Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.
$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.


Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 25th. The aggregated holding was USD646.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,752mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hanwha Aerospace, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Ocean, Hyundai Motor, Celltrion.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 25th. The aggregated holding was USD646.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,752mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hanwha Aerospace, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Ocean, Hyundai Motor, Celltrion.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 25th): Hanwha Aerospace, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Ocean

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 18th. The aggregated holding was USD636.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD758mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, Sksquare, SK Hynix, Naver.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 18th. The aggregated holding was USD636.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD758mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, Sksquare, SK Hynix, Naver.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 18th): Samsung Electronics, Sksquare, SK Hynix, Naver

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 11th. The aggregated holding was USD638.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD373mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 11th. The aggregated holding was USD638.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD373mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 11th): Alteogen, Samsung Electronics

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.</li>
<li>Nearing halfway in the review period, we forecast 53 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Two potential downward migrations could be deleted from a global index in August. The new listing that is a potential LargeCap add could be added to a globalindex in September.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.
Nearing halfway in the review period, we forecast 53 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.
Two potential downward migrations could be deleted from a global index in August. The new listing that is a potential LargeCap add could be added to a globalindex in September.


KOSPI Size Indices: Overlaps Between Active & Passive Flows

South Korea

IsuPetasys Co., Ltd. manufactures printed circuit boards (PCBs) specializing in high multilayer PCBs.  The Company exports its products to Cisco Systems, Brocade Communications Systems, and Sun Microsystems in the United States.

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Isupetasys (007660 KS)

Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Continue Adding Exposure to China; $ACWI Short-Term Supports for this pullback: $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50. Pullbacks = buy opportunities,...

Vermilion Research

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 25th): Hanwha Aerospace, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Ocean

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hanwha Aerospace, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 18th): Samsung Electronics, Sksquare, SK Hynix, Naver

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, Sksquare, SK Hynix, Naver.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 11th): Alteogen, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Alteogen, Samsung Electronics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KOSPI Size Indices: Overlaps Between Active & Passive Flows

There could be 53 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices in Sep. Among new listings, there could be 1 LargeCap add and 3 MidCap adds. There are 2...

Brian Freitas

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