Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p><strong>Half-year 2016 trade volumes confirm generally muted container market. Where’s the growth?</strong></p><p><em>Most of the major carriers had poor first-half financial results. One of the main reasons behind the slump is the stagnation in demand for carriers’ services. Now that volume statistics are available for major 14 trades covered regularly by Drewry, representing an estimated 40% of the world total, we can see the picture more clearly. The </em><em>two-way bi-lateral container traffic for the sample routes grew by</em>…</p>

Half-year 2016 trade volumes confirm generally muted container market. Where’s the growth?Most of the major carriers had poor first-half financial results. One of the main reasons behind the slump is the stagnation in demand for carriers’ services. Now that volume statistics are available for major 14 trades covered regularly by Drewry, representing an estimated 40% of the world total, we can see the picture more clearly. The two-way bi-lateral container traffic for the sample routes grew by…

Container Shipping - 1H16 Trade Volumes Confirm Generally Muted Market. Where's the Growth?

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

<p>It is no easy task generating decent relatively low-risk long-term returns portfolio. Over the last decade I have put a lot of thinking into building such a portfolio. It did involve risk taking and periods of relative volatility. I have found several golden rules, also based on failures of up close experiences from myself and others. My hands down worse investment was not cutting losses in certain names into the 2008 crash – most notably Citigroup shares, some of which I was forcibly locked into owing to management options with false information from HR. GE was another counter I took a beating on in 2008+.</p><p>But some 2009-09 investment lessons I found mirrored some of my 1987-88 market crash lessons. Over time I have reduced volatility in my portfolio.  </p><p>My main lesson for my conservative investment style was that buying into the heart of a crash takes quite a bit of time and patience to claw back to break even on average picks.  But in the end I stuck to this value style for increasing positions a number of times over the years. What follows is a no-holds barred account of my rules based investments, and losses and gains which have led to decent long-term performance despite a few scary gaps.</p><p>The second half of this piece is a dialogue with a global investor friend of 15-20 years.</p>

It is no easy task generating decent relatively low-risk long-term returns portfolio. Over the last decade I have put a lot of thinking into building such a portfolio. It did involve risk taking and periods of relative volatility. I have found several golden rules, also based on failures of up close experiences from myself and others. My hands down worse investment was not cutting losses in certain names into the 2008 crash – most notably Citigroup shares, some of which I was forcibly locked into owing to management options with false information from HR. GE was another counter I took a beating on in 2008+.But some 2009-09 investment lessons I found mirrored some of my 1987-88 market crash lessons. Over time I have reduced volatility in my portfolio.  My main lesson for my conservative investment style was that buying into the heart of a crash takes quite a bit of time and patience to claw back to break even on average picks.  But in the end I stuck to this value style for increasing positions a number of times over the years. What follows is a no-holds barred account of my rules based investments, and losses and gains which have led to decent long-term performance despite a few scary gaps.The second half of this piece is a dialogue with a global investor friend of 15-20 years.

Building a Rules Based Perpetual Portfolio(Incl Global Investor Q & A)

Chairman, sgtradex

Tan Chin-Hwee

Chairman

<blockquote><p>“Speculation is a hard and trying business, and a speculator must be on the job all the time or he'll soon have no job to be on.” - <strong>Reminiscences of a Stock Operator</strong>, 1923</p></blockquote><p>My first day at <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amaranth_Advisors" target="_blank">Amaranth </a>could have been my last.</p><p>After my Masters at Yale back in 2003, I joined this American multi-strategy Hedge Fund in Greenwich, Connecticut. It was my very first experience working in the rough-and-tumble world of a trading floor in the global hedge fund industry. I rescinded my trading position back in…</p>

“Speculation is a hard and trying business, and a speculator must be on the job all the time or he'll soon have no job to be on.” - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, 1923My first day at Amaranth could have been my last.After my Masters at Yale back in 2003, I joined this American multi-strategy Hedge Fund in Greenwich, Connecticut. It was my very first experience working in the rough-and-tumble world of a trading floor in the global hedge fund industry. I rescinded my trading position back in…

10 Years' Anniversary of the Collapse of Hedge Fund Amaranth - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator

Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Asia Economist and CEO

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>At a time of growing unease about political and economic risks in major economies, and continued uncertainty over the strength of the US recovery and its implications for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, investors have flocked into assets in Asian EMs.</li><li>The question is whether this perception of the relative safety of Asian emerging markets will remain now that valuations in Asian markets have expanded so much. We think a moderation of such capital inflows is forthcoming.</li></ul>

At a time of growing unease about political and economic risks in major economies, and continued uncertainty over the strength of the US recovery and its implications for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, investors have flocked into assets in Asian EMs.The question is whether this perception of the relative safety of Asian emerging markets will remain now that valuations in Asian markets have expanded so much. We think a moderation of such capital inflows is forthcoming.

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics flash </strong>Sunday 24 July 2016</p><div><strong> </strong></div><div><strong>S&amp;P push, JPY, bullish Mexico, DXY and commodities</strong></div><p>Our immediate S&amp;P rally target is 2,180 and then 2,204. We are waiting for a pullback toward 2,130 to buy the S&amp;P. </p><div>It appears we may not get a correction until after the next cycle timeline of July 29th. An equity rise into July 29th would increase odds of seeing a crest near that date and a correction unfold. We are a buyer of any correction as long as the S&amp;P holds 2,100 structural integrity.</div><div>Daily RSI is…</div>

Chartonics flash Sunday 24 July 2016 S&amp;P push, JPY, bullish Mexico, DXY and commoditiesOur immediate S&amp;P rally target is 2,180 and then 2,204. We are waiting for a pullback toward 2,130 to buy the S&amp;P. It appears we may not get a correction until after the next cycle timeline of July 29th. An equity rise into July 29th would increase odds of seeing a crest near that date and a correction unfold. We are a buyer of any correction as long as the S&amp;P holds 2,100 structural integrity.Daily RSI is…

United States

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the performance of the MSCI TR Emerging Markets Index. The ETF holds emerging market stocks that can predominantly be classified as large and mid-cap. It weights the holdings using a market capitalization methodology and rebalances quarterly.

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM US)

Container Shipping - 1H16 Trade Volumes Confirm Generally Muted Market. Where's the Growth?

Half-year 2016 trade volumes confirm generally muted container market. Where’s the growth?Most of the major carriers had poor first-half financial...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Building a Rules Based Perpetual Portfolio(Incl Global Investor Q & A)

It is no easy task generating decent relatively low-risk long-term returns portfolio. Over the last decade I have put a lot of thinking into...

Charles De Trenck

10 Years' Anniversary of the Collapse of Hedge Fund Amaranth - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator

“Speculation is a hard and trying business, and a speculator must be on the job all the time or he'll soon have no job to be on.” - Reminiscences...

Tan Chin-Hwee

Will Capital Still Flow into Asian EMs?

At a time of growing unease about political and economic risks in major economies, and continued uncertainty over the strength of the US recovery...

Manu Bhaskaran

Bullish S&P, Mexico and USD

Chartonics flash Sunday 24 July 2016 S&P push, JPY, bullish Mexico, DXY and commoditiesOur immediate S&P rally target is 2,180 and then...

Thomas Schroeder