Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>President Trump has indicated that he will lower tariffs on ASEAN countries in exchange for future supply commitments of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) to counter China's industry dominance.</li>
<li>Although the supply commitments of REEs to supplant China's production will take years to fulfill, the tariff relief will provide immediate benefits to Chinese textile manufacturers with Southeast Asian production.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhou-intl-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10415:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bosideng-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6537:1" rel="noopener">Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)</a> ,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yue-yuen-industrial-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12281:1" rel="noopener">Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (551 HK)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stella-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7610:1" rel="noopener">Stella International (1836 HK)</a> will benefit from the tariff relief.
</li>
</ul>


President Trump has indicated that he will lower tariffs on ASEAN countries in exchange for future supply commitments of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) to counter China's industry dominance.
Although the supply commitments of REEs to supplant China's production will take years to fulfill, the tariff relief will provide immediate benefits to Chinese textile manufacturers with Southeast Asian production.

Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK) , Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK) ,Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (551 HK) , and Stella International (1836 HK) will benefit from the tariff relief.



How Rare Earth Elements Helped China's Textile Companies

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tariff introductions in Vietnam were 46%, PRC 34%, Bangladesh 37%, Indonesia 32%, etc, have rocked the textile complex, and share prices have reacted negatively. </li>
<li>The companies with the maximum revenue exposure to the US market are <a target="_blank" rel="noopener">Stella International (1836 HK)</a>, with 47%, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener">Crystal International (2232 HK)</a>, with 38%, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lever-style-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35760:1" rel="noopener">Lever Style (1346 HK)</a>, with 58%.</li>
<li>We anticipate that the negative sentiment will continue to hinder the sector until a reasonable negotiation occurs. In the meantime, there are no beneficiaries in this trade war.</li>
</ul>


Tariff introductions in Vietnam were 46%, PRC 34%, Bangladesh 37%, Indonesia 32%, etc, have rocked the textile complex, and share prices have reacted negatively. 
The companies with the maximum revenue exposure to the US market are Stella International (1836 HK), with 47%, Crystal International (2232 HK), with 38%, and Lever Style (1346 HK), with 58%.
We anticipate that the negative sentiment will continue to hinder the sector until a reasonable negotiation occurs. In the meantime, there are no beneficiaries in this trade war.


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Tariff Drag On The Sector

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Bosideng International Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bosideng-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6537:1" rel="noopener">Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)</a> has another solid 1H, with net profit surging 23% and DPS rose 20%. At 11.3x PER for FY25F, the valuation is not stretched.</li>
<li>The gross margin for branded down apparel has hit the lowest 1H level since 1H FY22, however. Similarly, its OEM management gross margin has come down.</li>
<li>Operating cash outflow rose to Rmb3.5bn, compared with Rmb585m a year ago, and inventory days leaped 29 days. Revenue and profit for ladieswear have plunged.   </li>
</ul>



Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK) has another solid 1H, with net profit surging 23% and DPS rose 20%. At 11.3x PER for FY25F, the valuation is not stretched.
The gross margin for branded down apparel has hit the lowest 1H level since 1H FY22, however. Similarly, its OEM management gross margin has come down.
Operating cash outflow rose to Rmb3.5bn, compared with Rmb585m a year ago, and inventory days leaped 29 days. Revenue and profit for ladieswear have plunged.   


Bosideng (3998 HK): Good Results, yet There Are Concerns

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hk-listed-apparel-footwear-screener-right-stocks-listed-in-the-wrong-market-attractive-yield-rapid-expansion-outside-china-sep-2024" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:158210" rel="noopener">HK-Listed Apparel &amp; Footwear Screener: Right Stocks Listed in the Wrong Market - Attractive Yield &amp; Rapid Expansion Outside China - Sep 2024</a>  helped us screen out great names.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jnby-design-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23642:1" rel="noopener">JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK)</a>, an apparel retailer trading at 9.2x FY24 with a ~10% yield and a long-term track record of &gt;34% 10 Yr-average ROCEs, is one such name. </li>
<li>Even with modest single-digit growth guidance, we see a growing yield and a great cash buffer (20% of the market cap), and dividends are sustainable. </li>
</ul>



HK-Listed Apparel &amp; Footwear Screener: Right Stocks Listed in the Wrong Market - Attractive Yield &amp; Rapid Expansion Outside China - Sep 2024  helped us screen out great names.

JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK), an apparel retailer trading at 9.2x FY24 with a ~10% yield and a long-term track record of &gt;34% 10 Yr-average ROCEs, is one such name. 
Even with modest single-digit growth guidance, we see a growing yield and a great cash buffer (20% of the market cap), and dividends are sustainable. 


JNBY (3306 HK): >34% ROCE Track Record/10% Dividend Yield/Net Cash Business

<ul>
<li>The HK market is moving, and the share prices of high-yield companies are increasing. Despite the average YTD returns of 36%, stocks are trading at 5-18% dividend yields. </li>
<li>We await the November results of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-textiles-holdings" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Pacific Textiles (1382 HK)</a>, which we will soon initiate coverage on.</li>
<li>We note <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yue-yuen-industrial-holdings-limited" target="_blank" rel="noopener">that Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (551 HK)</a> continues with its buybacks, having repurchased 3.2 million shares (0.2% of outstanding shares) since August 28th, 2024. </li>
</ul>


The HK market is moving, and the share prices of high-yield companies are increasing. Despite the average YTD returns of 36%, stocks are trading at 5-18% dividend yields. 
We await the November results of Pacific Textiles (1382 HK), which we will soon initiate coverage on.
We note that Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (551 HK) continues with its buybacks, having repurchased 3.2 million shares (0.2% of outstanding shares) since August 28th, 2024. 


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener:  Attractive Yield & Rapid Expansion Outside China - Oct 2024

China

JNBY Design Limited designs, promotes, and sells textile products. The Company offers apparels, footwear, and other accessories for women and children. JNBY Design markets its products globally.

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JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK)

How Rare Earth Elements Helped China's Textile Companies

President Trump will lower tariffs on ASEAN countries in exchange for future supply commitments of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) to counter China's...

David Mudd

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Tariff Drag On The Sector

We identify twelve high-yield, net cash or low-net debt stocks in Hong Kong's apparel and footwear sector, analyzing their exposure to the US amid...

Sameer Taneja

Bosideng (3998 HK): Good Results, yet There Are Concerns

Bosideng reports strong 1H FY25 results with net profit up 23% and DPS rising 20%, but faces challenges with declining margins and rising...

Osbert Tang, CFA

JNBY (3306 HK): >34% ROCE Track Record/10% Dividend Yield/Net Cash Business

Insight highlights HK-listed apparel and footwear stocks with attractive yields and expansion outside China. JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK) stands out...

Sameer Taneja

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Attractive Yield & Rapid Expansion Outside China - Oct 2024

We compile a list of ten high-yielding/net cash or low-net debt stocks in HK's apparel/footwear value chain. Despite the recent rally in HK,...

Sameer Taneja

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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How Rare Earth Elements Helped China's Textile Companies

President Trump will lower tariffs on ASEAN countries in exchange for future supply commitments of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) to counter China's...

David Mudd

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Tariff Drag On The Sector

We identify twelve high-yield, net cash or low-net debt stocks in Hong Kong's apparel and footwear sector, analyzing their exposure to the US amid...

Sameer Taneja

Bosideng (3998 HK): Good Results, yet There Are Concerns

​Bosideng reports strong 1H FY25 results with net profit up 23% and DPS rising 20%, but faces challenges with declining margins and rising...

Osbert Tang, CFA

JNBY (3306 HK): >34% ROCE Track Record/10% Dividend Yield/Net Cash Business

Insight highlights HK-listed apparel and footwear stocks with attractive yields and expansion outside China. JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK) stands out...

Sameer Taneja

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Attractive Yield & Rapid Expansion Outside China - Oct 2024

We compile a list of ten high-yielding/net cash or low-net debt stocks in HK's apparel/footwear value chain. Despite the recent rally in HK,...

Sameer Taneja

Bosideng reports strong 1H FY25 results with net profit up 23% and DPS rising 20%, but faces challenges with declining margins and rising...