Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be 7 additions and 8 deletions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 11 December.</li>
<li>As expected, there are no adhoc inclusions as Samsung Epis Holdings is added to the index to offset the gap created by the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-heavy-industries-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33808:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Heavy</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-mipo" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2755:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Mipo</a> merger.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes very handily while also outperforming the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> but by a much narrower margin.</li>
</ul>


There will be 7 additions and 8 deletions for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 11 December.
As expected, there are no adhoc inclusions as Samsung Epis Holdings is added to the index to offset the gap created by the Hyundai Heavy/ Hyundai Mipo merger.
The adds have outperformed the deletes very handily while also outperforming the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) but by a much narrower margin.


<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.</li>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 49 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>There are a number of stocks that will have passive flow from global index trackers over the next few weeks, while some are potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2</a> in December.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.
Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 49 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.
There are a number of stocks that will have passive flow from global index trackers over the next few weeks, while some are potential changes to the KOSPI2 in December.


KOSPI Size Indices: Passive Flows for Many Active Changes

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>ISU Petasys is betting the FSS chief, tied to the current administration, won’t have much market power due to the impeachment drama—and that gamble looks likely to pay off.</li>
<li>ISU Petasys' rights offering still offers solid trade potential, with 97% stockholder allocation and only 21% from the major shareholder, increasing the chance of significant unclaimed shares hitting the market.</li>
<li>Our plan is to grab stock rights cheap, ride the 15% discount, and capitalize on stock pullbacks, though lack of futures limits short hedging. Still, an unhedged setup looks promising.</li>
</ul>


ISU Petasys is betting the FSS chief, tied to the current administration, won’t have much market power due to the impeachment drama—and that gamble looks likely to pay off.
ISU Petasys' rights offering still offers solid trade potential, with 97% stockholder allocation and only 21% from the major shareholder, increasing the chance of significant unclaimed shares hitting the market.
Our plan is to grab stock rights cheap, ride the 15% discount, and capitalize on stock pullbacks, though lack of futures limits short hedging. Still, an unhedged setup looks promising.


ISU Petasys Ignores FSS: A Likely Short-Term Dip Sets up an Opportunity to Target 15% Discount

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated holding was USD803.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,160mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, KEPCO.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 28th. The aggregated holding was USD803.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,160mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, KEPCO.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 28th): SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated holding was USD776.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD3,001mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, KB Financial, Samsung Elec (PREF).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated holding was USD776.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD3,001mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, KB Financial, Samsung Elec (PREF).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 21st): SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES

South Korea

IsuPetasys Co., Ltd. manufactures printed circuit boards (PCBs) specializing in high multilayer PCBs.  The Company exports its products to Cisco Systems, Brocade Communications Systems, and Sun Microsystems in the United States.

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Isupetasys (007660 KS)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Nearly Perfect

As expected, there are 7 changes a side (ignoring the merger, which was known). No ad hoc inclusions since the Hyundai merger offsets the Samsung...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices: Passive Flows for Many Active Changes

There could be 49 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices in Sep. Among new listings, there could be 1 LargeCap add and 3 MidCap adds. There are...

Brian Freitas

ISU Petasys Ignores FSS: A Likely Short-Term Dip Sets up an Opportunity to Target 15% Discount

ISU Petasys is pushing forward with the rights offering, ignoring the FSS. I am expecting a short-term dip, but it will set up a great opportunity...

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 28th): SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Samsung Electronics, NAVER, HD...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 21st): SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY INDUSTRIES

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Doosan Enerbility, HD HYUNDAI HEAVY...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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