Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Core Adjusted EBITDA margins worsened again in Q425, down -650 bps Y/Y</li>
<li>FY26 guidance calls for tepid volume growth (10-13% Y/Y), slower than in FY25</li>
<li>ZTO focus has shifted from growth to higher rates of shareholder returns</li>
</ul>


Core Adjusted EBITDA margins worsened again in Q425, down -650 bps Y/Y
FY26 guidance calls for tepid volume growth (10-13% Y/Y), slower than in FY25
ZTO focus has shifted from growth to higher rates of shareholder returns


ZTO Express Q425 Results | Margins Declined Again | Focus No Longer On Growth, Just Capital Returns

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Mar 20th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Xiaomi (1810 HK), Netease Cloud Music (9899 HK), Yidu Tech (2158 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Xiaomi (1810 HK), Geely Automobile (175 HK), Netease Cloud Music (9899 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Mar 20th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Xiaomi (1810 HK), Netease Cloud Music (9899 HK), Yidu Tech (2158 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Xiaomi (1810 HK), Geely Automobile (175 HK), Netease Cloud Music (9899 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 20th): Xiaomi, Netease Cloud Music, Yidu Tech

<ul>
<li>As expected, the pace of top-line growth slowed in Q425 following a strategic change in Q325</li>
<li>We're encouraged by the company's strong improvement in Q425 Adjusted OpInc margin</li>
<li>Modest forward PER and strong capital returns suggest BUY closer to US$8 per ADS</li>
</ul>


As expected, the pace of top-line growth slowed in Q425 following a strategic change in Q325
We're encouraged by the company's strong improvement in Q425 Adjusted OpInc margin
Modest forward PER and strong capital returns suggest BUY closer to US$8 per ADS


Full Truck Alliance Q425 Results: Q325 Change Hit Top-Line Growth, but Lifted OPM%; Buy near US$8

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Mar 13th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Xiaomi (1810 HK), Netease Cloud Music (9899 HK), Xd (2400 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Xiaomi (1810 HK), Geely Automobile (175 HK), Netease Cloud Music (9899 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Mar 13th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Xiaomi (1810 HK), Netease Cloud Music (9899 HK), Xd (2400 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Xiaomi (1810 HK), Geely Automobile (175 HK), Netease Cloud Music (9899 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 13th): Xiaomi, Netease Cloud Music, Xd

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 6th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, China Life, Xiaomi, Petrochina, ICBC, China Pacific Insurance, Kuaishou, Hua Hong Semiconductor, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 6th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, China Life, Xiaomi, Petrochina, ICBC, China Pacific Insurance, Kuaishou, Hua Hong Semiconductor, BYD.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Mar 6th): Alibaba, Tencent, China Life, Xiaomi, Petrochina, ICBC

China

J&T Global Express is an investment holding company primarily engaged in providing integrated express delivery and global logistics services. The company offers parcel sorting, line-haul transportation, dispatching, cross-border services, and cash-on-delivery. It was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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J&T Global Express (1519 HK)

ZTO Express Q425 Results | Margins Declined Again | Focus No Longer On Growth, Just Capital Returns

On March 17 ZTO reported Q425 results that showed a steep decline in profitability, and a possible shift to higher rates of returns to shareholders

Tracking Traffic

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 20th): Xiaomi, Netease Cloud Music, Yidu Tech

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Xiaomi (1810 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Full Truck Alliance Q425 Results: Q325 Change Hit Top-Line Growth, but Lifted OPM%; Buy near US$8

In Q425, top-line growth slowed, but OpInc margin improved dramatically. Trading on 15x forward Adjusted Net Income, and supported by healthy cash...

Tracking Traffic

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 13th): Xiaomi, Netease Cloud Music, Xd

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Xiaomi (1810 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Mar 6th): Alibaba, Tencent, China Life, Xiaomi, Petrochina, ICBC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba (9988 HK), Tencent (700 HK), China Life (2628...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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