Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba (6502 JP)</a> investors should look at process and understand the difference between this one and others. Some news is not news, other than telling you the dance has started.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-tractors-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:698:1" rel="noopener">United Tractors (UNTR IJ)</a> is cheap. It appears to be running at 6x 2022 earnings. This is not abnormal for a cyclical at the end of the cycle.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westpac-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:444:1" rel="noopener">Westpac Banking (WBC AU)</a> confirms its interest in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>, but still nothing firm.</li>
</ul>



Toshiba (6502 JP) investors should look at process and understand the difference between this one and others. Some news is not news, other than telling you the dance has started.

United Tractors (UNTR IJ) is cheap. It appears to be running at 6x 2022 earnings. This is not abnormal for a cyclical at the end of the cycle.

Westpac Banking (WBC AU) confirms its interest in Tyro Payments (TYR AU), but still nothing firm.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, United Tractor, Recruit, Tyro Payments, DTAC/True, Bank Of Kyoto

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jasmine-international-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:949:1" rel="noopener">Jasmine International (JAS TB)</a> is looking to sell its 99.8% interest in Triple T Broadband (TTTBB), and 19% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jasmine-broadband-internet-infrastructure-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:86:1" rel="noopener">Jasmine Broadband  (JASIF TB)</a> to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)</a>.</li>
<li>The sale required JASIF shareholder approval, but not all resolutions were approved at an EGM this week.</li>
<li>This is a setback. However, the transaction remains on track.</li>
</ul>



Jasmine International (JAS TB) is looking to sell its 99.8% interest in Triple T Broadband (TTTBB), and 19% stake in Jasmine Broadband  (JASIF TB) to Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB).
The sale required JASIF shareholder approval, but not all resolutions were approved at an EGM this week.
This is a setback. However, the transaction remains on track.


Jasmine International: Last Minute Wrinkle To Broadband Sale

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">SBI Holdings (8473 JP)</a>'s subsidiary has reportedly filed its application to become a Bank Holding Company, the definition being a company holding a 50% or greater stake in a bank.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a> is expensive here - relative to historical values -  and from an implied stub perspective, has only briefly been exceeded twice in the last decade.</li>
<li>Expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel (KEP SP)</a> to re-rate after the spinoff. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> distribution supported by both better profitability and much larger order books can be managed reasonably cleanly. </li>
</ul>



SBI Holdings (8473 JP)'s subsidiary has reportedly filed its application to become a Bank Holding Company, the definition being a company holding a 50% or greater stake in a bank.

Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP) is expensive here - relative to historical values -  and from an implied stub perspective, has only briefly been exceeded twice in the last decade.
Expect Keppel (KEP SP) to re-rate after the spinoff. The Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) distribution supported by both better profitability and much larger order books can be managed reasonably cleanly. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinsei Bank, Jardine Cycle, Keppel Corp, Eagle Cement, Hitachi Transport

<ul>
<li>There are 48 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/san-miguel-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22728:1" rel="noopener">San Miguel (SMC PM)</a>'s MTO for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eagle-cement-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31217:1" rel="noopener">Eagle Cement (EAGLE PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idemitsu-kosan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:109:1" rel="noopener">Idemitsu (5019 JP)</a>'s Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toa-oil-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11021:1" rel="noopener">Toa Oil (5008 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/o2micro-international-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36418:1" rel="noopener">O2Micro (OIIM US)</a>'s MBO. </li>
<li>Key updates took place for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-transport-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2395:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Transport System (9086 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shidax-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7754:1" rel="noopener">Shidax Corp (4837 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-medical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7441:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Medical (SMG SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 48 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deals discussed this week: San Miguel (SMC PM)'s MTO for Eagle Cement (EAGLE PM), Idemitsu (5019 JP)'s Offer for Toa Oil (5008 JP), and O2Micro (OIIM US)'s MBO. 
Key updates took place for Tassal (TGR AU), Hitachi Transport System (9086 JP), Shidax Corp (4837 JP), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), and Singapore Medical (SMG SP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Eagle Cement,Toa Oil, O2Micro, Hitachi Transport, Shidax

<ul>
<li>Historically, when <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23726:1" rel="noopener">Swire (B) (87 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire (A) (19 HK)</a> gets more than 6% from 3mo Avg VWAP Ratio, there is statistically significant reversion. We are now at 6.8%. </li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sats-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19962:1" rel="noopener">SATS (SATS SP) </a> / WFS transaction appears all stitched up with major shareholder Temasek backing the deal. The acquisition is expected to close in 1Q23, subject to regulatory clearance.   </li>
<li>We had the heads up days (or a week plus) ago, and now it is official. Bain has now launched its Tender Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8561:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Metals (5486 JP)</a> at ¥2,181/share.</li>
</ul>


Historically, when Swire (B) (87 HK) / Swire (A) (19 HK) gets more than 6% from 3mo Avg VWAP Ratio, there is statistically significant reversion. We are now at 6.8%. 
The SATS (SATS SP)  / WFS transaction appears all stitched up with major shareholder Temasek backing the deal. The acquisition is expected to close in 1Q23, subject to regulatory clearance.   
We had the heads up days (or a week plus) ago, and now it is official. Bain has now launched its Tender Offer for Hitachi Metals (5486 JP) at ¥2,181/share.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Swire Pacific, SATS/WFS, Hitachi Metal, Jinke Smart, Porsche

Thailand

Jasmine Broadband Internet Infrastructure Fund is a holding company. The Company invest primarily in the telecommunications industry.

Jasmine Broadband Internet Infrastructure Fund (JASIF TB)

Jasmine Broadband Internet Infrastructure Fund

Jasmine Broadband Internet Infrastructure Fund (JASIF TB)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, United Tractor, Recruit, Tyro Payments, DTAC/True, Bank Of Kyoto

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Jasmine International: Last Minute Wrinkle To Broadband Sale

JAS is selling the family jewels, and plowing the proceeds into business ventures in which they have no experience or competency. This stock...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinsei Bank, Jardine Cycle, Keppel Corp, Eagle Cement, Hitachi Transport

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Eagle Cement,Toa Oil, O2Micro, Hitachi Transport, Shidax

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Swire Pacific, SATS/WFS, Hitachi Metal, Jinke Smart, Porsche

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett