Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

From an investor’s perspective, the month of May was dominated by two issues: the likely rate of the post-pandemic economic recovery, and mounting tensions between China and the US. In addition, China held its annual Two Sessions during the month after a delay due to COVID-19. In this report, we focus on the Government Working Report delivered at the meetings, looking for guidance on the trajectory of policy easing and the stimulus meant to drive a post-pandemic recovery. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  From an investor’s perspective, the month of May was dominated by two issues: the likely rate of the post-pandemic economic recovery, and mounting tensions between China and the US. In addition, China held its annual Two Sessions during the month after a delay due to COVID-19. In this report, we focus on the Government Working Report delivered at the meetings, looking for guidance on the trajectory of policy easing and the stimulus meant to drive a post-pandemic recovery.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Takeaways From China's Two Sessions (2020) - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of May includes a summary of our recommendations. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.

  The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of May includes a summary of our recommendations. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index. 

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - May 2020 - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-5225'>Country Garden Holdings Co</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-26799'>Future Retail</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-12151'>Garuda Indonesia (Persero)</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8258'>Japfa Comfeed Indonesia</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-20934'>Tata Steel Ltd</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Country Garden Holdings CoFuture RetailGaruda Indonesia (Persero)Japfa Comfeed IndonesiaTata Steel Ltd

Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co, Future Retail, Garuda Indonesia (Persero)

Trung Nguyen

Japfa Comfeed’s Q1/20 results were better than expected, with stable revenue growth, improved profitability and cash flows. However, we understand that COVID-19 only had an impact in the last two weeks of Q1, and could even have driven demand up temporarily as people stocked up on food at home. The financial risk profile is reasonable, with a slight deterioration in leverage but stable coverage ratios. Liquidity remains weak despite the large cash position, due to the substantial and increasing short-term debt.

  Japfa Comfeed’s Q1/20 results were better than expected, with stable revenue growth, improved profitability and cash flows. However, we understand that COVID-19 only had an impact in the last two weeks of Q1, and could even have driven demand up temporarily as people stocked up on food at home. The financial risk profile is reasonable, with a slight deterioration in leverage but stable coverage ratios. Liquidity remains weak despite the large cash position, due to the substantial and increasing short-term debt. 

Japfa Comfeed - Earnings Flash - Q1 FY 2020 Results - Lucror Analytics

The global economic impact of COVID-19 deepened in April, with many countries now expected to see GDP contract in 2020. That said, credit and equity markets were buoyed by central bank stimulus and more positive headlines on the pandemic. This month, we consider the effect of this unprecedented event on the investor psyche, which could heighten risk aversion for some time and weigh heavily on Asian HY corporate credit. We also present a trade idea for Chinese property bonds, where we see promise amid the current uncertainty. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  The global economic impact of COVID-19 deepened in April, with many countries now expected to see GDP contract in 2020. That said, credit and equity markets were buoyed by central bank stimulus and more positive headlines on the pandemic. This month, we consider the effect of this unprecedented event on the investor psyche, which could heighten risk aversion for some time and weigh heavily on Asian HY corporate credit. We also present a trade idea for Chinese property bonds, where we see promise amid the current uncertainty.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Impact Of COVID-19 On Investment Strategy - Lucror Analytics

Indonesia

PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk manufactures animal feed, breeds and processes chickens, and operates aquaculture farms.  The Company trades its products domestically and internationally.

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Japfa Comfeed Indonesia (JPFA IJ)

Asia HY Monthly - Takeaways From China's Two Sessions (2020) - Lucror Analytics

From an investor’s perspective, the month of May was dominated by two issues: the likely rate of the post-pandemic economic recovery, and mounting...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - May 2020 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for the month of May includes a summary of our recommendations. The report also features relative-value...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co, Future Retail, Garuda Indonesia (Persero)

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Japfa Comfeed - Earnings Flash - Q1 FY 2020 Results - Lucror Analytics

Japfa Comfeed’s Q1/20 results were better than expected, with stable revenue growth, improved profitability and cash flows. However, we understand...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - Impact Of COVID-19 On Investment Strategy - Lucror Analytics

The global economic impact of COVID-19 deepened in April, with many countries now expected to see GDP contract in 2020. That said, credit and...

Lucror Analytics

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