HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Porton Pharma Solutions / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Porton’s performance declined significantly in 23H1 compared with high base last year, because most of Pfizer’s COVID-19 big orders have been completed. Porton's performance in 2023 would be under pressure.</li>
<li>Porton isn’t a first-tier CXO and lags behind industry leaders in terms of new businesses (CGT/ADC CXO). Valuation of entire CXO sector and Porton hasn’t yet reached an inflection point.</li>
<li>Market's expectation for CXO would decrease and then bottom out in 2023H2. Whether CXO's performance would rebound in 2024 still needs to wait for the turnaround in macro environment.</li>
</ul>


Porton’s performance declined significantly in 23H1 compared with high base last year, because most of Pfizer’s COVID-19 big orders have been completed. Porton's performance in 2023 would be under pressure.
Porton isn’t a first-tier CXO and lags behind industry leaders in terms of new businesses (CGT/ADC CXO). Valuation of entire CXO sector and Porton hasn’t yet reached an inflection point.
Market's expectation for CXO would decrease and then bottom out in 2023H2. Whether CXO's performance would rebound in 2024 still needs to wait for the turnaround in macro environment.


Porton Pharma Solutions (300363.CH) 23H1 - Performance Pressure Would Remain in 2023

<ul>
<li>The "Monkey Price Index" could be a direct indicator of the fervor of biopharmaceutical development, and the accounting treatment of biological assets would have a big impact on Joinn’s performance.</li>
<li>The current business layout, strategy, revenue structure, CXO industry trend as well as the domestic negative policy impact would cast doubts on Joinn’s future development.</li>
<li>Based on our analysis, Joinn still lacks the strong logic to support its long-term growth and high valuation. Therefore, we are conservative about Joinn’s outlook at the current stage.</li>
</ul>


The "Monkey Price Index" could be a direct indicator of the fervor of biopharmaceutical development, and the accounting treatment of biological assets would have a big impact on Joinn’s performance.
The current business layout, strategy, revenue structure, CXO industry trend as well as the domestic negative policy impact would cast doubts on Joinn’s future development.
Based on our analysis, Joinn still lacks the strong logic to support its long-term growth and high valuation. Therefore, we are conservative about Joinn’s outlook at the current stage.


Joinn Laboratories (6127.HK) - Concerns Begin to Arise when the Monkeys Become More Expensive

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 117.2% as of Jul 14th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -3.0ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, utilities and offset by real estate, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BankComm, ICBC, ABC, CCB, Remegen.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 117.2% as of Jul 14th.
The average A-H premium changed by -3.0ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, utilities and offset by real estate, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BankComm, ICBC, ABC, CCB, Remegen.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 14th): 52 Week High A-H for Banks

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 120.6% as of Jul 7th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 5.9ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BankComm, ICBC, CCB, BYD, Asymchem, Hisense, Baiyunshan, Yankuang Energy, New China Life.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 120.6% as of Jul 7th.
The average A-H premium changed by 5.9ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BankComm, ICBC, CCB, BYD, Asymchem, Hisense, Baiyunshan, Yankuang Energy, New China Life.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 7th): BankComm, ICBC, CCB, BYD, Asymchem, Hisense, Baiyunshan

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.6% as of Jun 30th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -5.2ppt week on week, led by health care, information technology, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples.</li>
<li>We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tianqi Lithium, CQRC Bank, Shanghai Fudan, Joinn Lab, Remegen, Cansino Biologics.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.6% as of Jun 30th.
The average A-H premium changed by -5.2ppt week on week, led by health care, information technology, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples.
We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Tianqi Lithium, CQRC Bank, Shanghai Fudan, Joinn Lab, Remegen, Cansino Biologics.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 30th): Healthcare Led Premium Decline

China

JOINN Laboratories is a specialized drug development outsourcing company (CRO) that provides non-clinical pharmacology and toxicology research and evaluation services, including drug safety assessment, pharmacodynamic, and pharmacokinetic studies. The company also offers clinical trial services and the production and sale of experimental models. Headquartered in Beijing, China, it was founded in 1995.

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52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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JOINN Laboratories (6127 HK)

Porton Pharma Solutions (300363.CH) 23H1 - Performance Pressure Would Remain in 2023

Porton's weak performance will continue in 23H2. As a latecomer, its ADC CDMO business is still at early stage. When the entire sector is at bottom...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang