External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Leading full-service brokerage firm in Vietnam. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Credit growth in 9M23 lagged significantly behind annual target set by State Bank of Vietnam (SBV): By end-3Q23, credit growth for the year stood at 6.92%, falling far short of the SBV's expected range of 14–16%.</p><p>This marks the second lowest growth rate in a decade, reminiscent of the banking crisis in 2011–2012.</p><p>High lending rates, gloomy macroeconomic data, and an uncertain economic outlook have become the primary drivers of weak credit demand. </p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Credit growth in 9M23 lagged significantly behind annual target set by State Bank of Vietnam (SBV): By end-3Q23, credit growth for the year stood at 6.92%, falling far short of the SBV's expected range of 14–16%.This marks the second lowest growth rate in a decade, reminiscent of the banking crisis in 2011–2012.High lending rates, gloomy macroeconomic data, and an uncertain economic outlook have become the primary drivers of weak credit demand. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking Sector - 9M23 Update and Outlook - Overcoming adversity

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the index but there are float and capping changes that will be implemented at the close on 15 September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% and the one-way trade is US$21.5m. There are eight stocks where passive trackers need to trade over 1 day of ADV.</li>
<li>After large creations for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/market-vectors-vietnam-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:648:1" rel="noopener">Market Vectors Vietnam ETF (VNM US)</a> at the start of the year, there has not been a lot of follow-on activity as the market moves higher.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the index but there are float and capping changes that will be implemented at the close on 15 September.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% and the one-way trade is US$21.5m. There are eight stocks where passive trackers need to trade over 1 day of ADV.
After large creations for Market Vectors Vietnam ETF (VNM US) at the start of the year, there has not been a lot of follow-on activity as the market moves higher.


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Some Big Impact Changes

<ul><li>Credit growth in 1H23 slightly behind full-year target: By end-2Q23, credit growth was low, at 4.7% YTD, which is far behind the annual plan from the SBV of 14-16%.</li><li>The growth rate was the second lowest in the last decade.</li><li>The key reason for the low credit growth was stubbornly-high lending rates. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Credit growth in 1H23 slightly behind full-year target: By end-2Q23, credit growth was low, at 4.7% YTD, which is far behind the annual plan from the SBV of 14-16%.The growth rate was the second lowest in the last decade.The key reason for the low credit growth was stubbornly-high lending rates. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking Sector - 1H23 Update and Outlook - An Essential Deceleration

<ul><li>By end-1Q23, credit growth was low, at 2.1% YTD. This was the second lowest rate since that of 2015, when the domestic banking sector began to recover from the credit crunch in 2012.</li><li>The biggest reason for the low credit growth was the high lending rate.</li><li>In terms of the loan yield of listed banks, lending rates reached the highest level of the past ten years, curbing credit demand from borrowers. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

By end-1Q23, credit growth was low, at 2.1% YTD. This was the second lowest rate since that of 2015, when the domestic banking sector began to recover from the credit crunch in 2012.The biggest reason for the low credit growth was the high lending rate.In terms of the loan yield of listed banks, lending rates reached the highest level of the past ten years, curbing credit demand from borrowers. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banking Sector - 1Q23 update and outlook - Return of dovish policies

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

Vietnam Technological & Commer / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We maintain Techcombank as our top pick in the Vietnamese banks, given its attractive valuations, solid pre and post provision returns and its fortress balance sheet</li>
<li>We add MBBank to the buy list with its attractive valuations, premium ROE and sound balance sheet metrics; we are neutral on Vietcombank</li>
<li>VP Bank remains one to watch; its NPL ratio has worsened further to March 2023 and it is the negative outlier of the peer group on credit quality</li>
</ul>


We maintain Techcombank as our top pick in the Vietnamese banks, given its attractive valuations, solid pre and post provision returns and its fortress balance sheet
We add MBBank to the buy list with its attractive valuations, premium ROE and sound balance sheet metrics; we are neutral on Vietcombank
VP Bank remains one to watch; its NPL ratio has worsened further to March 2023 and it is the negative outlier of the peer group on credit quality


Vietnamese Banks Screener; Adding MBBank to Our Core Pick Techcombank

Vietnam

JSC Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam is a commercial bank.  The Bank attracts deposits and offers consumer and corporate loans, and foreign exchange services, and sponsors credit cards.

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Vietcombank (VCB VN)

Banking Sector - 9M23 Update and Outlook - Overcoming adversity

Credit growth in 9M23 lagged significantly behind annual target set by State Bank of Vietnam (SBV): By end-3Q23, credit growth for the year stood...

Mirae Asset Securities

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Some Big Impact Changes

Float and capping changes lead to an estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% and a one-way trade is US$21.5m. There are eight stocks where passive...

Brian Freitas

Banking Sector - 1H23 Update and Outlook - An Essential Deceleration

Credit growth in 1H23 slightly behind full-year target: By end-2Q23, credit growth was low, at 4.7% YTD, which is far behind the annual plan from...

Mirae Asset Securities

Banking Sector - 1Q23 update and outlook - Return of dovish policies

By end-1Q23, credit growth was low, at 2.1% YTD. This was the second lowest rate since that of 2015, when the domestic banking sector began to...

Mirae Asset Securities

Vietnamese Banks Screener; Adding MBBank to Our Core Pick Techcombank

We maintain value play TCB as our top pick in the Vietnamese banks, adding MBBank to the buy list with its attractive valuations and premium ROE;...

Victor Galliano

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