Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>After years of being on the watchlist, Vietnam will be added to a global index in September 2026 as long as progress is made on one key issue.</li>
<li>The final decision will be made in March 2026, and the implementation of the inclusion will take place in phases.</li>
<li>We currently see 21 stocks meeting the inclusion criteria. There are others that are close to the inclusion thresholds, and the list will change over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


After years of being on the watchlist, Vietnam will be added to a global index in September 2026 as long as progress is made on one key issue.
The final decision will be made in March 2026, and the implementation of the inclusion will take place in phases.
We currently see 21 stocks meeting the inclusion criteria. There are others that are close to the inclusion thresholds, and the list will change over the next few months.


Vietnam: Global Index Inclusion & Passive Flows

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Leading full-service brokerage firm in Vietnam. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Credit expansion showed signs of moderation in 3Q25 as lending approached the annual target.</li><li>Total system credit rose 13.4% YTD by end-9M25 (10M25: +15.09%), up 3.5%p QoQ (1Q25: +3.9%p; 2Q25: +6.0%p), nearing the SBV’s full-year guidance of 16%.</li><li>The deceleration was partly seasonal, reflecting subdued corporate and retail loan demand during this period. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Credit expansion showed signs of moderation in 3Q25 as lending approached the annual target.Total system credit rose 13.4% YTD by end-9M25 (10M25: +15.09%), up 3.5%p QoQ (1Q25: +3.9%p; 2Q25: +6.0%p), nearing the SBV’s full-year guidance of 16%.The deceleration was partly seasonal, reflecting subdued corporate and retail loan demand during this period. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking Sector - 3Q25 Update and Outlook - Task on Track

<ul><li>Vietnam’s banking sector remained on a concrete footing in 2Q25, continuing the momentum established in 1Q25. </li><li>Credit growth reached 9.9% YTD in 1H25, marking a sharp acceleration of 6%p (1Q25: 3.9%).</li><li> This surge in credit expansion was not merely market-driven, but also stemmed from decisive policy guidance. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Vietnam’s banking sector remained on a concrete footing in 2Q25, continuing the momentum established in 1Q25. Credit growth reached 9.9% YTD in 1H25, marking a sharp acceleration of 6%p (1Q25: 3.9%). This surge in credit expansion was not merely market-driven, but also stemmed from decisive policy guidance. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking Sector - 2Q25 Update and Outlook - Dual Mandate

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baf-vietnam-agriculture-joint-stock-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45291" rel="noopener">BAF Vietnam Agriculture (BAF VN)</a> will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 20 June.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 9% and that results in a round-trip trade of US$74m. There are 5 stocks with more than 1x ADV to trade from passives.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vingroup-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13213:1" rel="noopener">Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinhomes-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27079:1" rel="noopener">Vinhomes (VHM VN)</a> stock prices have soared over the last few months and capping results in selling at this rebalance.</li>
</ul>



BAF Vietnam Agriculture (BAF VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 20 June.
Estimated one-way turnover is 9% and that results in a round-trip trade of US$74m. There are 5 stocks with more than 1x ADV to trade from passives.

Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN) and Vinhomes (VHM VN) stock prices have soared over the last few months and capping results in selling at this rebalance.


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Capping & Float Changes

<ul><li>On January 20,the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange (HSX) will officially release the semi-annual review for both the VN30 and VNFin LEAD indexes, effective from February 3, 2025.</li><li>As a result, January 24, 2024 will be the last trading day for ETFs, following the rebalancing ofthese indexes’ portfolios.</li><li>Based on our data, we note that LPB is eligible to become a new entrantinthe VN30 basketin the next review,thanks to: 1) its 20th -ranked market capitalization, which makes LPB a must-have component; and 2) the fact that all other criteria meet the requirements.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

On January 20,the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange (HSX) will officially release the semi-annual review for both the VN30 and VNFin LEAD indexes, effective from February 3, 2025.As a result, January 24, 2024 will be the last trading day for ETFs, following the rebalancing ofthese indexes’ portfolios.Based on our data, we note that LPB is eligible to become a new entrantinthe VN30 basketin the next review,thanks to: 1) its 20th -ranked market capitalization, which makes LPB a must-have component; and 2) the fact that all other criteria meet the requirements.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Forecast – VN30 and VNFin Lead Indexes Review in 1Q25

Vietnam

JSC Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam is a commercial bank.  The Bank attracts deposits and offers consumer and corporate loans, and foreign exchange services, and sponsors credit cards.

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Vietcombank (VCB VN)

Vietnam: Global Index Inclusion & Passive Flows

Vietnam could be added to a global index in Sep 2026. The final decision will be made in March. We see 21 stocks currently meeting index inclusion...

Brian Freitas

Banking Sector - 3Q25 Update and Outlook - Task on Track

Total system credit rose 13.4% YTD by end-9M25 (10M25: +15.09%), up 3.5%p QoQ (1Q25: +3.9%p; 2Q25: +6.0%p), nearing the SBV’s full-year guidance of...

Mirae Asset Securities

Banking Sector - 2Q25 Update and Outlook - Dual Mandate

Vietnam’s banking sector remained on a concrete footing in 2Q25, continuing the momentum established in 1Q25. Credit growth reached 9.9% YTD in...

Mirae Asset Securities

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add, Capping & Float Changes

One add and large capping changes result in one-way turnover of 9% and a round-trip trade of US$74m. Vingroup and Vinhomes stock prices have soared...

Brian Freitas

Forecast – VN30 and VNFin Lead Indexes Review in 1Q25

On January 20,the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange (HSX) will officially release the semi-annual review for both the VN30 and VNFin LEAD indexes,...

Mirae Asset Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)