HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Bosideng International Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>While having a slow FY23, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bosideng-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6537:1" rel="noopener">Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)</a> is well-positioned to capture the rebound in down apparel sales growth as pent-up demand is released.  </li>
<li>We also expect a recovery in margin, further improvement in channel efficiency and operating leverage from cost control will add to earnings momentum. </li>
<li>Management expects revenue growth will at least sustain at the rate in the last 5 years. The stock's valuations are cheap when compared with growth outlook and global peers. </li>
</ul>


While having a slow FY23, Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK) is well-positioned to capture the rebound in down apparel sales growth as pent-up demand is released.  
We also expect a recovery in margin, further improvement in channel efficiency and operating leverage from cost control will add to earnings momentum. 
Management expects revenue growth will at least sustain at the rate in the last 5 years. The stock's valuations are cheap when compared with growth outlook and global peers. 


Bosideng (3998 HK): Outlook Stays Promising

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">Enm Holdings (128 HK)</a> announced a privatisation offer from Chime Corporation at HK$0.58 per scheme share, a 54.7% premium to the undisturbed price of HK$0.375 per share (24 May). </li>
<li>The key condition is the scheme be approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). No shareholder holds a blocking stake. The offer price is final.</li>
<li>Detractors will argue the offer is low due to ENM’s net cash (75% of the market cap). However, the offer is reasonable compared to historical multiples and share prices. </li>
</ul>



Enm Holdings (128 HK) announced a privatisation offer from Chime Corporation at HK$0.58 per scheme share, a 54.7% premium to the undisturbed price of HK$0.375 per share (24 May). 
The key condition is the scheme be approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). No shareholder holds a blocking stake. The offer price is final.
Detractors will argue the offer is low due to ENM’s net cash (75% of the market cap). However, the offer is reasonable compared to historical multiples and share prices. 


ENM Holdings (128 HK): Privatisation Bid at HK$0.58 Per Share

Independent Research, Turtles all the way down

Turtles all the way down

Independent Research

Writing short articles about mis-priced boring stocks around the world.

<ul><li>Early this year I was quite pessimistic on Hong Kong stocks.</li><li>But since then the Hang Seng is down another 20% or so. A lot of stocks with 9-10%+ dividend yields are laying around.</li><li>I should have been a bit quicker writing this up, but then you are getting it for free.</li></ul>

Early this year I was quite pessimistic on Hong Kong stocks.But since then the Hang Seng is down another 20% or so. A lot of stocks with 9-10%+ dividend yields are laying around.I should have been a bit quicker writing this up, but then you are getting it for free.

<ul>
<li>The offeror and acceptances reached 46.04%, just short of the 50% minimum acceptance condition. The offeror has decided to let the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giordano-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13899:1" rel="noopener">Giordano International (709 HK)</a> offer lapse.</li>
<li>The offer fell short of the 50% threshold as the Cheng family mistakenly assumed that shareholders behind Halycon's stake were friendly shares, which would support the offer.</li>
<li>The downside will be muted as the shares are trading in line with the 1-year average forward P/E, minorities thought the offer was low, and David Webb is a buyer.</li>
</ul>


The offeror and acceptances reached 46.04%, just short of the 50% minimum acceptance condition. The offeror has decided to let the Giordano International (709 HK) offer lapse.
The offer fell short of the 50% threshold as the Cheng family mistakenly assumed that shareholders behind Halycon's stake were friendly shares, which would support the offer.
The downside will be muted as the shares are trading in line with the 1-year average forward P/E, minorities thought the offer was low, and David Webb is a buyer.


<ul>
<li>The offeror and acceptances reached 44.98%, just short of the 50% minimum acceptance condition. The closing date has been extended to 13 September. </li>
<li>If the offer is declared unconditional on or before 8 September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giordano-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13899:1" rel="noopener">Giordano International (709 HK)</a> shareholders who accept the offer will get HK$1.88 but not the dividend of HK$0.085.</li>
<li>The offeror likely remains confident that it will hit the 50% threshold. At the last close, the gross and annualised spread for 17 Sep payment is 1.1% and 37.2%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The offeror and acceptances reached 44.98%, just short of the 50% minimum acceptance condition. The closing date has been extended to 13 September. 
If the offer is declared unconditional on or before 8 September, Giordano International (709 HK) shareholders who accept the offer will get HK$1.88 but not the dividend of HK$0.085.
The offeror likely remains confident that it will hit the 50% threshold. At the last close, the gross and annualised spread for 17 Sep payment is 1.1% and 37.2%, respectively.


Giordano’s Acceptances Just Short of the 50% Voting Threshold; Offer Period Extended

China

JNBY Design Limited designs, promotes, and sells textile products. The Company offers apparels, footwear, and other accessories for women and children. JNBY Design markets its products globally.

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JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK)

Bosideng (3998 HK): Outlook Stays Promising

The release of pent-up demand, recovery in gross margin, further improvement in channel efficiency and operating leverage from cost control will...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Back in Hong Kong stocks

Early this year I was quite pessimistic on Hong Kong stocks. But since then the Hang Seng is down another 20% or so. A lot of stocks with 9-10%+...

Turtles all the way down

Giordano’s VGO Lapses

The downside will be muted as the shares are trading in line with the 1-year average forward P/E, minorities thought the offer was low, and David...

Arun George

Giordano’s Acceptances Just Short of the 50% Voting Threshold; Offer Period Extended

The next few days will likely take the offeror over the 50% voting threshold. At last close and the HK$1.88 VGO price, the annualised spread for...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Bosideng (3998 HK): Outlook Stays Promising

The release of pent-up demand, recovery in gross margin, further improvement in channel efficiency and operating leverage from cost control will...

Osbert Tang, CFA

ENM Holdings (128 HK): Privatisation Bid at HK$0.58 Per Share

Detractors will argue the offer is low due to ENM’s net cash (75% of the market cap). However, the offer is reasonable compared to historical...

Arun George

Back in Hong Kong stocks

Early this year I was quite pessimistic on Hong Kong stocks. But since then the Hang Seng is down another 20% or so. A lot of stocks with 9-10%+...

Turtles all the way down

Giordano’s VGO Lapses

The downside will be muted as the shares are trading in line with the 1-year average forward P/E, minorities thought the offer was low, and David...

Arun George

Giordano’s Acceptances Just Short of the 50% Voting Threshold; Offer Period Extended

The next few days will likely take the offeror over the 50% voting threshold. At last close and the HK$1.88 VGO price, the annualised spread for...

Arun George