China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>JD: JD plans listing of its MRO distributor subsidiary JD Industrials (+)</li>
<li>PDD: Reports indicate that small merchants rebel against PDD policies (-)</li>
<li>981HK/1347HK/650HK/ACMR: Japan announces restrictions on exports of semiconductor equipment (+)</li>
</ul>


JD: JD plans listing of its MRO distributor subsidiary JD Industrials (+)
PDD: Reports indicate that small merchants rebel against PDD policies (-)
981HK/1347HK/650HK/ACMR: Japan announces restrictions on exports of semiconductor equipment (+)


China TMT Update: JD/PDD/981HK/1347HK/650HK/ACMR - Small Merchants Rebel Against PDD Policies

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-industrials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36875:1" rel="noopener">JD Industrials (2231713D CH)</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO. The deal will be run by Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and Haitong International.</li>
<li>JD Industrials (JDI) is a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China in terms of GMV in each year during the Track Record Period, according to CIC. </li>
<li>JDI’s platform offers 48 product categories and approximately 42.5m SKUs as of FY22 (31st Dec 2022). </li>
</ul>



JD Industrials (2231713D CH) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO. The deal will be run by Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and Haitong International.
JD Industrials (JDI) is a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China in terms of GMV in each year during the Track Record Period, according to CIC. 
JDI’s platform offers 48 product categories and approximately 42.5m SKUs as of FY22 (31st Dec 2022). 


Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

<ul>
<li>China online marketplaces are entering maturity phase of slow but steady growth. While markets have lingering concern about competition intensifying, we see the landscape stabilizing rather than deteriorating.</li>
<li>Early yet clear signals are flashing that incumbents like Alibaba are regaining footing whereas challengers such as PDD and Douyin are losing momentum.</li>
<li>Alibaba is our top pick for its improving fundamentals and discounted valuation. We are positive on Meituan for the near term but underweight PDD and see JD fairly priced.</li>
</ul>


China online marketplaces are entering maturity phase of slow but steady growth. While markets have lingering concern about competition intensifying, we see the landscape stabilizing rather than deteriorating.
Early yet clear signals are flashing that incumbents like Alibaba are regaining footing whereas challengers such as PDD and Douyin are losing momentum.
Alibaba is our top pick for its improving fundamentals and discounted valuation. We are positive on Meituan for the near term but underweight PDD and see JD fairly priced.


China Online Marketplaces: Expecting Slow yet Steady Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a>.</li>
<li>Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">TWSE INDEX</a> has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.</li>
</ul>


Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX). 
Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the KOSPI2 INDEX and KOSDAQ 150 Index.
Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the TWSE INDEX has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.


Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s restructuring news caused some exiciting in the IPO market this week, with Hong Kong filings picking up as well. </li>
<li>On the placements front, all eyes remain on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and whether <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> will do a placement.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s restructuring news caused some exiciting in the IPO market this week, with Hong Kong filings picking up as well. 
On the placements front, all eyes remain on Meituan (3690 HK) and whether Prosus (PRX NA) will do a placement.


ECM Weekly (2nd Apr 2023) - Meituan, Rakuten Bank, SBI, Merdeka, ZJLD, Trial Hol, DPC, WCP, MLT

China

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (9618 HK)

China TMT Update: JD/PDD/981HK/1347HK/650HK/ACMR - Small Merchants Rebel Against PDD Policies

Small merchants rebel against PDD policies ; Japan announces restrictions on exports of semiconductor equipment; JD plans listing of its MRO...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

JD Industrials Pre-IPO Tearsheet

JD Industrials (2231713D CH) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO. The deal will be run by Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and...

Ethan Aw

China Online Marketplaces: Expecting Slow yet Steady Growth

The competitive landscape for China online marketplaces is stabilizing rather than deteriorating as investors feared. Incumbents are regaining...

Eric Chen

Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

The Insight looks at movements in short interest across HK, Korea, Taiwan and Australia stocks over Q1 and highlights large increases/decreases in...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (2nd Apr 2023) - Meituan, Rakuten Bank, SBI, Merdeka, ZJLD, Trial Hol, DPC, WCP, MLT

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

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