Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, and 9 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.</li>
<li>Financials are poised to be the biggest gainers in the reshuffle with 6 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and 5 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Over the last 6 months, stocks expected to migrate upward have outperformed stocks that are expected to migrate downward., though there has been a downward drift this year.</li>
</ul>


Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, and 9 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.
Financials are poised to be the biggest gainers in the reshuffle with 6 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and 5 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap.
Over the last 6 months, stocks expected to migrate upward have outperformed stocks that are expected to migrate downward., though there has been a downward drift this year.


India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,735/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businesses</li><li>RIL’s consolidated EBITDA stood at INR 352bn (+19% YoY; +13% QoQ, HSIE: INR 344bn), above our estimate, while APAT stood at INR 158bn (-3.2% YoY, +16% QoQ), marginally below our estimate</li><li>Earnings were mainly driven by improvement in the O2C and E&amp;P segments. ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) reported yet another quarter of all-round impressive balance sheet performance with loan growth (+20% YoY), NIMs (4.7%) and asset quality (GNPA at 3.1%), reflecting in strong profitability vectors (standalone RoE of ~18%)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,735/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businessesRIL’s consolidated EBITDA stood at INR 352bn (+19% YoY; +13% QoQ, HSIE: INR 344bn), above our estimate, while APAT stood at INR 158bn (-3.2% YoY, +16% QoQ), marginally below our estimateEarnings were mainly driven by improvement in the O2C and E&amp;P segments. ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) reported yet another quarter of all-round impressive balance sheet performance with loan growth (+20% YoY), NIMs (4.7%) and asset quality (GNPA at 3.1%), reflecting in strong profitability vectors (standalone RoE of ~18%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank,

<ul><li>The power industry is expected to report 28.5% YoY earnings growth, owing to the strong generation growth (+7.3% YoY in Q3FY23) and improved coal availability</li><li>Peak power demand increased by 10% YoY during Q3FY23 to ~193GW, driven by the festive season</li><li>Coal inventory at power plants too improved significantly, led by increased usage of imported coal as the number of stations facing subcritical inventory level declined to 43 in Dec 2022, vs 69 YoY and 54 QoQ</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The power industry is expected to report 28.5% YoY earnings growth, owing to the strong generation growth (+7.3% YoY in Q3FY23) and improved coal availabilityPeak power demand increased by 10% YoY during Q3FY23 to ~193GW, driven by the festive seasonCoal inventory at power plants too improved significantly, led by increased usage of imported coal as the number of stations facing subcritical inventory level declined to 43 in Dec 2022, vs 69 YoY and 54 QoQContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Power (3QFY23 Results Preview): Demand remains strong; coal inventory improves

<ul>
<li>Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.</li>
<li>One spin-off should be added to the MidCap segment, while a bunch of recent listings will be added to the SmallCap segment.</li>
<li>Stock migrating upwards have outperformed stocks migrating downwards and we expect there could be some mean reversion from the middle of January.</li>
</ul>


Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.
One spin-off should be added to the MidCap segment, while a bunch of recent listings will be added to the SmallCap segment.
Stock migrating upwards have outperformed stocks migrating downwards and we expect there could be some mean reversion from the middle of January.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2022): A Bunch of Migrations

<ul><li>NTPC: Generation/sales of the unit increased significantly by 10.4/12.2% YoY to 85.5/80.2bn units in Q2FY23, led by strong power demand</li><li>PAF also improved for both coal/gas in Q2 to 93.7/92.8%, vs 85.4/81.6% YoY, led by better fuel availability</li><li>Accordingly, under-recovery also declined to INR2.0bn for Q2FY23 vs INR5.0bn QoQ</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NTPC: Generation/sales of the unit increased significantly by 10.4/12.2% YoY to 85.5/80.2bn units in Q2FY23, led by strong power demandPAF also improved for both coal/gas in Q2 to 93.7/92.8%, vs 85.4/81.6% YoY, led by better fuel availabilityAccordingly, under-recovery also declined to INR2.0bn for Q2FY23 vs INR5.0bn QoQContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: NTPC, Indian Oil Corporation, SBI Cards and Payment Services

India

JSW Energy Limited generates power by using Corex gas and coal. The Company, through its subsidiary, also operates lignite thermal power plant in Rajasthan and has a capacity to produce 3,140 megawatts of electricity. JSW is also present in the power trading and transmission businesses.

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JSW Energy Ltd (JSW IN)

India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023)

Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 9 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa....

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank,

Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,735/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) EBITDA...

HDFC Securities

Power (3QFY23 Results Preview): Demand remains strong; coal inventory improves

The power industry is expected to report 28.5% YoY earnings growth, owing to the strong generation growth (+7.3% YoY in Q3FY23) and improved coal...

HDFC Securities

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2022): A Bunch of Migrations

Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: NTPC, Indian Oil Corporation, SBI Cards and Payment Services

NTPC: Generation/sales of the unit increased significantly by 10.4/12.2% YoY to 85.5/80.2bn units in Q2FY23, led by strong power demand

HDFC Securities

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