Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

Across our active Global fund universe, Value managers have seen $41bn in outflows over the past 5-years, compared to $65bn of inflows in to Growth funds.With Value funds capturing some long awaited outperformance this year, we analyse the current holdings set up among the 63 active Value funds in our analysis.Overweights in EMEA persist against underweights in Asia and the Americas.  Financials, Materials and Industrials are the key overweights versus underweights in Information Technology.US Financials are the standout overweight, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/citigroup-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:279:1" rel="noopener">Citigroup Inc (C US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/american-express-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:916:1" rel="noopener">American Express Co (AXP US)</a> the key positions.  The FAAMG group of stocks remain key underweight holdings, though <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microsoft-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15273:1" rel="noopener">Microsoft Corp (MSFT US)</a> is the most widely held of the group. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-motors-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors (TSLA US)</a> is almost totally avoided and in Asia, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pinduoduo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">Pinduoduo (PDD US)</a> screen as 'Unloved' by global active Value managers.

Across our active Global fund universe, Value managers have seen $41bn in outflows over the past 5-years, compared to $65bn of inflows in to Growth funds.With Value funds capturing some long awaited outperformance this year, we analyse the current holdings set up among the 63 active Value funds in our analysis.Overweights in EMEA persist against underweights in Asia and the Americas.  Financials, Materials and Industrials are the key overweights versus underweights in Information Technology.US Financials are the standout overweight, with Citigroup Inc (C US) and American Express Co (AXP US) the key positions.  The FAAMG group of stocks remain key underweight holdings, though Microsoft Corp (MSFT US) is the most widely held of the group. Tesla Motors (TSLA US) is almost totally avoided and in Asia, Meituan (3690 HK) , JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) and Pinduoduo (PDD US) screen as 'Unloved' by global active Value managers.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul><li>U.S. equity markets remain resilient. Led by strength in technology and biotech, the Nasdaq hit a new all-time high yesterday. Small-cap indexes are also hitting all-time highs. Moreover, the S&amp;P 500 has moved to a new high relative to May prices, providing new evidence that the market is likely to continue its trend higher. Given these developments, our outlook continues to move toward the bullish camp. In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable stocks within Energy (Refiners) and Health Care (Cardiovascular Products, and Surgical Devices &amp; Equipment).</li></ul>

U.S. equity markets remain resilient. Led by strength in technology and biotech, the Nasdaq hit a new all-time high yesterday. Small-cap indexes are also hitting all-time highs. Moreover, the S&amp;P 500 has moved to a new high relative to May prices, providing new evidence that the market is likely to continue its trend higher. Given these developments, our outlook continues to move toward the bullish camp. In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable stocks within Energy (Refiners) and Health Care (Cardiovascular Products, and Surgical Devices &amp; Equipment).

U.S. Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Refiners & Med Device Makers

While defensive sectors continue to lag, one cyclical sector, Energy, has surged to the top of our relative strength rankings. Though we continue to expect further consolidation and volatility, current sector leadership and mostly positive breadth indicators point to a risk-on environment. In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable groups within Energy and Health Care: EN-08 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic, Large-Cap, HC-11 Cardiovascular Products, and HC-13 Surgical Devices &amp; Equipment... see pages 10-21.

While defensive sectors continue to lag, one cyclical sector, Energy, has surged to the top of our relative strength rankings. Though we continue to expect further consolidation and volatility, current sector leadership and mostly positive breadth indicators point to a risk-on environment. In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable groups within Energy and Health Care: EN-08 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic, Large-Cap, HC-11 Cardiovascular Products, and HC-13 Surgical Devices &amp; Equipment... see pages 10-21.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Energy & Health Care Stocks

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

While the US consumer health industry will remain a strong centre for investment, development and technology innovation in 2017 and is expected to reach US$77 billion by 2021, the election of Donald Trump has created uncertainty among the industry, government agencies and consumers, especially around regulations, local production incentives, and changes to the Affordable Care Act.

While the US consumer health industry will remain a strong centre for investment, development and technology innovation in 2017 and is expected to reach US$77 billion by 2021, the election of Donald Trump has created uncertainty among the industry, government agencies and consumers, especially around regulations, local production incentives, and changes to the Affordable Care Act.

Trump Health Effect: What Is Next for the Consumer Health Industry Under Trump's Leadership?

Asia Healthcare Analyst, Pathology Associates Limited

Dion Stéfan Büchner M.D., FCAP

Asia Healthcare Analyst

Pathology Associates Limited

AML represents one of the largest hematologic cancer populations with one of the worst survival rates. Global prevalence is expected to increase at 2015-20 CAGR of ~12% to 434,214 in 2020.The current standard of care for newly diagnosed patients is a combination of daunorubicin and cytarabine, commonly known as 7+3. However, durable remissions occur only in a minority of adult patients. Hence r/r AML remains a disease of high unmet need, especially for “elderly” patients. Treatment landscape…

AML represents one of the largest hematologic cancer populations with one of the worst survival rates. Global prevalence is expected to increase at 2015-20 CAGR of ~12% to 434,214 in 2020.The current standard of care for newly diagnosed patients is a combination of daunorubicin and cytarabine, commonly known as 7+3. However, durable remissions occur only in a minority of adult patients. Hence r/r AML remains a disease of high unmet need, especially for “elderly” patients. Treatment landscape…

Relapsed/Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia (R/R AML)

United States

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. design, manufactures, and markets surgical systems. The Company offers endoscopes, endoscopic retractors and disectors, scissors, scalpels, forceps, needle holders, electrocautery, ultrasonic cutters, and accessories during surgical procedures. Intuitive Surgical operates worldwide.

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Intuitive Surgical (ISRG US)

Where Are Global Value Funds Positioned?

With Value funds capturing some long awaited outperformance this year, we analyse the current holdings set up among the active Global Value funds...

Steven Holden

U.S. Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Refiners & Med Device Makers

U.S. equity markets remain resilient. Led by strength in technology and biotech, the Nasdaq hit a new all-time high yesterday. Small-cap indexes...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Energy & Health Care Stocks

While defensive sectors continue to lag, one cyclical sector, Energy, has surged to the top of our relative strength rankings. Though we continue...

Vermilion Research

Trump Health Effect: What Is Next for the Consumer Health Industry Under Trump's Leadership?

While the US consumer health industry will remain a strong centre for investment, development and technology innovation in 2017 and is expected to...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

Relapsed/Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia (R/R AML)

AML represents one of the largest hematologic cancer populations with one of the worst survival rates. Global prevalence is expected to increase at...

Dion Stéfan Büchner M.D., FCAP

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