Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Critical Minerals Outside of China Will Command A Strategic Premium</li>
<li>As risk appetite in the mining sector increases, the biggest gains will be in the junior miners and exploration companies</li>
<li>We highlight eight companies as a basket of such miners which should benefit from these trends</li>
</ul>


Critical Minerals Outside of China Will Command A Strategic Premium
As risk appetite in the mining sector increases, the biggest gains will be in the junior miners and exploration companies
We highlight eight companies as a basket of such miners which should benefit from these trends


A Basket of High-Risk, High-Reward, Critical Metal Miners with Strategic Value - Pt 1

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 8.45% in September and 60.89% and 62.80% YTD and since launch one year ago.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by more than 40%.</li>
<li>The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 3.23 YTD and has generated more than 40% of its returns from stock-picking (alpha).  Its beta is low at only 1.17.</li>
<li>At the end of September, we increased exposure to AI and robotics and sold positions in the consumer and finance sectors.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 8.45% in September and 60.89% and 62.80% YTD and since launch one year ago.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by more than 40%.
The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 3.23 YTD and has generated more than 40% of its returns from stock-picking (alpha).  Its beta is low at only 1.17.
At the end of September, we increased exposure to AI and robotics and sold positions in the consumer and finance sectors.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (September 2025)

<ul>
<li>Government stabilisation measures kick in as tariff war starts to bite</li>
<li>Can the HK and China markets continue their bull run as markets dislocate?</li>
<li>Is it time to selectively get back into the Chinese tech sector?</li>
</ul>


Government stabilisation measures kick in as tariff war starts to bite
Can the HK and China markets continue their bull run as markets dislocate?
Is it time to selectively get back into the Chinese tech sector?


Hong Kong Market Strategy - Trade and Portfolio Ideas Amidst the Volatility

Equity & Credit Research

Duncan Chan

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index / Commodities

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index (MVREMX INDEX)

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index

<ul>
<li>NdPr is the key rare earth signal because it links directly to magnets, EVs, robotics, wind and defence demand.</li>
<li>China’s dominance in refining, quotas and magnet production allows it to tighten and stabilise supply faster than the West can rebuild alternative ecosystems.</li>
<li>FOB export premiums and policy-driven procurement show rising geoeconomic stress, but sustained scarcity still requires durable ex-China downstream profitability.</li>
</ul>


NdPr is the key rare earth signal because it links directly to magnets, EVs, robotics, wind and defence demand.
China’s dominance in refining, quotas and magnet production allows it to tighten and stabilise supply faster than the West can rebuild alternative ecosystems.
FOB export premiums and policy-driven procurement show rising geoeconomic stress, but sustained scarcity still requires durable ex-China downstream profitability.


Rare Earths: China Still Scales Faster Than the West Can Rebuild

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio returned -2.89% in November versus +1.72% for its benchmark index. The HK Alpha portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 33% to 45% since inception.</li>
<li>The portfolio continues to generate 57% of its returns from alpha (idiosyncratic returns) while maintaining a Sharpe ratio of 2.19 YTD.</li>
<li>We have sold positions in the materials and industrials sectors and added positions in telecom, gold, and insurance industries at the end of November.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio returned -2.89% in November versus +1.72% for its benchmark index. The HK Alpha portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 33% to 45% since inception.
The portfolio continues to generate 57% of its returns from alpha (idiosyncratic returns) while maintaining a Sharpe ratio of 2.19 YTD.
We have sold positions in the materials and industrials sectors and added positions in telecom, gold, and insurance industries at the end of November.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (November 2025)

China

JL MAG Rare-Earth specializes in the research, development, production, and sales of high-performance NdFeB permanent magnets, magnetic components, and rare earth recycling. Its products are extensively used in new energy vehicles, wind power, energy-efficient air conditioners, robots, and industrial servo motors. The company is headquartered in Ganzhou, Jiangxi Province, China, and was founded in 2008.

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JL MAG Rare-Earth (6680 HK)

A Basket of High-Risk, High-Reward, Critical Metal Miners with Strategic Value - Pt 1

US/Oz have signed The Critical Minerals Framework -commits the countries to invest more than $3 B over 6 months jointly and supports a pipeline of...

Rikki Malik

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (September 2025)

Due to the sudden escalation of US/China tensions we have decided to reduce AI and other risk exposure in the Hong Kong Alpha portfolio at the open...

David Mudd

Hong Kong Market Strategy - Trade and Portfolio Ideas Amidst the Volatility

$769 has lagged other rare earth plays but it is now up 100% in two days. We would look to sell half and keep the rest as a free ride. Hard...

Rikki Malik

Rare Earths: China Still Scales Faster Than the West Can Rebuild

China still controls rare earth refining, quotas and magnets, allowing it to stabilise supply faster than the West can rebuild independent capacity.

Duncan Chan

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (November 2025)

We made small changes to the HK Alpha portfolio mid-month. At the close on 12/12 we sold all of First Pacific (142 HK) and added 2% to our...

David Mudd

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