Independent Research, Turtles all the way down

Turtles all the way down

Independent Research

Writing short articles about mis-priced boring stocks around the world.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>(I didn’t want to send it out right away, because I wanted to proofread my post before sending it, and unfortunately DADA is already up 10% since writing :( )</li><li>Recently Dada Nexus (DADA) , a Chinese last mile delivery service and on demand retail platform reported that about 500mn RMB ($70mn US) of revenue and costs were overstated for the first 3 reported quarters of 2023.</li><li>This news came right after 2 JD executives had taken over management of the company in December last year.</li></ul>

(I didn’t want to send it out right away, because I wanted to proofread my post before sending it, and unfortunately DADA is already up 10% since writing :( )Recently Dada Nexus (DADA) , a Chinese last mile delivery service and on demand retail platform reported that about 500mn RMB ($70mn US) of revenue and costs were overstated for the first 3 reported quarters of 2023.This news came right after 2 JD executives had taken over management of the company in December last year.

Contextualizing EM Investment Opportunities, Pyramids and Pagodas

Pyramids and Pagodas

Contextualizing EM Investment Opportunities

Established in 2022, Pyramids and Pagodas aims to cover underreported trends and companies across emerging markets (“EM”), with a particular focus on Asia and the Middle East. Our content targets a broad audience of investors and anyone seeking to capitalize on or learn more about undervalued investment opportunities in these regions. We have skin in the game for these ideas with a view to build a strong track record with demonstrable returns in the long run.

<ul><li>Dada Nexus Limited (DADA.OQ) (“Dada”), with a market cap of USD 869.9 million, is one of China’s leading on-demand retail platforms holding around 20% market share behind Meituan (42%, 3690.HK) and Ele.me (24%, Alibaba-owned).</li><li>Dada, a 54% subsidiary of JD.com (JD.OQ; 9618.HK) and 9% owned by Walmart Inc. (WMT.N) operates two core businesses, namely:</li><li>JD Daojia (JDDJ), which is a local non-restaurant online to offline (“O2O”) retail marketplace</li></ul>

Dada Nexus Limited (DADA.OQ) (“Dada”), with a market cap of USD 869.9 million, is one of China’s leading on-demand retail platforms holding around 20% market share behind Meituan (42%, 3690.HK) and Ele.me (24%, Alibaba-owned).Dada, a 54% subsidiary of JD.com (JD.OQ; 9618.HK) and 9% owned by Walmart Inc. (WMT.N) operates two core businesses, namely:JD Daojia (JDDJ), which is a local non-restaurant online to offline (“O2O”) retail marketplace

Dada Nexus (DADA.OQ) – Leading Chinese On-Demand Retail Platform Accelerates on Significant Runway

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

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China’s two biggest e-commerce companies reported higher sales from this year’s Double 11 shopping extravaganza, but kept tight-lipped about just how high, as they rolled out discount-heavy strategies to encourage reluctant consumers to spend.
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Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and JD.com Inc. had offered a slew of discounts to attract shoppers as the recovery in household consumption in the world’s second largest economy <a href="https://www.caixinglobal.com/2023-10-18/chinas-third-quarter-gdp-grows-102117643.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">slowly gained momentum in recent months</a>.
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Alibaba said that both gross merchandise value (GMV) and order amount on Taobao and Tmall from Oct. 24 to Nov. 11 rose from the same period last year.
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</ul>



China’s two biggest e-commerce companies reported higher sales from this year’s Double 11 shopping extravaganza, but kept tight-lipped about just how high, as they rolled out discount-heavy strategies to encourage reluctant consumers to spend.


Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and JD.com Inc. had offered a slew of discounts to attract shoppers as the recovery in household consumption in the world’s second largest economy slowly gained momentum in recent months.


Alibaba said that both gross merchandise value (GMV) and order amount on Taobao and Tmall from Oct. 24 to Nov. 11 rose from the same period last year.



