in net assets.
In this insight, we discuss the impact of this change on FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance in April 2026. 
ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS) is a potential inclusion candidate (borderline) in the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance in April 2026.


TIGER Semiconductor TOP 10 ETF > 3 Trillion Won in AUM: Impact on FnGuide Index's Next Rebalance

Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

<ul>
<li>The second PE rumoured interest in ASMPT in 18 months, with KKR circling.</li>
<li>Semiconductor M&amp;A has surged in 2024 YTD with a 33% increase in deal activity compared to 2023.</li>
<li>ASM's leadership in TCB, potential growth within HBM, expansion at TSM and enabling the Nvidia Blackwell platform are all reasons for M&amp;A interest.</li>
</ul>


The second PE rumoured interest in ASMPT in 18 months, with KKR circling.
Semiconductor M&amp;A has surged in 2024 YTD with a 33% increase in deal activity compared to 2023.
ASM's leadership in TCB, potential growth within HBM, expansion at TSM and enabling the Nvidia Blackwell platform are all reasons for M&amp;A interest.


ASMPT (ASM Pacific). 522 HK. M&A. Takeover Target Talk. Déjà Vu ?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a>'s listing has been approved by the JPX and the stock is expected to start trading on the Prime Market from 25 October.</li>
<li>At the reported indicative IPO price of JPY 1890/share, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> will be valued at JPY 435bn (US$2.94bn).</li>
<li>The stock should be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TPX INDEX</a> at the close on 29 November where trackers will need to buy over 14% of the stock issued in the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)'s listing has been approved by the JPX and the stock is expected to start trading on the Prime Market from 25 October.
At the reported indicative IPO price of JPY 1890/share, Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) will be valued at JPY 435bn (US$2.94bn).
The stock should be added to the TPX INDEX at the close on 29 November where trackers will need to buy over 14% of the stock issued in the IPO.


Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) IPO: Listing in October, TPX Inclusion in November, Global Indices Later

South Korea

Hanmi Semiconductor Co., Ltd. manufactures and develops semiconductor equipment. The Company's products include auto molding system, sawing & placement system, campress trim/form/singulation system, and pick & place system.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS)

Flow Cannibalization Trade Setup Around Samsung and Hynix Leveraged ETF Listings

This post examines the trading angle around flow cannibalization dynamics driven by the listing of Samsung and Hynix leveraged ETFs.

Sanghyun Park

Technology Buys; Downgrading Spain to Market Weight. Buys in Tech, Energy, Industrials, Materials

Technology Buys; Downgrading Spain to Market Weight; Remain overweight Tech which remains our primary focus ever since April 16. We also highlight...

Vermilion Research

TIGER Semiconductor TOP 10 ETF > 3 Trillion Won in AUM: Impact on FnGuide Index's Next Rebalance

ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS) is a potential inclusion candidate (borderline) in the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance in April 2026.

Douglas Kim

ASMPT (ASM Pacific). 522 HK. M&A. Takeover Target Talk. Déjà Vu ?

Private equity interest in ASMPT has surged due to its leadership in TCB, potential growth in HBM, expansion at TSM, and enabling the Nvidia...

Neil Campling

Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) IPO: Listing in October, TPX Inclusion in November, Global Indices Later

Kokusai Electric starts trading today. Initial passive demand will come from TOPIX trackers next month. Flow from global passive trackers will come...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Flow Cannibalization Trade Setup Around Samsung and Hynix Leveraged ETF Listings

This post examines the trading angle around flow cannibalization dynamics driven by the listing of Samsung and Hynix leveraged ETFs.

Sanghyun Park

Technology Buys; Downgrading Spain to Market Weight. Buys in Tech, Energy, Industrials, Materials

Technology Buys; Downgrading Spain to Market Weight; Remain overweight Tech which remains our primary focus ever since April 16. We also highlight...

Vermilion Research

TIGER Semiconductor TOP 10 ETF > 3 Trillion Won in AUM: Impact on FnGuide Index's Next Rebalance

ISC Co Ltd (095340 KS) is a potential inclusion candidate (borderline) in the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance in April 2026.

Douglas Kim

ASMPT (ASM Pacific). 522 HK. M&A. Takeover Target Talk. Déjà Vu ?

​Private equity interest in ASMPT has surged due to its leadership in TCB, potential growth in HBM, expansion at TSM, and enabling the Nvidia...

Neil Campling

Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) IPO: Listing in October, TPX Inclusion in November, Global Indices Later

Kokusai Electric starts trading today. Initial passive demand will come from TOPIX trackers next month. Flow from global passive trackers will come...

Brian Freitas

Private equity interest in ASMPT has surged due to its leadership in TCB, potential growth in HBM, expansion at TSM, and enabling the Nvidia...