Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As forecast, there will be 3 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI US)</a> at the close of trading on 19 December.</li>
<li>Two of the inclusions will also have inflows from the FGlobal Index at the same time, while the third is an <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> add at the close tomorrow.</li>
<li>The HA premiums for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL (3750 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK)</a> dropped prior to lock-up expiry and there could be a short-term premium expansion closer to index/ETF inclusion.</li>
</ul>


As forecast, there will be 3 constituent changes for the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI US) at the close of trading on 19 December.
Two of the inclusions will also have inflows from the FGlobal Index at the same time, while the third is an HSCEI INDEX add at the close tomorrow.
The HA premiums for CATL (3750 HK) and Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK) dropped prior to lock-up expiry and there could be a short-term premium expansion closer to index/ETF inclusion.


FXI Rebalance: 3 Changes as H/A Premium Trades Back in Focus

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Mao Geping Cosmetics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mao-geping-cosmetics-co-ltd-41b64ec7-42e1-4d89-9424-b63b5ba53ea4" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1521:1" rel="noopener">Mao Geping Cosmetics (1318 HK)</a> raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO. The lockup on its founders and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, the firm offers a wide range of Color cosmetics and Skincare products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Mao Geping Cosmetics (1318 HK) raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO. The lockup on its founders and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, the firm offers a wide range of Color cosmetics and Skincare products.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Mao Geping IPO Lockup - US$4.7bn Lockup Release for Founders and Pre-IPO Investors

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK)</a> has launched its H Share listing at HK$41.45 to HK$44.05 per H Share. Pricing will be on 21 May.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jiangsu-hengrui-pharma-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:185190" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a></strong></em>. </li>
<li>The proposed AH discount can be argued as either light or attractive. I lean toward the latter and would participate in the H Share listing.</li>
</ul>



Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK) has launched its H Share listing at HK$41.45 to HK$44.05 per H Share. Pricing will be on 21 May.
I discussed the H Share listing in Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma H Share Listing: The Investment Case. 
The proposed AH discount can be argued as either light or attractive. I lean toward the latter and would participate in the H Share listing.


Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma H Share Listing (1276 HK): Valuation Insights

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

<ul>
<li>Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) a China-based pharmaceutical company, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Given its similarity to Hong Kong-listed Hansoh Pharma, had done a comparison between the two.</li>
<li>In this note, we looked at the latest results releases from both companies and highlighted granular differences. It is also interesting to compare the relative valuation from a historical perspective.</li>
</ul>


Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) a China-based pharmaceutical company, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.
Given its similarity to Hong Kong-listed Hansoh Pharma, had done a comparison between the two.
In this note, we looked at the latest results releases from both companies and highlighted granular differences. It is also interesting to compare the relative valuation from a historical perspective.


Hengrui (恒瑞医药) A/H Listing: An Updated Comparison with Hansoh

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China exposure among GEM funds has rebounded to 26%, up from the 2024 low, but still far below the 37.5% peak. India has eased while Taiwan allocations hit new highs.</li>
<li>China remains a major EM underweight at -3.09% vs. benchmark, despite rising allocations. High Active funds stay the most underweight</li>
<li>Industrials see the strongest buying, while Utilities and Consumer sectors decline. Tencent and Alibaba dominate ownership, but many new names are entering the picture.</li>
</ul>


China exposure among GEM funds has rebounded to 26%, up from the 2024 low, but still far below the 37.5% peak. India has eased while Taiwan allocations hit new highs.
China remains a major EM underweight at -3.09% vs. benchmark, despite rising allocations. High Active funds stay the most underweight
Industrials see the strongest buying, while Utilities and Consumer sectors decline. Tencent and Alibaba dominate ownership, but many new names are entering the picture.


China & HK: Rebuild Slows Amid Heavy Sector and Stock Rotation

China

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co.,Ltd develops, manufactures, and markets medicines and medicine packing materials. The Company produces anti-tumor medicines, pain-killers, anti-infection medicines, aluminum foils, and other related products. Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals conducts business in China, America, Japan, Korea, Europe, and Australia.

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK)

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Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK)

FXI Rebalance: 3 Changes as H/A Premium Trades Back in Focus

There are 3 changes for the FXI in Dec. 2 adds will also be added to a global index at the same time while the other is an HSCEI add at the close...

Brian Freitas

Mao Geping IPO Lockup - US$4.7bn Lockup Release for Founders and Pre-IPO Investors

Mao Geping Cosmetics (1318 HK) raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO. The lockup on its founders and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Hengrui (恒瑞医药) A/H Listing: An Updated Comparison with Hansoh

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing. In this note we provided an updated comparison with its close peer...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China & HK: Rebuild Slows Amid Heavy Sector and Stock Rotation

China & HK allocations are recovering, yet remain a major EM underweight. Rotation is active but cautious—Industrial inflows rise, while high...

Steven Holden

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