The Weekly Market Monitor – Real Rates = Growth Scare?
Defaults are rising, gasoline demand is falling out of bed, and price pressures reside despite spiking energy prices. Is the growth slump finally...
536 Views
FOMC Goldilocks Projections Overlook Fiscal Drag & Student Loan Repayments
Fueled by fiscal stimulus, RGDP to grow over 4%QoQsaar in Q4CY23, inducing a 25bp hike on 1stNov'23. Student loan repayments, spending restraints &...
396 Views
Yield Curve Watch: Bull, bear, steeper, flatter? Here is what the data suggests
Welcome to our Yield Curve Watch series. Over the next few days, we will assess all asset classes in relation to the yield curve dynamics and...
405 Views
With a Positive Real FF Rate Restored, FOMC Hiking Cycle Is Nearly Done
Core PCE has risen annualised 4.5%+ since CY21. M2 contraction since Dec'22, and imminent recession, should enable core PCE inflation to recede...
425 Views
Macro Market Indicators (June 2023)(Update)
We look at 'Macro Market Indicators' that say something about the direction of markets and the relative attractiveness of different asset classes.
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