Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We had been near-term bullish on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) since our 4/22/25 Compass, however, we are officially downgrading our near-term outlook to neutral</li>
<li>The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are breaking below their 50-day MAs and are also violating their multi-month uptrends, signaling a consolidation period is here</li>
<li>Still, our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish (as of 5/14/25 report), and we'll maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain constructive and the SPX is above 6200</li>
</ul>


We had been near-term bullish on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) since our 4/22/25 Compass, however, we are officially downgrading our near-term outlook to neutral
The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are breaking below their 50-day MAs and are also violating their multi-month uptrends, signaling a consolidation period is here
Still, our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish (as of 5/14/25 report), and we'll maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain constructive and the SPX is above 6200


Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight

Podcast of business and financial stories, Behind the Money

Behind the Money

Podcast of business and financial stories

From hostile takeovers to C-suite intrigue, Behind the Money takes you inside the business and financial stories of the moment with reporting from Financial Times journalists around the world.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Westport in County Meal, Ireland is a lively town with traditional pubs and a scenic backdrop of Croagh Patrick mountain.</li><li>The town benefits from American pharmaceutical companies like Allergan manufacturing products such as Botox, thanks to Ireland's low corporate tax rates.</li><li>However, President Trump's desire to bring back manufacturing to the US poses a threat to Ireland's economy and its relationship with multinational companies.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Westport in County Meal, Ireland is a lively town with traditional pubs and a scenic backdrop of Croagh Patrick mountain.The town benefits from American pharmaceutical companies like Allergan manufacturing products such as Botox, thanks to Ireland's low corporate tax rates.However, President Trump's desire to bring back manufacturing to the US poses a threat to Ireland's economy and its relationship with multinational companies.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

How Trump’s tariffs threaten Ireland’s pharma fortune

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Indian equities have delivered envious returns and consistently rewarded shareholders, showcasing superior per share earnings growth and a high number of firms with strong Return on Equity.  </li>
<li>While GDP grows robustly (projected 6.3% FY25, 6.4% 2026), earnings growth, robust household consumption (7.1% CAGR over 34 years), and increasing investments are key drivers.  </li>
<li>The FY26 outlook is cautiously optimistic, with potential 12-15% Nifty returns driven by tailwinds, but current valuations and global risks necessitate a careful approach.</li>
</ul>


Indian equities have delivered envious returns and consistently rewarded shareholders, showcasing superior per share earnings growth and a high number of firms with strong Return on Equity.  
While GDP grows robustly (projected 6.3% FY25, 6.4% 2026), earnings growth, robust household consumption (7.1% CAGR over 34 years), and increasing investments are key drivers.  
The FY26 outlook is cautiously optimistic, with potential 12-15% Nifty returns driven by tailwinds, but current valuations and global risks necessitate a careful approach.


Can India’s Equity Outperformance Last?

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>CHMP has recommended five medicines for approval at its March 2025 meeting, including two innovative drugs and three biosimilars.</li>
<li>The Committee Recommended not granting a marketing authorization for Eli Lilly’s Kisunla (donasemab), a medicine intended for the treatment of early Alzheimer’s disease.</li>
<li>The committee recommended extensions of indication for seven medicines that are already authorized in the EU, while recommended to refuse extending the marketing authorisation for Pemazyre for myeloid/lymphoid neoplasms.</li>
</ul>


CHMP has recommended five medicines for approval at its March 2025 meeting, including two innovative drugs and three biosimilars.
The Committee Recommended not granting a marketing authorization for Eli Lilly’s Kisunla (donasemab), a medicine intended for the treatment of early Alzheimer’s disease.
The committee recommended extensions of indication for seven medicines that are already authorized in the EU, while recommended to refuse extending the marketing authorisation for Pemazyre for myeloid/lymphoid neoplasms.


