Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The government's 300 MT crude steel capacity target by 2030 is now in full swing, anchored by ArcelorMittal's newly-cleared INR1.5 lakh crore greenfield project and aggressive brownfield by other players.</li>
<li>This signals a multi-lakh-crore capex super-cycle, moving from planning to execution. The 14-month fast-track approval for AM/NS in Andhra Pradesh provides a new, de-risked template for mega-projects.</li>
<li>While execution is accelerating, the sector's profitability hinges on two key variables: managing persistent Chinese imports and securing the massive volume of coking coal required to fuel this expansion.</li>
</ul>


The government's 300 MT crude steel capacity target by 2030 is now in full swing, anchored by ArcelorMittal's newly-cleared INR1.5 lakh crore greenfield project and aggressive brownfield by other players.
This signals a multi-lakh-crore capex super-cycle, moving from planning to execution. The 14-month fast-track approval for AM/NS in Andhra Pradesh provides a new, de-risked template for mega-projects.
While execution is accelerating, the sector's profitability hinges on two key variables: managing persistent Chinese imports and securing the massive volume of coking coal required to fuel this expansion.


Thematic Report: Forging a 300 MT Behemoth as India’s Steel Capex Super-Cycle Accelerates

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

<ul>
<li>China’s steel exports have surged to multi-year highs, flooding global markets and forcing a wave of trade-defense actions across Asia.</li>
<li>Weak domestic demand, squeezed margins, and policy shifts have pushed Chinese mills to lean heavily on exports — prompting Beijing to cap output and link cuts to carbon goals.</li>
<li>Clear winners: Integrated Indian producers and Japan/Korea premium mills, which gain pricing power and margin upside as safeguards and curbs tighten supply.</li>
</ul>


China’s steel exports have surged to multi-year highs, flooding global markets and forcing a wave of trade-defense actions across Asia.
Weak domestic demand, squeezed margins, and policy shifts have pushed Chinese mills to lean heavily on exports — prompting Beijing to cap output and link cuts to carbon goals.
Clear winners: Integrated Indian producers and Japan/Korea premium mills, which gain pricing power and margin upside as safeguards and curbs tighten supply.


China’s Steel Curbs + Asian Safeguards: Pricing Tailwinds for Premium Mills

<ul>
<li>China's steel industry faces significant oversupply and weak domestic demand, driving aggressive exports and financial losses amidst rising global trade barriers</li>
<li>India's steel growth remains robust, driven by domestic demand, government support, product diversification, cost control, and ESG focus</li>
<li>Indian steelmakers note easing import pressure, leveraging quality norms and value-added products, expanding capacity, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsw-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18561:1" rel="noopener">JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN)</a> targeting 50 MT by 2030 from 27 MT currently.</li>
</ul>


China's steel industry faces significant oversupply and weak domestic demand, driving aggressive exports and financial losses amidst rising global trade barriers
India's steel growth remains robust, driven by domestic demand, government support, product diversification, cost control, and ESG focus
Indian steelmakers note easing import pressure, leveraging quality norms and value-added products, expanding capacity, with JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN) targeting 50 MT by 2030 from 27 MT currently.


Thematic Report : Why China Won’t Derail India’s Steel Growth Plans?

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Recent Impact: India’s BIS mandate has disrupted steel imports overnight, stranding shipments and pressuring MSMEs.</li>
<li>Pricing: While prices have remained broadly stable so far, rising input tightness and seasonal factors suggest upward pressure is likely ahead.</li>
<li>Global Trends: Around 25–35% of global steel trade is now under protectionist measures, reflecting a broader shift toward regionalization and defensive trade policies.</li>
</ul>


Recent Impact: India’s BIS mandate has disrupted steel imports overnight, stranding shipments and pressuring MSMEs.
Pricing: While prices have remained broadly stable so far, rising input tightness and seasonal factors suggest upward pressure is likely ahead.
Global Trends: Around 25–35% of global steel trade is now under protectionist measures, reflecting a broader shift toward regionalization and defensive trade policies.


Steel Trade: India’s BIS Mandate Spurs Import Shock Amid Rising Global Protectionism

<ul>
<li>Commodity trends remain bifurcated: gold, copper, and uranium are surging, while iron ore, and coal struggle under oversupply and weak demand.</li>
<li>Top picks: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24628:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining Group (601899 CH)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-gold-mining-co-ltd-4527fb98-bb5d-4d74-91fe-66f9c0224eb3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27455:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsw-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18561:1" rel="noopener">JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lloyds-metals-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15467:1" rel="noopener">Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy (LYDM IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paladin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10117:1" rel="noopener">Paladin Energy (PDN AU)</a> </li>
<li>Top shorts: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindalco-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18490:1" rel="noopener">Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-steel-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:961:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India Ltd (COAL IN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a> </li>
</ul>


Commodity trends remain bifurcated: gold, copper, and uranium are surging, while iron ore, and coal struggle under oversupply and weak demand.
Top picks: Zijin Mining Group (601899 CH)Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK)JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN), Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy (LYDM IN) , Paladin Energy (PDN AU) 
Top shorts: Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN) , Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP)Coal India Ltd (COAL IN)Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) 


Global Metals & Mining Playbook – July 2025

India

JSW Steel Limited is an Indian multinational steel company. It manufactures and sells a wide range of steel products, including hot rolled, cold rolled, galvanized, and color-coated steel, as well as TMT bars, wire rods, and alloy steel products, serving various industries such as automotive, construction, and infrastructure. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in 1982.

Price Gauge
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JSW Steel (JSTL IN)

Thematic Report: Forging a 300 MT Behemoth as India’s Steel Capex Super-Cycle Accelerates

Government's ambitious steel capacity target by 2030 gains momentum with ArcelorMittal's massive greenfield project and industry-wide capex super...

Nimish Maheshwari

China’s Steel Curbs + Asian Safeguards: Pricing Tailwinds for Premium Mills

China's steel exports surge, prompting trade-defense actions; Indian and Japanese/Korean mills benefit from tightening supply.

Rahul Jain

Thematic Report : Why China Won’t Derail India’s Steel Growth Plans?

China's steel industry struggles with oversupply and weak demand, while India's steel growth remains strong with government support and focus on...

Nimish Maheshwari

Steel Trade: India’s BIS Mandate Spurs Import Shock Amid Rising Global Protectionism

India's BIS mandate disrupts steel imports, pressures MSMEs; global steel trade trends show rise in protectionist measures.

Rahul Jain

Global Metals & Mining Playbook – July 2025

Commodity trends show gold, copper, and uranium surging, while iron ore and coal struggle. Top picks include Zijin Mining Group, Shandong Gold...

Rahul Jain

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Thematic Report: Forging a 300 MT Behemoth as India’s Steel Capex Super-Cycle Accelerates

​Government's ambitious steel capacity target by 2030 gains momentum with ArcelorMittal's massive greenfield project and industry-wide capex super...

Nimish Maheshwari

China’s Steel Curbs + Asian Safeguards: Pricing Tailwinds for Premium Mills

​China's steel exports surge, prompting trade-defense actions; Indian and Japanese/Korean mills benefit from tightening supply.

Rahul Jain

Thematic Report : Why China Won’t Derail India’s Steel Growth Plans?

​China's steel industry struggles with oversupply and weak demand, while India's steel growth remains strong with government support and focus on...

Nimish Maheshwari

Steel Trade: India’s BIS Mandate Spurs Import Shock Amid Rising Global Protectionism

​India's BIS mandate disrupts steel imports, pressures MSMEs; global steel trade trends show rise in protectionist measures.

Rahul Jain

Global Metals & Mining Playbook – July 2025

​Commodity trends show gold, copper, and uranium surging, while iron ore and coal struggle. Top picks include Zijin Mining Group, Shandong Gold...

Rahul Jain

Government's ambitious steel capacity target by 2030 gains momentum with ArcelorMittal's massive greenfield project and industry-wide capex super...

China's steel exports surge, prompting trade-defense actions; Indian and Japanese/Korean mills benefit from tightening supply.

China's steel industry struggles with oversupply and weak demand, while India's steel growth remains strong with government support and focus on...

India's BIS mandate disrupts steel imports, pressures MSMEs; global steel trade trends show rise in protectionist measures.

Commodity trends show gold, copper, and uranium surging, while iron ore and coal struggle. Top picks include Zijin Mining Group, Shandong Gold...