Alibaba, JD.com Report Double 11 Sales Growth   

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>JD.com (JD) reported (15 Nov) better-than-feared 3Q23 results: revenue was RMB247.7bn, up 1.7% YoY, 0.7/0.5% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income was RMB10.6bn, ahead of our/consensus estimates of RMB8.8/9.2bn, thanks to better-than-feared margin performance of JD Retail (JDR) business, in our view, demonstrating JD’s ability to retain the wallet share of its core consumer base in an effective way, and translating into a non-GAAP NPM of 4.3% (3Q22: 4.1%).</li><li>Management highlighted double-digit order and user growth during the Double 11 shopping festival, noted that business adjustment impact will largely wear off in 2024, and guided to achieve a better-than-China retail sales growth performance in 2024. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD) reported (15 Nov) better-than-feared 3Q23 results: revenue was RMB247.7bn, up 1.7% YoY, 0.7/0.5% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg consensus.Non-GAAP net income was RMB10.6bn, ahead of our/consensus estimates of RMB8.8/9.2bn, thanks to better-than-feared margin performance of JD Retail (JDR) business, in our view, demonstrating JD’s ability to retain the wallet share of its core consumer base in an effective way, and translating into a non-GAAP NPM of 4.3% (3Q22: 4.1%).Management highlighted double-digit order and user growth during the Double 11 shopping festival, noted that business adjustment impact will largely wear off in 2024, and guided to achieve a better-than-China retail sales growth performance in 2024. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) – Better-Than-Feared 3Q Results

<ul><li>For this year’s Double 11 sales promotion, overall industry delivered positive and stable YoY GMV growth (2.1%, per Syntun data), with Alibaba and JD.com (JD) both delivered positive YoY growth in GMV, order volume, and user volume.</li><li>Live streaming e-commerce GMV growth was still solid given a relatively lower base compared to horizontal e-commerce platform.</li><li>Ecommerce platforms are enhancing supply chain efficiency, product supply, and content ecosystem, as well as optimizing traffic allocation, to enhance user engagement, strengthen consumer mindshare on value for money products, and facilitate transactions, which in turn driving better ROI for merchants, and increasing merchants’ willingness to spend more on advertising. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

For this year’s Double 11 sales promotion, overall industry delivered positive and stable YoY GMV growth (2.1%, per Syntun data), with Alibaba and JD.com (JD) both delivered positive YoY growth in GMV, order volume, and user volume.Live streaming e-commerce GMV growth was still solid given a relatively lower base compared to horizontal e-commerce platform.Ecommerce platforms are enhancing supply chain efficiency, product supply, and content ecosystem, as well as optimizing traffic allocation, to enhance user engagement, strengthen consumer mindshare on value for money products, and facilitate transactions, which in turn driving better ROI for merchants, and increasing merchants’ willingness to spend more on advertising. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – Trends observed from this year’s Double 11 shopping festival

China

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (9618 HK)

Two New Chinese Stocks

Recently Dada Nexus (DADA) , a Chinese last mile delivery service and on demand retail platform reported that about 500mn RMB ($70mn US) of revenue...

Turtles all the way down

Dada Nexus (DADA.OQ) – Leading Chinese On-Demand Retail Platform Accelerates on Significant Runway

Dada Nexus Limited (DADA.OQ) (“Dada”), with a market cap of USD 869.9 million, is one of China’s leading on-demand retail platforms holding around...

Pyramids and Pagodas

Alibaba, JD.com Report Double 11 Sales Growth

China’s two biggest e-commerce companies reported higher sales from this year’s Double 11 shopping extravaganza, but kept tight-lipped about just...

Caixin Global

JD.com (JD US) – Better-Than-Feared 3Q Results

JD.com (JD) reported (15 Nov) better-than-feared 3Q23 results: revenue was RMB247.7bn, up 1.7% YoY, 0.7/0.5% higher than our forecast/Bloomberg...

CMB International

China Internet – Trends observed from this year’s Double 11 shopping festival

For this year’s Double 11 sales promotion, overall industry delivered positive and stable YoY GMV growth (2.1%, per Syntun data), with Alibaba and...

CMB International

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