CHMP Meeting Update: Five New Medicines Recommended for Approval, Rejects Kisunla Application

<ul>
<li>Kissei Pharmaceutical initiates additional Phase III clinical trial for Rovatirelin (KPS-0373) for the treatment of spinocerebellar degeneration. Shanghai Junshi Biosciences received 11th indication approval for toripalimab in China.</li>
<li>AstraZeneca Entered into exclusive licensing agreement worth $1.35B with Alteogen to use latter’s hyaluronidase protein, ALT-B4, to develop subcutaneous versions of its “several oncology assets.”</li>
<li>Celltrion Has unveiled “Value-up Program,” whereby the company is targeting 30% revenue CAGR by 2027 to reach KRW5T revenue and 7% ROE. HLB faced another rejection from FDA for rivoceranib.</li>
</ul>


Kissei Pharmaceutical initiates additional Phase III clinical trial for Rovatirelin (KPS-0373) for the treatment of spinocerebellar degeneration. Shanghai Junshi Biosciences received 11th indication approval for toripalimab in China.
AstraZeneca Entered into exclusive licensing agreement worth $1.35B with Alteogen to use latter’s hyaluronidase protein, ALT-B4, to develop subcutaneous versions of its “several oncology assets.”
Celltrion Has unveiled “Value-up Program,” whereby the company is targeting 30% revenue CAGR by 2027 to reach KRW5T revenue and 7% ROE. HLB faced another rejection from FDA for rivoceranib.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Mar 23)- Kissei, Alteogen, Junshi Biosciences, Celltrion, Lunit, HLB

United States

Johnson & Johnson manufactures health care products and provides related services for the consumer, pharmaceutical, and medical devices and diagnostics markets. The Company sells products such as skin and hair care products, acetaminophen products, pharmaceuticals, diagnostic equipment, and surgical equipment in countries located around the world.

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Johnson & Johnson (JNJ UN)

Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight

Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Near-Term Outlook to Neutral, But Still Bullish Intermediate-Term $SPX $QQQ; Downgrading...

Vermilion Research

How Trump’s tariffs threaten Ireland’s pharma fortune

Westport, County Mayo in Ireland, known for traditional bars and lively atmosphere, faces uncertainty as President Trump's threats to bring...

Behind the Money

Can India’s Equity Outperformance Last?

Indian equities have delivered strong returns with high EPS and RoE, driven by robust GDP & consumption. FY26 outlook is cautiously optimistic,...

Nimish Maheshwari

CHMP Meeting Update: Five New Medicines Recommended for Approval, Rejects Kisunla Application

CHMP recommends approval for five medicines, but rejects marketing authorization for Eli Lilly's Kisunla for early Alzheimer's disease. It also...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Mar 23)- Kissei, Alteogen, Junshi Biosciences, Celltrion, Lunit, HLB

Kissei Pharma initiates additional P3 trial. Junshi Biosciences' drug got indication expansion. AstraZeneca partners with Alteogen. Celltrion aims...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight

Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Near-Term Outlook to Neutral, But Still Bullish Intermediate-Term $SPX $QQQ; Downgrading...

Vermilion Research

How Trump’s tariffs threaten Ireland’s pharma fortune

Westport, County Mayo in Ireland, known for traditional bars and lively atmosphere, faces uncertainty as President Trump's threats to bring...

Behind the Money

Can India’s Equity Outperformance Last?

​Indian equities have delivered strong returns with high EPS and RoE, driven by robust GDP & consumption. FY26 outlook is cautiously optimistic,...

Nimish Maheshwari

CHMP Meeting Update: Five New Medicines Recommended for Approval, Rejects Kisunla Application

​CHMP recommends approval for five medicines, but rejects marketing authorization for Eli Lilly's Kisunla for early Alzheimer's disease. It also...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Mar 23)- Kissei, Alteogen, Junshi Biosciences, Celltrion, Lunit, HLB

​Kissei Pharma initiates additional P3 trial. Junshi Biosciences' drug got indication expansion. AstraZeneca partners with Alteogen. Celltrion aims...

Tina Banerjee

Indian equities have delivered strong returns with high EPS and RoE, driven by robust GDP & consumption. FY26 outlook is cautiously optimistic,...

CHMP recommends approval for five medicines, but rejects marketing authorization for Eli Lilly's Kisunla for early Alzheimer's disease. It also...

Kissei Pharma initiates additional P3 trial. Junshi Biosciences' drug got indication expansion. AstraZeneca partners with Alteogen. Celltrion aims...