External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The €500bn infrastructure plan proposed by Friedrich Merz, German Chancellor-in-waiting, is scheduled for parliament approval on 18 Mar.</li><li>The approval of the plan has become likely (2/3 is needed) after winning support from the Greens last week.</li><li>In HK &amp; A share market, Weichai Power (2338 HK / 000338 CH, BUY), being the controlling shareholder of KION Group (KGX GR, NR) which is the major industrial truck manufacturer in Europe, will likely become a beneficiary. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The €500bn infrastructure plan proposed by Friedrich Merz, German Chancellor-in-waiting, is scheduled for parliament approval on 18 Mar.The approval of the plan has become likely (2/3 is needed) after winning support from the Greens last week.In HK &amp; A share market, Weichai Power (2338 HK / 000338 CH, BUY), being the controlling shareholder of KION Group (KGX GR, NR) which is the major industrial truck manufacturer in Europe, will likely become a beneficiary. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Who Are the Potential Beneficiaries of Germany’s Mega Infrastructure Investment Plan?

<ul><li>China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released a full set of construction machinery sales data for Feb.</li><li>Unlike the stronger-than-expected earth-moving machinery (excavator and wheel loader) data that released last week (CMBI report: link), the picture for other machinery was unclear.</li><li>Forklifts and truck cranes saw growth in both domestic and overseas markets, while tower cranes (highly related to property) / aerial work platforms (AWPs) saw 33%/24% decline in China market despite a low base. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released a full set of construction machinery sales data for Feb.Unlike the stronger-than-expected earth-moving machinery (excavator and wheel loader) data that released last week (CMBI report: link), the picture for other machinery was unclear.Forklifts and truck cranes saw growth in both domestic and overseas markets, while tower cranes (highly related to property) / aerial work platforms (AWPs) saw 33%/24% decline in China market despite a low base. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - Non-earth-moving machinery sales data mixed in Feb

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.</li>
<li>We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.</li>
<li>With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.
We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.
With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.


Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

<ul><li>China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released the earth-moving machinery sales data for Jan 2025.</li><li>Despite an early CNY this year, sales of excavators / wheel loaders still edged up 1%/2% YoY, which suggest resilient demand.</li><li>We expect a decent export growth and the upcycle of domestic replacement demand will continue for earth-moving machinery this year. In addition, given the traditional peak season in Mar, we see chances for construction machinery names to gain traction over the coming two months. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released the earth-moving machinery sales data for Jan 2025.Despite an early CNY this year, sales of excavators / wheel loaders still edged up 1%/2% YoY, which suggest resilient demand.We expect a decent export growth and the upcycle of domestic replacement demand will continue for earth-moving machinery this year. In addition, given the traditional peak season in Mar, we see chances for construction machinery names to gain traction over the coming two months. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - A Good Start for Earth-Moving Machinery Sales in Jan

<ul><li>China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released a full set of construction machinery sales data for Dec 2024.</li><li>Export volume growth remained strong across all types of machines, in particular truck cranes and tower cranes that surged 67% YoY and 95% YoY respectively.</li><li>In China, overall demand saw little improvement, with excavator being the only product that saw growth in Dec. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released a full set of construction machinery sales data for Dec 2024.Export volume growth remained strong across all types of machines, in particular truck cranes and tower cranes that surged 67% YoY and 95% YoY respectively.In China, overall demand saw little improvement, with excavator being the only product that saw growth in Dec. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - Export Volume Growth Across All Machines in Dec

China

Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd develops, manufactures and sells high pressure tank, hydraulic components and hydraulic systems. The Company's main products include fuel tanks and non-standard cylinders for heavy equipment.

Jiangsu Hengli Highpressure Oil Cylinder (601100 CH)

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Jiangsu Hengli Highpressure Oil Cylinder (601100 CH)

Who Are the Potential Beneficiaries of Germany’s Mega Infrastructure Investment Plan?

The €500bn infrastructure plan proposed by Friedrich Merz, German Chancellor-in-waiting, is scheduled for parliament approval on 18 Mar.

CMB International

Capital Goods - Non-earth-moving machinery sales data mixed in Feb

We continue to favour earth-moving machinery which is the first to recover in both the project-level cycle and replacement cycle.

CMB International

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

Capital Goods - A Good Start for Earth-Moving Machinery Sales in Jan

We remain positive on Zoomlion (1157 HK / 000157 CH, BUY), SANY Heavy (600031 CH, BUY) and Jiangsu Hengli (601100 CH, BUY).

CMB International

Capital Goods - Export Volume Growth Across All Machines in Dec

Export volume growth remained strong across all types of machines, in particular truck cranes and tower cranes that surged 67% YoY and 95% YoY...

CMB International

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