Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 18 January, the KRX announced rebalance to KOSPI 200 index. The new addition to KOSPI 200 is JB Financial Group and the deletion is Meritz Fire &amp; Marine Insurance.</li>
<li>We expect JB Financial to continue to outperform the market in the first half of this year.</li>
<li>However, we do not expect the sharp appreciation of JB Financial versus the other leading Korean banking stocks post JB Financial's inclusion in KOSPI 200 on 30 January. </li>
</ul>


On 18 January, the KRX announced rebalance to KOSPI 200 index. The new addition to KOSPI 200 is JB Financial Group and the deletion is Meritz Fire &amp; Marine Insurance.
We expect JB Financial to continue to outperform the market in the first half of this year.
However, we do not expect the sharp appreciation of JB Financial versus the other leading Korean banking stocks post JB Financial's inclusion in KOSPI 200 on 30 January. 


KOSPI 200 Rebalance: JB Financial In & Meritz F&M Insurance Out

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Hankyung's report is a clear misunderstanding under the current index methodology. The possibility of Samchully and Daesung Holdings' KOSPI 200 inclusion is NONE.</li>
<li>However, the issue of deteriorating the market representation of the K200 index, which is caused by the top stocks outside the index, is gaining attention in the local financial space.</li>
<li>So, we should prepare for the possibility that KRX will revise the methodology. In this case, an intense preemptive flow for the top names outside the KOSPI 200 can appear.</li>
</ul>


Hankyung's report is a clear misunderstanding under the current index methodology. The possibility of Samchully and Daesung Holdings' KOSPI 200 inclusion is NONE.
However, the issue of deteriorating the market representation of the K200 index, which is caused by the top stocks outside the index, is gaining attention in the local financial space.
So, we should prepare for the possibility that KRX will revise the methodology. In this case, an intense preemptive flow for the top names outside the KOSPI 200 can appear.


Misunderstandings & Truth About Samchully & Daesung Holdings Entering KOSPI 200

<ul>
<li>KOSPI 200 ETFs will have to sell Meritz FIRE and buy Meritz FINANCIAL at the close on January 27. JB Financial, the top reserved issue, will replace FIRE.</li>
<li>We should consider a Long Short for two Meritz companies just before the 27th. As a follow-up setup, we should aim for a potential widening of the swap arb spread.</li>
<li>As for the Long JB Financial, I would set the entry timing one week towards the implementation at the latest and look into Kodex Banks ETF (091170) for a hedge.</li>
</ul>


KOSPI 200 ETFs will have to sell Meritz FIRE and buy Meritz FINANCIAL at the close on January 27. JB Financial, the top reserved issue, will replace FIRE.
We should consider a Long Short for two Meritz companies just before the 27th. As a follow-up setup, we should aim for a potential widening of the swap arb spread.
As for the Long JB Financial, I would set the entry timing one week towards the implementation at the latest and look into Kodex Banks ETF (091170) for a hedge.


K200 ETFs' Swap Trading on Meritz & Fresh Buy-In JB Financial on Jan 27

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>End December was the end of the review cutoff for a lot of indices that will rebalance within the next couple of months.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close on 12 January.</li>
<li>There were big outflows from Hong Kong and China focused ETFs led by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


End December was the end of the review cutoff for a lot of indices that will rebalance within the next couple of months.

PEXA Group (PXA AU) replaces Pendal Group (PDL AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 12 January.
There were big outflows from Hong Kong and China focused ETFs led by Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK) and Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK).


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, HSI, HSCI, KS200, KQ150, CSI300, SENSEX, LQ45, PSEi

<ul>
<li>On 2 January, Align Partners Capital Management (APCM) started to go activist on seven leading Korean banking group companies.</li>
<li>According to APCM, the major Korean banking groups could pay out at least half of their net income to their shareholders, which would be more than double the current levels.</li>
<li>Korean banks are trading at deep discount to global peers, now trading at PBR of 0.2~0.4x whereas global peers trade at 1.3x. </li>
</ul>


On 2 January, Align Partners Capital Management (APCM) started to go activist on seven leading Korean banking group companies.
According to APCM, the major Korean banking groups could pay out at least half of their net income to their shareholders, which would be more than double the current levels.
Korean banks are trading at deep discount to global peers, now trading at PBR of 0.2~0.4x whereas global peers trade at 1.3x. 


Align Partners Goes Activist on Seven Banking Group Companies in Korea

South Korea

JB Financial Group Co. Ltd., a holding company, provides a full range of consumer and commercial banking-related financial services.

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Jb Financial Group (175330 KS)

KOSPI 200 Rebalance: JB Financial In & Meritz F&M Insurance Out

On 18 January, the KRX announced rebalance to KOSPI 200 index. The new addition to KOSPI 200 is JB Financial Group and the deletion is Meritz Fire...

Douglas Kim

Misunderstandings & Truth About Samchully & Daesung Holdings Entering KOSPI 200

This post explains why Hankyung's report about Samchully and Daesung Holdings entering K200 is a misunderstanding. Still, it can lead to revising...

Sanghyun Park

K200 ETFs' Swap Trading on Meritz & Fresh Buy-In JB Financial on Jan 27

This post details the KOSPI 200 corporate actions on the Meritz merger on January 27 and discusses trading setups to consider for two Meritz...

Sanghyun Park

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, HSI, HSCI, KS200, KQ150, CSI300, SENSEX, LQ45, PSEi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Align Partners Goes Activist on Seven Banking Group Companies in Korea

On 2 January, Align Partners Capital Management (APCM) started to go activist on seven leading Korean banking group companies.

Douglas Kim

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