External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We expect JD.com (JD) to deliver in-line-with-consensus revenue growth with better-than-expected earnings in 4Q23, aided by better-than-expected cost control.</li><li>For 2024, we expect user experience improvement and GMV share gain, as well as new user acquisition in an efficient way to remain priorities of JD.</li><li>To account for the additional investment for the Spring Festival Gala, as well as earnings impact from potential moves to drive user and GMV growth in 2024E, we cut our DCF-based target price to US$52.0 (was US$57.5).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect JD.com (JD) to deliver in-line-with-consensus revenue growth with better-than-expected earnings in 4Q23, aided by better-than-expected cost control.For 2024, we expect user experience improvement and GMV share gain, as well as new user acquisition in an efficient way to remain priorities of JD.To account for the additional investment for the Spring Festival Gala, as well as earnings impact from potential moves to drive user and GMV growth in 2024E, we cut our DCF-based target price to US$52.0 (was US$57.5).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) - Driving User Growth and User Experience Improvement

<ul><li>JD.com (JD) reported (15 Nov) better-than-feared 3Q23 results: revenue was RMB247.7bn, up 1.7% YoY, 0.7/0.5% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income was RMB10.6bn, ahead of our/consensus estimates of RMB8.8/9.2bn, thanks to better-than-feared margin performance of JD Retail (JDR) business, in our view, demonstrating JD’s ability to retain the wallet share of its core consumer base in an effective way, and translating into a non-GAAP NPM of 4.3% (3Q22: 4.1%).</li><li>Management highlighted double-digit order and user growth during the Double 11 shopping festival, noted that business adjustment impact will largely wear off in 2024, and guided to achieve a better-than-China retail sales growth performance in 2024. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD) reported (15 Nov) better-than-feared 3Q23 results: revenue was RMB247.7bn, up 1.7% YoY, 0.7/0.5% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus.Non-GAAP net income was RMB10.6bn, ahead of our/consensus estimates of RMB8.8/9.2bn, thanks to better-than-feared margin performance of JD Retail (JDR) business, in our view, demonstrating JD’s ability to retain the wallet share of its core consumer base in an effective way, and translating into a non-GAAP NPM of 4.3% (3Q22: 4.1%).Management highlighted double-digit order and user growth during the Double 11 shopping festival, noted that business adjustment impact will largely wear off in 2024, and guided to achieve a better-than-China retail sales growth performance in 2024. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) – Better-Than-Feared 3Q Results

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>For this year’s Double 11 sales promotion, overall industry delivered positive and stable YoY GMV growth (2.1%, per Syntun data), with Alibaba and JD.com (JD) both delivered positive YoY growth in GMV, order volume, and user volume.</li><li>Live streaming e-commerce GMV growth was still solid given a relatively lower base compared to horizontal e-commerce platform.</li><li>Ecommerce platforms are enhancing supply chain efficiency, product supply, and content ecosystem, as well as optimizing traffic allocation, to enhance user engagement, strengthen consumer mindshare on value for money products, and facilitate transactions, which in turn driving better ROI for merchants, and increasing merchants’ willingness to spend more on advertising. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

For this year’s Double 11 sales promotion, overall industry delivered positive and stable YoY GMV growth (2.1%, per Syntun data), with Alibaba and JD.com (JD) both delivered positive YoY growth in GMV, order volume, and user volume.Live streaming e-commerce GMV growth was still solid given a relatively lower base compared to horizontal e-commerce platform.Ecommerce platforms are enhancing supply chain efficiency, product supply, and content ecosystem, as well as optimizing traffic allocation, to enhance user engagement, strengthen consumer mindshare on value for money products, and facilitate transactions, which in turn driving better ROI for merchants, and increasing merchants’ willingness to spend more on advertising. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – Trends observed from this year’s Double 11 shopping festival

<ul><li>JD.com (JD) reported (16 Aug) 2Q23 results: revenue was RMB287.9bn, up 7.6% YoY, 2.5/3.2% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income was RMB8.6bn, ahead of our estimates/consensus at RMB8.2/7.8bn, thanks to better-than-expected loss reduction for new businesses, and translated into a non-GAAP NPM of 3.0% (2Q22: 2.4%).</li><li>Despite the beat on overall margins, the 0.2pp miss on OPM of JD Retail (JDR) sparked concerns that its core business margin expansion trajectory could face fluctuations. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD) reported (16 Aug) 2Q23 results: revenue was RMB287.9bn, up 7.6% YoY, 2.5/3.2% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus.Non-GAAP net income was RMB8.6bn, ahead of our estimates/consensus at RMB8.2/7.8bn, thanks to better-than-expected loss reduction for new businesses, and translated into a non-GAAP NPM of 3.0% (2Q22: 2.4%).Despite the beat on overall margins, the 0.2pp miss on OPM of JD Retail (JDR) sparked concerns that its core business margin expansion trajectory could face fluctuations. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) – Grinding through growth strategy pains

<ul><li>Based on NBS data, 7M23 online retail sales GMV/ online physical goods GMV reached RMB8.3/7.0tn, up 12.5/10.0% YoY.</li><li>The YoY growth of online physical goods GMV in July 2023 came in at 5.0% (June 2023: 7.1%; July 2022: 6.3%), which indicates that consumption recovery still takes time.</li><li>Although overall topline growth of e-commerce platforms is likely to face short-term fluctuation due to macro uncertainties, e-commerce platforms are driving revenue growth and scale expansion in an efficient way and targeting for operating efficiency improvement, which likely leads to a benign than expected industry competition, and better than expected earnings growth in 2Q-3Q23. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Based on NBS data, 7M23 online retail sales GMV/ online physical goods GMV reached RMB8.3/7.0tn, up 12.5/10.0% YoY.The YoY growth of online physical goods GMV in July 2023 came in at 5.0% (June 2023: 7.1%; July 2022: 6.3%), which indicates that consumption recovery still takes time.Although overall topline growth of e-commerce platforms is likely to face short-term fluctuation due to macro uncertainties, e-commerce platforms are driving revenue growth and scale expansion in an efficient way and targeting for operating efficiency improvement, which likely leads to a benign than expected industry competition, and better than expected earnings growth in 2Q-3Q23. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – July online retail sales recap

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

JD.com (JD US) - Driving User Growth and User Experience Improvement

We expect JD.com (JD) to deliver in-line-with-consensus revenue growth with better-than-expected earnings in 4Q23, aided by better-than-expected...

CMB International

JD.com (JD US) – Better-Than-Feared 3Q Results

JD.com (JD) reported (15 Nov) better-than-feared 3Q23 results: revenue was RMB247.7bn, up 1.7% YoY, 0.7/0.5% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg...

CMB International

China Internet – Trends observed from this year’s Double 11 shopping festival

For this year’s Double 11 sales promotion, overall industry delivered positive and stable YoY GMV growth (2.1%, per Syntun data), with Alibaba and...

CMB International

JD.com (JD US) – Grinding through growth strategy pains

JD.com (JD) reported (16 Aug) 2Q23 results: revenue was RMB287.9bn, up 7.6% YoY, 2.5/3.2% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus.

CMB International

China Internet – July online retail sales recap

The YoY growth of online physical goods GMV in July 2023 came in at 5.0% (June 2023: 7.1%; July 2022: 6.3%), which indicates that consumption...

CMB International

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